Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-tj2md Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-24T01:30:07.974Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Economic Statecraft: Is There a Sub-National Dimension? Evidence from United States–China Rivalry

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 February 2021

Simon J. Evenett*
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen, St. Gallen, Switzerland and CEPR

Abstract

Using detailed information on policy interventions by US sub-national governments between 2009 and 2019, the contribution of such public bodies to Sino-US geopolitical rivalry is examined, in particular since President Trump took office in 2017. While US sub-national governments accounted for 28% of all US policy interventions that harmed Chinese commercial interests, awarding firm-specific subsidies in 88% of cases, the timing and sectoral incidence of such intervention suggests that economic statecraft considerations could only be part of the explanation for their actions. Ironically, the interventions of US sub-national governments and their weak commitment to transparency have much in common with their frequently maligned Chinese counterparts.

Type
Original Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

Professor of International Trade and Economic Development, Department of Economics, University of St. Gallen, Switzerland, and Founder of the Global Trade Alert initiative. I thank participants at a conference titled Great Power Competition in the 21st Century: Linking Economics and Security, held at Berkeley on 24 October 2019 for comments on a powerpoint presentation that became the basis of this paper. I also thank the reflections of two anonymous referees, James Davis, and Jonathan Fried. Comments on this paper are welcome and can be sent to the author at simon.evenett@unisg.ch.

References

Aggarwal, V.K. and Reddie, A.W. (2020) ‘New Economic Statecraft: Industrial Policy in an Era of Strategic Competition’, Issues and Studies 56(2), 129.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Aggarwal, V.K. and Reddie, A.W. (this issue) ‘Economic Statecraft in the 21st Century’, Introductory article for this Special Issue.Google Scholar
Alder, S., Shao, L., and Zilibotti, F. (2016) ‘Economic Reforms and Industrial Policy in a Panel of Chinese cities’, Journal of Economic Growth 21, 305349.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baldwin, D.A. (1985) Economic Statecraft. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Bartik, T.J. (2017) ‘A New Panel Database on Business Incentives for Economic Development Offered by State and Local Governments in the United States’, W.E. Upjohn Institute For Employment Research, Staff Papers and Presentations, 1 January.Google Scholar
Blustein, P. (2019) Schism: China, America, and the Fracturing of the Global Trading System. Waterloo, ON: Center for International Governance Innovation.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bown, C.P. and Hillman, J.A. (2019) ‘WTO'ing a Resolution to the China Subsidy Problem’, Journal of International Economic Law 22, 557578.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Burstein, M.L. and Rolnick, A.J. (1995) ‘Congress Should End the Economic War among the States’, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 1 January.Google Scholar
Chava, M., Chava, S., and Singh, S. (2019) ‘Winner's Curse? Corporate Subsidies and Borrowing Costs of Local Governments’, Working Paper, Georgia Tech, 18 November 2019.Google Scholar
Davis, B. and Wei, L. (2020) Superpower Showdown: How the Battle Between Trump and Xi Threatens a New Cold War. New York, NY: Harper Collins.Google Scholar
Evenett, S.J. (2019) ‘Protectionism, State Discrimination, and International Business Since the Onset of the Global Financial Crisis’, Journal of International Business Policy 2(1), 936.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Evenett, S.J. and Fritz, J. (2017) Europe Fettered: The Impact of Crisis-Era Trade Distortions from the European Union. London: CEPR Press, 12 December.Google Scholar
Fajgelbaum, M., Morales, E., Suarez Serrato, J.C., and Zidar, O. (2019) ‘State Taxes and Spatial Misallocation’, Review of Economic Studies 86, 333376.Google Scholar
Farmer, L. (2019) ‘With Amazon Out of New York, Some Lawmakers Seek Multistate Ban on Corporate Tax Breaks’, Governing, 14 February, www.governing.com/topics/finance/gov-amazon-multistate-effort-ban-tax-breaks.html.Google Scholar
Good Jobs First (2020) ‘Special Blog Series on GASB 77 Compliance’, www.goodjobsfirst.org/special-blog-series-gasb-77-compliance.Google Scholar
Haley, U.C.V. (2012) ‘Putting the Pedal to the Metal: Subsidies to China's Auto-Parts Industry from 2001 to 2011’, Economic Policy Institute Report, 31 January.Google Scholar
Hoekman, B.M. and Nelson, D. (2020) ‘Rethinking International Subsidy Rules’, Bartelsmann Foundation working paper, 17 March 2020.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hopewell, K. (2016) Breaking the WTO: How Emerging Powers Disrupted the Neoliberal Project. Redwood City, CA: Stanford University Press.Google Scholar
International Monetary Fund (IMF) (2016) Subdued Demand: Symptoms and Remedies. Washington, DC: World Economic Outlook, October.Google Scholar
Lang, A. (2019) ‘Heterodox Markets and ‘Market Distortions’ in the Global Trading System’, Journal of International Economic Law 22, 677719.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lou, Y., Tian, Y., and Wang, K. (2020) ‘The Spillover Effect of US Industrial Subsidies on China's Exports’, Sustainability 12(7), 112.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Martinez, C. and Gehlausen, K. (2019) ‘Why Film Subsidies Fail: A Case Made for Texas by the States’, Texas Public Policy Foundation Policy Perspective, March.Google Scholar
Mast, E. (2018) ‘Race to the Bottom? Local Tax Break Competition and Business Location’, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research Employment Research Newsletter 25(1), 46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Narlikar, A. and Tussie, D. (2004) ‘The G20 at the Cancun Ministerial’, World Economy 27, 7.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oh, S.-Y. (this issue) ‘China's Race to the Top: Regional and Global Implications of China's Industrial Upgrading’.Google Scholar
Oman, C. (2000) Policy Competition for Foreign Direct Investment A Study of Competition among Governments to Attract FDI. Paris: Development Centre for the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (2011) Tax Competition Between Sub-Central Governments. Paris, France: COM/CTPA/ECO/GOV/WP(2011)13.Google Scholar
Ossa, R. (2018) ‘A Quantitative Analysis of Subsidy Competition in the US, Working Paper, University of Zurich, 21 August.Google Scholar
Singh, J.P. (2016) ‘Introduction: Emerging Powers and the WTO’, International Negotiation 21(2), 201207.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Slattery, C.R. (2018) ‘Campaign Spending and Corporate Subsidies: Evidence from Citizens United v. FEC , Working paper, University of Virginia, 25 August.Google Scholar
Slattery, C.R. (2020) ‘Bidding for Firms: Subsidy Competition in the US’, Working Paper, Columbia Graduate School of Business, 4 March.Google Scholar
Slattery, C.R. and Zidar, O. (2020) ‘Evaluating State and Local Business Tax Incentives’, National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper number 26603, January.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Suarez Serrato, J.C. and Zidar, O. (2016) ‘Who Benefits from State Corporate Tax Cuts? A Local Markets Approach with Heterogeneous Firms’, American Economic Review 106(9), 25822624.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weiss, L. (2005) ‘Global Governance, National Strategies: How Industrialized States Make Room to Move under the WTO’, Review of International Political Economy 12(5), 723749.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wolff, A. (2020) ‘DDG Wolff Outlines Measures Taken in Response to COVID-19, Highlights Key Role of WTO’, 1 April, www.wto.org/english/news_e/news20_e/ddgaw_01apr20_e.htm.Google Scholar