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Presidential Campaigning in the 2002 Congressional Elections

  • Luke J. Keele (a1), Brian J. Fogarty (a2) and James A. Stimson (a2)

Extract

Many different elements make up the strength of a president, but a president with a majority in both houses of Congress works from a position of power. While a congressional majority does not guarantee that a president can pass his agenda (witness Jimmy Carter and the first two years of the Clinton presidency), a president that has majority in Congress will have natural allies instead of natural enemies when he works to enact his legislative agenda.

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Corresponding author

Luke J. Keele is currently a post-doctoral fellow in quantitative methods at Nuffield College and Oxford University. His research interests include American politics and quantitative research methods.
Brian J. Fogarty is current a Ph.D. candidate in political science at UNC-Chapel Hill. His research interests include political communication, Congress, and political methodology.
James A. Stimson is currently the Raymond Dawson Professor of Political Science at the University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill. His research interests include macro politics and American politics.

References

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Congressional Quarterly's Politics in America. 2002. Washington, D.C.: CQ Press.
Heckman James A. 1979. “Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error.” Econometrica 47: 153161.
Imai Kosuke, and David A. van Dyk. 2004, forthcoming. “Casual Inference with General Treatment Regimes: Generalizing the Propensity Score.” Journal of the American Statistical Association. New York Times. November 6, 2002.
The Cook Political Report. August 2002. Washington, D.C.: National Political Review, Inc.
Washington Post. November 7, 2002.

Presidential Campaigning in the 2002 Congressional Elections

  • Luke J. Keele (a1), Brian J. Fogarty (a2) and James A. Stimson (a2)

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