Hostname: page-component-77c89778f8-sh8wx Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-24T04:57:34.898Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

On Projecting Grue

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 April 2022

John Moreland
John Moreland*
Affiliation:
Augustana College, Rock Island, Illinois
Get access Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

This paper attempts to place Goodman's “New Riddle of Induction” within the context of a subjectivist understanding of inductive logic. It will be argued that predicates such as ‘grue’ cannot be denied projectible status in any a priori way, but must be considered in the context of a situation of inductive support. In particular, it will be argued that questions of projectibility are to be understood as a variety of questions about the ways a given sample is random. Various examples are considered, including cases when ‘grue’ (as opposed to 'green') should be projected, and some remarks are offered on what is meant when it is claimed that a sample is random (in ways relevant to inductive support) and how such randomness is determined. The view presented helps to make clear the relation between such apparently non-projectible predicates as 'grue' and the concept of being examined.

Type
Research Article
Information
Philosophy of Science , Volume 43 , Issue 3 , September 1976 , pp. 363 - 377
Copyright
Copyright © 1976 by the Philosophy of Science Association

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

†

An earlier version of portions of this paper were presented at the Pacific Division meetings of the APA in March of 1974. There I profitted greatly from the criticism of Paul Teller. John Vickers is responsible for my interest in projection and much that I want to say about it. He is, of course, not responsible for the form my ideas take here.

References

REFERENCES

Barker, S. F. and Achinstein, P. “On the New Riddle of Induction.” The Philosophy of Science. Edited by Nidditch, P. H. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1968.Google Scholar
Carnap, R. “A Basic System of Inductive Logic, Part I.” Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability, Vol. 1. Edited by R. Carnap and R. C. Jeffrey. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1971.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carnap, R. “Inductive Logic and Rational Decisions.” Studies in Inductive Logic and Probability. Edited by Carnap, R. and Jeffrey, R. C. Berkeley: University of California Press, 1971.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carnap, R. Logical Foundations of Probability, Second Edition. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1962.Google Scholar
Carnap, R. “On the Application of Inductive Logic.” Philosophy and Phenomenological Research, 8 (1947–1948): 133–148.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
de Finetti, B. “Foresight: Its Logical Laws, Its Subjective Sources.” Trans. H. E. Kyburg, Jr., Studies in Subjective Probability. Edited by Kyburg, H. and Smokier, H. E. New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1964.Google Scholar
Goodman, N. Fact, Fiction, and Forecast, Second Edition. New York: Bobbs-Merrill Company, Inc., 1965.Google Scholar
Goodman, N. “A Query on Confirmation.” The Journal of Philosophy 43 (1946): 383–385.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hacking, I. Logic of Statistical Inference. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1965.Google Scholar
Hanson, N. R. Patterns of Discovery: An Inquiry into the Conceptual Foundations of Science. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1969.Google Scholar
Hintikka, J. “Indictive Independence and the Paradoxes of Confirmation.” In Essays in Honor of Carl G. Hempel. Edited by Rescher, N. Dordrecht, Holland: D. Reidel Publishing Company, 1970.Google Scholar
Jeffrey, R. C. “Goodman's Query.” The Journal of Philosophy 63 (1966): 281–288.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kemeny, J. G. “Fair Bets and Inductive Probabilities.” The Journal of Symbolic Logic 20 (1955): 263–273.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kyberg, H. Probability and the Logic of Rational Belief. Middletown, Conn.: Wesleyan University Press, 1961.Google Scholar
Lehman, R. S. “On Confirmation and Rational Betting.” The Journal of Symbolic Logic 20 (1955): 251–262.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Peirce, C. S. Philosophical Writings of Peirce. Edited by Buchler, J. New York: Dover Publications, Inc., 1955.Google Scholar
Pietarinen, J. Lawlikeness, Analogy, and Inductive Logic. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Company, 1972.Google Scholar
Ramsey, F. P. “Truth and Probability.” In The Foundations of Mathematics and Other Logical Essays. Edited by Braithwaite, R. B. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul Ltd., 1931.Google Scholar
Shimony, A. “Coherence and the Axioms of Confirmation.” The Journal of Symbolic Logic 20 (1955): 1–28.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vickers, J. M. “Characteristics of Projectible Predicates.” The Journal of Philosophy 64 (1967): 280–286.CrossRefGoogle Scholar