Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-jbqgn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-25T16:14:18.604Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

KURZARBEIT/SHORT TIME WORKING: EXPERIENCES AND LESSONS FROM THE COVID-INDUCED DOWNTURN

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 March 2022

Bernard H. Casey*
Affiliation:
Social Economic Research, London, United Kingdom and Frankfurt a. M., Germany
Ken Mayhew
Affiliation:
Department of Education, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom ROA, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands
*
*Corresponding author: b.casey@soceconres.eu

Abstract

Following the covid-induced lockdowns, many commented on the role the German model of Kurzarbeit could play in reducing unemployment. Other countries emulated the model. Looking at the experiences of Germany, the UK, Sweden and the USA, the article analyses the strengths and weaknesses of short-time working (STW) schemes. It asks whether STW has been well designed to have optimal short and longer run impact. It is quite effective as a short-term palliative, but in longer downturns, its weaknesses come to the fore. It is by no means clear that the UK needs a permanent replacement for the furlough.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of National Institute Economic Review

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

ACAS (n.d.), ‘Lay-offs and short-time working’, https://www.acas.org.uk/lay-offs-and-short-time-working.Google Scholar
Allianz (2020), ‘The risk of 9 million zombie jobs in Europe’, Allianz Research, https://www.allianz.com/en/economic_research/publications/specials_fmo/17062020_Labormarket.html.Google Scholar
Atwater, P. (2020), ‘The gap between the have and the have-nots is widening sharply’, Financial Times, 10 June 2020.Google Scholar
Balleer, A., Gehrke, B., Lechthaler, W. and Merkl, C. (2014), ‘Does short-time work save jobs? A business cycle analysis’, CESifo Working paper, no. 4640, Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute, Munich.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Banerjee, R. and Hofmann, B. (2018), ‘The rise of zombie firms: Causes and consequences’, BIS Quarterly Review, September, pp. 6778.Google Scholar
Barrero, J.M., Bloom, N. and Davis, S.J. (2020), COVID-19 Is Also a Reallocation Shock, Chicago: Becker Friedman Institute.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bartik, A., Bertrand, M., Lin, F., Rothstein, J. and Unrath, M. (2020), ‘Measuring the labor market at the onset of the COVID-19 crisis’, Paper prepared for the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity conference on 25 June 2020, www.brookings.edu/events/webinar-special-edition-bpea-2020-covid-19-and-the-economy/.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Becker, H. and Roberts, L. (2020), Improving the Worksharing System to Absorb Employment Shocks, Washington, DC: Center for American Progress.Google Scholar
Boeri, T. and Brücker, H. (2011), ‘Short-time work benefits revisited: Some lessons from the Great Recession’, IZA Discussion Papers, No. 5635, Institute for the Study of Labor, Bonn.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bundestag (2020), ‘Konzeption und Umsetzung der Corona-Wirtschaftshilfen der Bundesregierung’, Antwort der Bundesregierung auf die Kleine Anfrage der Abgeordneten Christian Dürr, Otto Fricke, Ulla Ihnen, weiterer Abgeordneter und der Fraktion der FDP, Deutscher Bundestag Drucksache 19/25659, Berlin.Google Scholar
Business-Wissen (2009), ‘Kurzarbeit: Motivation von Kurzarbeitern ist geringer’, bussiness-wissen.de, https://www.business-wissen.de/artikel/kurzarbeit-motivation-von-kurzarbeitern-ist-geringer/.Google Scholar
Cahuc, P., Kramarz, F. and Nevoux, S. (2018), ‘When short-time work works’, IZA Discussion Papers, No. 11673, Institute for the Study of Labor, Bonn.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cajner, T., Crane, L., Decker, R., Grigsby, J., Hamins-Puertolas, A., Hurst, E., Kurz, C. and Yildirmaz, A. (2020), ‘The U.S. labor market during the beginning of the pandemic recession’, Paper prepared for the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity conference on 25 June 2020, www.brookings.edu/events/webinar-special-edition-bpea-2020-covid-19-and-the-economy/.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Calmfors, L. (2020), ‘Finanspolitik för ett starkare Sverige’, in Eklund, K. (ed.), Idéer för ett starkare Sverige: Omstarts-kommissionen, Stockholm: Ekerlids Förlag, pp. 3360.Google Scholar
Cappelli, P. (2015), ‘Skills gaps, skills shortages and skills mismatches: evidence and arguments for the US’, Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 68, 2, pp. 251–90.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Clark, K. and Summers, L. (1979), ‘Labor market dynamics and unemployment: A reconsideration’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, pp 1372.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Davis, G. (2020), ‘Why the US jobless surge is worse than in Europe’, Financial Times, 17 May 2020.Google Scholar
Escobari, M., Seyal, I. and Daboin, C. (2020), New But Narrow Job Pathways for America’s Unemployed and Low-Wage Workers, Washington, DC: The Brookings Institute, https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2020/11/16/new-but-narrow-job-pathways-for-americas-unemployed-and-low-wage-workers/.Google Scholar
ETUC (2020), ‘Short time work measures across Europe’, COVID-19 WATCH: Briefing Note, Brussels European Trade Union Confederation.Google Scholar
ETUI (2020), ‘Ensuring fair short-time work - A European overview’, ETUI Policy Brief, 7/20, European Trade Union Institute, Brussels.Google Scholar
Fabian Society (2020), Sharing the Future: Workers and Technology in the 2020s, London: The Fabian Society.Google Scholar
Feldstein, M. (1975), ‘The importance of temporary layoffs: an empirical analysis’, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 3, pp. 725–45.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Felstead, A., Gallie, D. and Green, F. (2017), ‘Measuring skills stock, job skills and skills mismatch’, in Warhurst, C., Mayhew, K., Finegold, D. and Buchanan, J. (eds), The Oxford Handbook of Skills and Training, Oxford: OUP, pp. 321–44.Google Scholar
Freedland, M. (1980), ‘Leaflet law: The temporary short time working compensation scheme’, Industrial Law Journal, 9, 1, pp. 254–8.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fronstin, P. and Woodbury, S. (2020), ‘How many Americans have lost jobs with employer health coverage during the pandemic?’, Commonwealth Fund, https://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/issue-briefs/2020/oct/how-many-lost-jobs-employer-coverage-pandemic Google Scholar
GAO (2020), COVID-19: Urgent Actions Needed to Better Ensure an Effective Federal Response, Washington, DC: United States Government Accountability Office.Google Scholar
Grabka, M., Braband, C. and Göbler, K. (2020), ‘Beschäftigte in Minijobs sind VerliererInnen der coronabedingten Rezession’, DIW Wochenbericht, 45/20, pp. 841–7.Google Scholar
Gustafsson, M. (2020), Young Workers in the Coronavirus Crisis: Findings from the Resolution Foundation’s Coronavirus Survey, London: Resolution Foundation.Google Scholar
Hamaguchi, K. (2020), ‘Spread of the novel coronavirus and the future of Japanese labor policy’, Japan Labor Issues, 4, 24, pp. 18.Google Scholar
Heflin, Z. (2020), ‘Could Germany’s ‘Kurzarbeit’ solve US unemployment woes?’, Real Clear Policy, 14 July, https://www.realclearpolicy.com/articles/2020/07/14/could_germanys_kurzabeit_solve_us_unemployment_woes_498917.html.Google Scholar
Hijzen, A. and Martin, S. (2012), ‘The role of short-time working schemes during the global financial crisis and early recovery: A cross-country analysis’, Social, Employment and Migration Working papers no. 144, Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Paris.Google Scholar
Hijzen, A. and Venn, D. (2011), ‘The role of short-time work schemes during the 2008–09 recession’, OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working papers no. 115, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris.Google Scholar
IAB (2020), ‘Weiterbildung in der Covid-19-Pandemie stellt viele Betriebe vor Schwierigkeiten,’ https//www.iab-forum.de/weiterbildung-in-der-covid-19-pandemie-stellt-viele-betriebe-vor-schwierigkeiten/.Google Scholar
Kritikos, A., Graeber, D. and Seebauer, J. (2020), Corona-Pandemie wird zur Krise für Selbständige, Berlin: Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DP. 47/20).Google Scholar
Law, D. (2020), Relief Measures: Comparing Covid-19 Wage Subsidy Schemes, Wellington: The New Zealand Initiative.Google Scholar
Long, H. and Guskin, E. (2020), ‘Over 33 million Americans lost their job during the pandemic. 77 percent believe they’ll get it back’, Washington Post, 7 May 2020.Google Scholar
Mackenzie, M. (2020), ‘Investors face an uncharted course’, Financial Times, 14 July 2020.Google Scholar
Miller, J. (2021), ‘Chip shortage forces Audi to delay production’, Financial Times, 17 November 2021.Google Scholar
Miller, J. and Campbell, P. (2019), ‘German car industries faces “day of reckoning”’, Financial Times, 1 December 2019.Google Scholar
Mosely, H. (2020), Short-Time Work Schemes in the EU, Brussels: European Commission, Directorate-General for Employment, Social Affairs and Inclusion.Google Scholar
Moss, R. (2020), ‘Government launches free learning for furloughed workers’, Personnel Today, 28 April 2020.Google Scholar
OECD (2020), Economic Outlook December 2020, Paris: Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development.Google Scholar
Pollitz, K. and Claxton, G. (2020), ‘Changes in income and health coverage eligibility after job loss due to COVID-19’, Kaiser Family Foundation, https://www.kff.org/coronavirus-covid-19/issue-brief/changes-in-income-and-health-coverage-eligibility-after-job-loss-due-to-covid-19/.Google Scholar
Presse Augsburg (2020), ‘Arbeitsminister: Kurzarbeit wichtigstes Mittel zur Jobsicherung’, Presse Augsburg, 20 November 2020.Google Scholar
Resolution Foundation (2020), Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: Evaluating the Effects of the Current Economic Crisis on the UK Labour Market, London: Resolution Foundation.Google Scholar
Schiff, F. (1985), ‘Issues in assessing work-sharing’, in Dennis, B. (ed.), Proceedings of the Thirty Eighth Annual Meeting, Madison, WI: University of Wisconsin: Industrial Relations Research Association, pp. 449–56.Google Scholar
Schmid, G. (2014), ‘Sharing risks of labour market transitions: Towards a system of unemployment insurance’, British Journal of Industrial Relations, 53, 1, pp. 7093.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schmid, G. and Schröder, W. (2020), ‘Die Krise nutzen: Es ist Zeit für eine Arbeitsversicherung’, WZB-Mitteilungen, Juni-Heft, pp. 56–9.Google Scholar
SOU (2019), Stöd för validering eller kompetensåtgärder i samband med korttidsarbete, Stockholm: Statens Offentliga Untedningar (SOU 2019:10).Google Scholar
Staton, B. (2020), ‘Call for skills training boost to combat rising UK unemployment’, Financial Times, 1 November 2020.Google Scholar
Stewart, H. (2013), ‘Dr Doom says quantitative easing will create zombie banks, firms and borrowers’, The Guardian, 23 January 2013.Google Scholar
Strauss, D. (2020a), ‘UK’s furlough scheme to cost less than expected, says watchdog’, Financial Times, 4 June 2020.Google Scholar
Strauss, D. (2020b), ‘Millions of self-employed left out of latest UK support scheme’, Financial Times, 8 November 2020.Google Scholar
Thomas, D. (2021), ‘Treasury Lands £1bn Windfall as Companies Repay Furlough Cash’, Financial Times, 17 June 2021.Google Scholar
Whiteside, N. and Gillespie, J. (1991), ‘Deconstructing unemployment: Developments in Britain in the Interwar Years, Economic History Review, XLIV, 4, pp. 665–82.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
ZEW (2020), Die Mannheimer Corona-Studie: Schwerpunktbericht zum subjektiven Arbeitslosigkeitsrisiko der Beschäftigten in Deutschland, Mannheim: ZEW – Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung.Google Scholar