Hostname: page-component-5c6d5d7d68-7tdvq Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-08-25T17:33:51.214Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Large deviations and fairness for a betting game with a constant ratio of capital

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 August 2024

Toshio Nakata*
Affiliation:
Department of Mathematics, University of Teacher Education Fukuoka, Munakata, Fukuoka, 811-4192, Japan e-mail: nakata@fukuoka-edu.ac.jp

Extract

This Article is a follow-up to a recent Gazette Article about a probabilistic betting game studied by Abdin et al. [1]. We examine the speed of convergence of the probability needed to investigate this game by giving concrete examples, using the large deviation, which is a valuable tool for estimating probabilities of repeated trials (see [2], [3, Chapter 6], [4, Section 5.11]). Moreover, to get a deep understanding of the game, we study fairness when it is repeated infinite times. Let us call it fairness in the sense of infinity, whose exact definition will be given in the final section.

Type
Articles
Copyright
© The Authors, 2024 Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of The Mathematical Association

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Abdin, T., Mahmoud, H., Modarres, A., Wang, K., An index for betting with examples from games and sports, Math. Gaz. 106 (March 2022) pp. 3240.10.1017/mag.2022.7CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arratia, R., Gordon, L., Tutorial on large deviations for the binomial distribution, Bull. Math. Biology 51 (1989) pp. 125131.10.1016/S0092-8240(89)80052-7CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Lesigne, E., Heads or tails, AMS, (2005).Google Scholar
Grimmett, G., Stirzaker, D., Probability and random processes, (4th edn.), Oxford UP (2020).Google Scholar
Dutka, J., On the St Petersburg paradox, Arch. Rational Mech. 39 (1988) pp. 1339.10.1007/BF00329984CrossRefGoogle Scholar
W. Feller An introduction to probability theory and its applications, Vol. I (3rd edn.), Wiley (1968).Google Scholar
Stoica, G., Large gains in the St Petersburg game, C. R. Math. Acad. Sci. Paris, 346 (9–10) (2008) pp. 563566.10.1016/j.crma.2008.03.026CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Matsumoto, K., Nakata, T., Limit theorems for a generalized Feller game, J. Appl. Prob. 50 (1) (2013) pp. 5463.10.1239/jap/1363784424CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nakata, T., Approximations for the Feller games, Math. Gaz. 105 (November 2021) pp. 539543.10.1017/mag.2021.130CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nakata, T., Limit theorems for super-heavy tailed random variables with truncation: Application to the super-Petersburg game, Bull. Inst. Math. Acad. Sinica (N.S.) 15 (2) (2020), pp. 123-141.Google Scholar
Nakata, T., Large deviations for super-heavy tailed random walks, Stat. Prob. Lett. 180 (2022) 109240.10.1016/j.spl.2021.109240CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Abdin, T., Mahmoud, H., Losing a betting game, Problem 782, College Math. J. 36 (2005) pp. 333334.Google Scholar
Ross, K., Editor’s note on Problem 782, Coll. Math. J. 37 (2006) pp. 149151.Google Scholar
Williams, D., Probability with martingales. Cambridge University Press (1991). 10.1017/CBO9780511813658CrossRefGoogle Scholar