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On the Rates of Mortality in Victoria, and on the Construction of Mortality Tables from Census Returns by the Graphical Method of Graduation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 August 2016

Arthur Fras. Burridge
Affiliation:
Equity and Law Life Assurance Society Institute of Actuaries

Extract

The records of the Colony of Victoria afford a field for scientific enquiry in many directions, and questions of interest to the physician, the economist, or the actuary, are to be found therein. Its separate existence is but of thirty years' duration, as it was on 1 July 1851 that the Queen's proclamation was issued erecting it into a separate colony, to be called after her Majesty's name.

Many social and economic questions concerning the colony have already been considered; and no longer ago than 1879, the present Government Statist, Mr. Henry Heylyn Hayter, read an exhaustive paper before the Statistical Society. The object of the present enquiry, however, has, so far as I am aware, not received previous attention; and as it is one of strictly professional and scientific interest, it is hoped that it may be appropriately considered by the members of this Institute.

That object is to deduce from the registered vital statistics of the colony a mortality table exhibiting the actual rate of mortality which has been experienced ; and to compare that table with other standard tables, in order to note the effect of the different conditions of life prevalent in Victoria. For it is to be expected that a colony, whose geographical extent is only slightly inferior to that of Great Britain, whose difference of temperature between summer and winter varies less than that of Lisbon or the favoured Riviera, and whose population is far greater than any other Australasian colony, would possess special characteristics calculated to mark their effect on the rate of mortality of the people.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 1882

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References

page 311 note * These corrections were found by comparing the censuses of 1861 and 1871, which showed the following annual rates of increase (the interval between the censuses being 9.986 years):—Males, 1-02014; Females, 1-04562. The interval between 2 April and 1 July is about .24 of a year; and the corrections become Males, (1-02014) 24=l-0048; Females, (1-04562) 24=1-01076.

page 318 note * Since this was written, Mr. Geo. King, of the Alliance Life Office, has kindly drawn my attention to an investigation by Dr. Farr, in the 3rd English Life Table, into the mortality for each month of the first year of age. I have arranged the results to compare with the Victoria returns, and added them to Table I.

page 320 note * The values of mx were found by direct division by means of Fuller's Spiral Slide Rule, and this instrument was employed to perform all the multiplications and divisions necessary in the preparation of this paper. This useful form of the Slide Rule effects a considerable saving of labour. The Rule consists of a cylinder upon which is wound, in a spiral, a single logarithmic scale of 500 inches —or 41 feet 8 inches—long.

The setting and reading is worked by means of two indices, and the results can be read correctly to 4 and often to 5 places.

The Rule is manufactured by W. F. Stanley, Great Turnstile, London, and a full description of it is given in a pamphlet published by him. The price of the rule is £3,