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Development Strategy in an Early-Stage Economy: Uganda

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 November 2008

Paul G. Clark
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WHAT are the economic conditions for attaining Uganda's ambitious development goal, the doubling of income per capita in 15 years? My purpose here is to discuss the logic of five major structural changes which may be regarded as necessary for a substantial acceleration of Uganda's rate of economic growth. Since each of these changes would require energetic government policies to bring it about within the time- span considered, they can also be thought of as key elements of development strategy. I hope that the logic of these structural changes may be suggestive also for other countries at a somewhat similar stage of development, particularly in Africa.

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Articles
Information
The Journal of Modern African Studies , Volume 4 , Issue 1 , May 1966 , pp. 47 - 64
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1966

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References

Page 47 note 1 The model has been published in my article, ‘The Rationale and Uses of a Projection Model for the East African Economies’, in East African Economic Review (Nairobi), 06 1965.Google Scholar It has also been applied to analysing the new Tanzania and Kenya development plans in other chapters of Development Planning in East Africa.

Page 48 note 1 See Clark, P. G. and Frank, C. R., ‘Stages of Development and Internationally-Agreed Trade Policies’, E.D.R.P. (Economic Development Research Project) 20, 12 1964, Kampala.Google Scholar

Page 50 note 1 See Van Arkadie, B. and Ndegwa, P., ‘Future Trade, Balance of Payments, and Aid Requirements of East Africa’, in Problems of Foreign Aid: a Conference Report (Dar es Salaam, 1965),Google Scholar for discussion of over-all capital-output ratios in East Africa. See also Kenya Government, The Growth of the Economy, 1954–1962 (Nairobi, 1964).Google Scholar

Page 52 note 1 see Kyesimira, Y., ‘Agricultural Export Development in East Africa’, in E.A.I.S.R. Conference Papers (Kampala), 01 1965.Google Scholar

Page 54 note 1 See Ndegwa, Philip, The Common Market and Development in East Africa (Nairobi, 1966),Google Scholar for discussion of the effects of a preferential market. See Arkadie, B. Van, ‘Import Substitution and Export Promotion as Aids to Industrialization in East Africa’, in East African Economic Review, 12 1964,Google Scholar for discussion of the scope for import substitution.

Page 54 note 2 In the projection model, op. Cit., there were import parameters for each of seven classes of mports, expressed as ratios to an appropriate domestic production or income variable, and ‘normal’ imports were defined as those which would have been generated by unchanged import parameters.

Page 58 note 1 See Rado, E. R. and Jolly, A. R., ‘The Demand for Manpower: an East African case study’, in The Journal of Development Studies (London), 04 1965.Google Scholar The elasticity employed was derived from a cross-section study by J. Tinbergen, ‘Financial Aspects of Educational Expansion in Developing Regions’, prepared for a conference of the O.E, C.D. Study Group on ‘The Economics of Education’, September 1964.