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Sequential selection of an increasing subsequence from a sample of random size

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

Alexander V. Gnedin*
Affiliation:
University of Göttingen
*
Postal address: Institute of Mathematical Stochastics, University of Göttingen, Lotzestrasse 13, 37083 Göttingen, Germany. Email address: gnedin@math.uni-goettingen.de.

Abstract

A random number of independent identically distributed random variables is inspected in strict succession. As a variable is inspected, it can either be selected or rejected and this decision becomes final at once. The selected sequence must increase. The problem is to maximize the expected length of the selected sequence.

We demonstrate decision policies which approach optimality when the number of observations becomes in a sense large and show that the maximum expected length is close to an easily computable value.

Type
Research Papers
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 1999 

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