Hostname: page-component-7479d7b7d-767nl Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-12T13:26:31.603Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Highway Delays Resulting From Flow-Stopping Incidents

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 July 2016

P. Gayer Donald Jr*
Affiliation:
Carnegie-Mellon University

Abstract

Modern highways, particularly the freeways of large cities, carry a considerable volume of traffic during certain times of day. Thus if any interruption or retardation of flow occurs, a large reaction in the shape of a monumental and time-consuming traffic jam soon appears. For example, when an accident or mechanical breakdown gives rise to a severe flow restriction or stoppage, many other vehicles may be quickly halted, and remain stopped until the impediment is cleared away. In addition, the flow of traffic may be slowed considerably even after the original stoppage is removed owing to the existence of a queue. Consequently, vehicles that arrive long after the original restriction is removed experience prolonged, and sometimes seemingly inexplicable, delay. Our purpose is to develop a probability model for the situation described, with the aim of estimating the consequence of a temporary flow restriction. Various measures of (in)effectiveness are worth considering. We consider primarily the total vehicle-hours waited while the jam dissipates; the latter may roughly measure total social cost. The total number of vehicles involved in the jam is also of interest, as are other figures of merit.

Type
Research Papers
Copyright
Copyright © Applied Probability Trust 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

[1] CraméR, H. (1946) Mathematical Methods of Statistics. Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
[2] Darroch, J., Newell, G. and Morris, R. (1964) Queues for a vehicle actuated traffic light. Operat. Res. 12, 882895.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[3] Desai, S. R. (1968) Development and evaluation of deterministic models for estimating the influence of a freeway accident on delay and safety. Report No. ORC 68–4, Operations Research Center, Univ. of California, Berkeley.Google Scholar
[4] Feller, W. (1966) An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications. Vol. II. Wiley and Sons, New York.Google Scholar
[5] Gaver, D. P. (1968) Diffusion approximations and models for certain congestion problems. J. Appl. Prob. 5, 607623.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[6] Gaver, D. P. (1959) Imbedded Markov chain analysis of a waiting-line process in continuous time. Ann. Math. Statist. 30, 698720.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[7] Heyman, D. P. (1966) Optimal operating policies for stochastic service systems. Report No. ORC 66–31, Operations Research Center, Univ. of California, Berkeley.Google Scholar
[8] Iglehart, D. (1965) Limiting diffusion approximations for the many-server queue and the repairman problem. J. Appl. Prob. 2, 429441.CrossRefGoogle Scholar