Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Home

Forecasting Irrigation Water Demand: A Case Study on the Flint River Basin in Georgia

  • Swagata “Ban” Banerjee (a1), Irfan Y. Tareen (a2), Lewell F. Gunter (a3), Jimmy Bramblett (a4) and Michael E. Wetzstein (a3)...

Abstract

Southeast drought conditions have accentuated the demand for irrigation in the face of restricted water supply. For allocating this supply, Georgia held an auction for withdrawing irrigated acreage. This auction withdrew 33,000 acres from irrigation, resulting in a physical estimate of a 399 acre-feet daily increase in water flow. The actual reduction is driven by crop distributional changes on the basis of economic substitution and expansion effects. In contrast to the physical estimates, an econometric model that considers these effects is developed. The differences between the physical and econometric models result in an increase in the estimate of water savings of around 19% to 24%.

Copyright

References

Hide All
Barten, A.P., and Vanloot, C.. “Price Dynamics in Agriculture: An Exercise in Historical Econometrics.Econometric Modelling 13(1996):315-31.
Bettendorf, L., and Blomme, J.. “An Empirical Study of the Distribution of Crops in Agricultural Land in Belgium: 1900-1939.Hisorical Social Research 19(1994):5363.
Bewley, R., Young, T., and Colman, D.. “A Systems Approach to Modelling Supply Equations in Agriculture.Journal of Agricultural Economics 38(1987):151-66.
Binkley, J.K., and McKinzie, L.. “Improving Acreage Response Analysis with Multiple Equations.North Central Journal of Agricultural Economics 6(1984):9198.
Bohrnstedt, G.W., and Goldberger, A.S.. “On the Exact Covariance of Products of Random Variables.Journal of the American Statistical Association 64(1969):143-92.
Burt, C.M., Mutziger, A.J., Allen, R.G., and Howell, T.A.. “Evaporation Research: Review and Interpretation.Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering 131(2005):3758.
Chavas, J.P., and Holt, M.T.. “Acreage Decision Under Risk: The Case of Corn and Soybeans.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 72(1990):529-38.
Chavas, J.P., Pope, R.D., and Kao, R.S.. “An Analysis of the Role of Futures Prices, Cash Prices, and Government Programs in Acreage Response.Western Journal of Agricultural Economics 8(July 1983):2733.
Chembezi, D.M., and Womack, A.W.. “Regional Acreage Response for U.S. Corn and Wheat: The Effects of Government Programs.Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics 24(1992):187-98.
Choi, J.S., and Helmberger, P.G.. “Acreage Response, Expected Price Functions, and Endogenous Price Expectations.Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 18(July 1993):3746.
Colman, D.Prairie Grain and Oilseed Acreage Response.Working paper no. 7. Ottawa, Canada: Policy, Planning and Economics Branch, Agriculture Canada, 1979.
Coyle, B.T.On Modeling Systems of Crop Acreage Demands.Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 18(1993):5769.
Dodd, B.Permit Transfers Hold Water for Georgia. Atlanta: Georgia Public Policy Foundation, January 2004.
Duffy, P.A., Richardson, J.W., and Wohlgenant, M.K.. “Regional Cotton Acreage Response.Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics 19(1987):99108.
Duffy, P.A., Shalshali, K., and Kinnucan, H.W.. “Acreage Response Under Farm Programs for Major Southeastern Field Crops.Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 26(1994):367-78.
Eales, J.S., Engel, B.K., Hauser, R.J., and Thompson, S.R.. “Grain Price Expectations of Illinois Farmers and Grain Merchandisers.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 72(1990):701-08.
Flint River Drought Protection Act. House Resolution 17, Georgia General Assembly, 2001.
Gardner, B.L.Futures Prices in Supply Analysis.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 58(1976):8184.
Georgia Environmental Protection Division. Atlanta, GA: Geological Survey Branch, August 2001.
Holt, M.T.A Linear Approximate Acreage Allocation Model.Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 24(1999):383-97.
Houck, J.P., and Ryan, M.E.. “Supply Analysis of Corn in the United States: The Impact of Changing Government Programs.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 54(1972):184-91.
Just, R.E.The Investigation of the Importance of Risk in Farmers’ Decision.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 56(1974):1425.
Kraker, E., and Paddock, B.. “A Systems Approach to Estimating Prairie Crop Acreage.Ottawa, Canada: Agriculture Canada Marketing and Economics Branch Working paper 15, 1985.
Krause, M.A., Lee, J.H., and Koo, W.W.. “Program and Nonprogram Wheat Acreage Responses to Price and Price Risk.Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 20(1995):96107.
Lin, W.Measuring Aggregate Supply Response Under Instability.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 59(1977):903-07.
Massow, M., and Weersink, A.. “Acreage Response to Government Stabilization Programs in Ontario.Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics 41(1993):1326.
McIntosh, C.S., and Shideed, K.H.. “The Effects of Government Programs on Acreage Response Over Time: The Case of Corn Production in Iowa.Western Journal of Agricultural Economics 41(1989):3814.
Morzuch, B.J., Weaver, R.D., and Helmberger, P.G.. “Wheat Acreage Supply Response under Changing Farm Program.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 62(1980):2937.
Mutziger, A.J., Burt, C.M., Howes, D.J., and Allen, R.G.. “Comparison of Measured and FAO-56 Modeled Evaporation from Bare Soil.Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering 131(2005):5972.
Nerlove, M.The Dynamics of Supply: Estimation of Farmer’s Response to Price. Baltimore, MD: John Hopkins Press, 1958.
Nieuwoud, W.L., Womack, A.W., and Johnson, S.R.. “Measurement of Importance of Risk on Supply Response of Corn and Soybeans.North Central Journal of Agricultural Economics 10(1988):281-92.
Pope, R.D., and Just, R.E.. “On Testing the Structure of Risk Preferences in Agricultural Supply Analysis.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 73(1991):743-48.
Prophet Financial Systems, Inc. “Historical Futures Data 1959-Present.” CD-ROM, 1999.
Shideed, K.H., White, F.C., and Brannen, S.J.. “The Responsiveness of U.S. Corn and Soybean Acreage to Conditional Price Expectations: An Application to the 1985 Farm Bill.Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics 19(1987):153-67.
Shumway, C.R.Supply, Demand, and Technology in a Multiproduct Industry: Texas Field Crops.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 65(1983):748-60.
Traill, B.Risk Variables in Econometric Supply Models.Journal of Agricultural Economics 29(1978):5361.
United States Department of Agriculture-National Agricultural Statistics Service. NASS—Data and Statistics. Internet site: http://www.nass.usda.gov/Data_and_Statistics/index.asp (Accessed August 8, 2007).
United States Department of Agriculture-Natural Resources Conservation Service. “ACT/ACF River Basins Comprehensive Study: Agricultural Water Demand.” Auburn, AL: USDA-NRCS, 1995.
United States Department of Agriculture-Soil Conservation Service. “Irrigation Water Requirements.” City: Soil Conservation Service Engineering Division Technical Release 21, April 1967.
University of Georgia-Cooperative Extension Service. “Georgia Irrigation Survey.Tifton, Georgia: Biological and Agricultural Engineering, 1999.

Keywords

Related content

Powered by UNSILO

Forecasting Irrigation Water Demand: A Case Study on the Flint River Basin in Georgia

  • Swagata “Ban” Banerjee (a1), Irfan Y. Tareen (a2), Lewell F. Gunter (a3), Jimmy Bramblett (a4) and Michael E. Wetzstein (a3)...

Metrics

Full text views

Total number of HTML views: 0
Total number of PDF views: 0 *
Loading metrics...

Abstract views

Total abstract views: 0 *
Loading metrics...

* Views captured on Cambridge Core between <date>. This data will be updated every 24 hours.

Usage data cannot currently be displayed.