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The association between caffeine and cognitive decline: examining alternative causal hypotheses

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 January 2014

K. Ritchie*
Affiliation:
Inserm, Montpellier, France University of Montpellier 1, Montpellier, France Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College, London, UK
M.L. Ancelin
Affiliation:
Inserm, Montpellier, France University of Montpellier 1, Montpellier, France
H. Amieva
Affiliation:
ISPED, University of Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France
O. Rouaud
Affiliation:
CMMR CHU Dijon, Dijon, France
I. Carrière
Affiliation:
Inserm, Montpellier, France University of Montpellier 1, Montpellier, France
*
Correspondence should be addressed to: K. Ritchie, Inserm U1061, Neuropsychiatry: Epidemiological and Clinical Research, La Colombière Hospital, 34093 Montpellier cedex 5, France. Phone: +33 4 99 61 45 68; Fax: +33 4 99 61 45 79. Email: karen.ritchie@inserm.fr.

Abstract

Background:

Numerous studies suggest that higher coffee consumption may reduce the rate of aging-related cognitive decline in women. It is thus potentially a cheap and widely available candidate for prevention programs provided its mechanism may be adequately understood. The assumed effect is that of reduced amyloid deposition, however, alternative pathways notably by reducing depression and diabetes type 2 risk have not been considered.

Methods:

A population study of 1,193 elderly persons examining depressive symptomatology, caffeine consumption, fasting glucose levels, type 2 diabetes onset, serum amyloid, and factors known to affect cognitive performance was used to explore alternative causal models.

Results:

Higher caffeine consumption was found to be associated with decreased risk of incident diabetes in men (HR = 0.64; 95% CI 0.42–0.97) and increased risk in women (HR = 1.51; 95% CI 1.08–2.11). No association was found with incident depression. While in the total sample lower ratio Aβ42/Aβ40 levels (OR = 1.36, 95% CI 1.05–1.77, p = 0.02) were found in high caffeine consumers, this failed to reach significance when the analyses were stratified by gender.

Conclusions:

We found no evidence that reduced risk of cognitive decline in women with high caffeine consumption is moderated or confounded by diabetes or depression. The evidence of an association with plasma beta amyloid could not be clearly demonstrated. Insufficient proof of causal mechanisms currently precludes the recommendation of coffee consumption as a public health measure. Further research should focus on the high estrogen content of coffee as a plausible alternative explanation.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © International Psychogeriatric Association 2014 

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