¹ For suggestions on research designs, see Hoole, Francis W., “Evaluating the Impact of International Organizations,” International Organizational, 3 (Summer 1977): 541–563.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

² Bergsten, C. Fred, “The Threat is Real,” Foreign Policy 14 (Spring 1974): 84–90.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

³ For example, Zuhayr, Mikdashi, “Collusion Could Work,” Foreign Policy 14 (Spring 1974): 57–68Google Scholar; Stephen, Krasner, “Oil is the Exception,” Foreign Policy 14 (Spring 1974): 83.Google Scholar

⁴ Box, G. E. and Jenkins, G. M., Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (San Francisco: Holden-Day, Inc., 1970).Google Scholar

⁵ Hibbs, Douglas A. Jr, “On Analyzing the Effects of Policy Interventions: Box-Jenkins and Box-Tiao vs. Structural Equations Models,” unpublished paper, Center for International Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (12 1974), p. 43. Hibbs concludes, “… the causally naive Box-Tiao [Jenkins] scheme—which merely requires times-series observations on endogenous variables, knowledge of the time-spans of external interventions, and some hunches about the form of endogenous responses—would appear to have no serious rival.”Google Scholar

⁶ The specifics of the models are elaborated by the authors in “Modeling Equilibrium Trends and Interventions in Commodity Markets” (in revision). In all cases, price effects are expressed in 1967 dollars; the U.S. Wholesale Commodity Price Index was used to deflate the price series.

⁷ Trade in Primary Commodities. Conflict or Cooperation? A Tripartite Report (Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, 1974), p. 28.Google Scholar

⁸ International Tin Council, Statistical Bulletin (09 1968–02 1969).Google Scholar

⁹ International Tin Council, Notes in Tin 183 (04 1976).Google Scholar

¹⁰ The development of CIPEC organization is analyzed in a paper by the authors, “Cooperation or Illusion: An Examination of the Inter-Governmental Council of Copper Exporting Countries,” International Organization 30, 2 (Spring 1976): 263–288.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

¹¹ Burrows, J. C., “Econometric Modeling of Metal and Mineral Industries,” in Mineral Materials Modeling: A State-of-the-Art Review, Vogely, W. A., ed. (Washington, D.C.: Resources for the Future, 1975), pp. 121–132.Google Scholar

¹² Prinsky, Robert J., “Financing of Price Supports for Copper Is Discussed at Two Geneva Conferences,” Wall Street Journal, 18 03 1977, p. 13.Google Scholar

¹³ Banks, F. E., “An Econometric Model of the World Tin Economy: A Comment,” Econometrica 40 (07, 1972): 749–752.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

¹⁴ A good source for post World War II events is Walter LaFeber, America, Russia, and the Cold War, 1945–1971, 2nd ed. (New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1972)Google Scholar. For particular attention to the Vietnam buildup, see Gallucci, Robert L., Neither Peace Nor Honor. The Politics of American Military Policy in Vietnam (Baltimore, Maryland: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975).Google Scholar

¹⁵ See Cooper, Richard N. and Lawrence, Robert Z., “The 1972–75 Commodity Boom,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 3 (1975): 671–723.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

¹⁶ For a more detailed account, see Marwan, Iskandar, The Arab Oil Question (Beirut: Middle East Economic Consultants, 1974)Google Scholar and Middle East Economic Survey 17, 48 (20 09 1974): iii.Google Scholar

¹⁷ For more specific information, see United States Department of the Interior, Bureau of Mines, Mineral Facts and Problems, Bulletin 650 (1970).

¹⁸ For details of these events, see Metals Week, Metal Bulletin, and Copper Studies for the appropriate time period.