This study compared the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment (HTA) Programme portfolio of research with the united Kingdom (UK) burden of disease, as measured by Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs).

Design: Cross-sectional study.

Setting: The HTA Programme cohort included all funded applications (n = 363) received by the HTA Programme during the period 1 April 2011 to 31 March 2016. The sample contained primary research and evidence syntheses, all purely methodological studies were excluded since these are not comparable to the other study types.

Main Outcome Measure: Proportion of spend for each of the twenty-one Health Research Classification System (HRCS) health categories were compared with burden of disease in the UK calculated using 2015 DALY data from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) Global Health Data Exchange (GHDx).

The funded HTA Programme projects totalled about GBP397million research spend, which broadly reflected the UK DALY burden. Overall, there was less than 5 percent difference between the actual and predicted programme spend based on the burden of disease in the UK in most instances (seventeen out of the twenty-one HRCS Health Categories).

The largest categories of apportioned spend were Cancer (accounting for 12.1 percent of portfolio), and Mental Health (11.8 percent of portfolio) which particularly reflected the 9.8 percent burden of disease to the UK. Most notable deviations from DALY, where spend was lower than disease burden, were in the Cancer, Cardiovascular and Musculoskeletal categories; which may reflect the importance of other, notably charity, funding.

The HTA Programme spend broadly aligns with burden of disease as measured using DALYs. Discrepancies were expected owing to the programme remit and its approach to commissioning research to address market failure particularly in areas that are not already well supported by research charities or industry. Regular review of DALY data during research prioritisation and commissioning allows the HTA Programme to identify and address shortfalls in disease areas and to balance its portfolio.