Hostname: page-component-7479d7b7d-qs9v7 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-10T23:02:42.732Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Social Bases of Populist Domination: Market Reforms and Popular Reactions in Latin America and Post-Communist Europe

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 March 2022

Binio S. Binev*
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA
*
*Corresponding author. Email: biniobinev@vt.edu

Abstract

This article explains why only some post-neoliberal populists successfully keep themselves in power, thereby dominating political systems over the long term. Based on cross-regional dual paired comparisons of ‘crucial’ cases in the Andes and Central Europe, it advances a theory emphasizing societal reactions rooted in prior neoliberal critical junctures. I argue that where well-established and programmatic social democratic parties engaged in bait-and-switch reforms, subsequent populists mobilized extensive electoral coalitions with core support from former leftist constituents, based on which they built organizational capacities for the provision of national public goods that reinforced their popularity over the long term. By contrast, where personalistic leaders politicized regionally based divides through identity-priming appeals and then disproportionately hurt core supporters through bait-and-switch reforms, subsequent populists mobilized more segmented electoral coalitions, built less cohesive parties and provided limited public goods, which undermined their popularity as incumbents. By underscoring parallels in two different world regions, the article challenges institutionalist accounts of populist domination and offers a novel societally focused perspective.

Type
Article
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Government and Opposition Limited

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Acemoglu, D, Egorov, G and Sonin, K (2013) A Political Theory of Populism. Quarterly Journal of Economics 128(2), 771805. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjs077.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Alemán, E and Kellam, M (2008) The Nationalization of Electoral Change in the Americas. Electoral Studies 27(2), 193212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2007.10.005.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Amorim Neto, O and Santos, F (2001) The Executive Connection: Presidentially Defined Factions and Party Discipline in Brazil. Party Politics 7(2), 213234. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068801007002004.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arce, M (2008) The Repoliticization of Collective Action after Neoliberalism in Peru. Latin American Politics and Society 50(3), 3762. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1548-2456.2008.00021.x.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Arce, M (2014) Resource Extraction and Protest in Peru. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bagashka, T, Bodea, C and Han, SM (2022) Populism's Rise in Post-Communist Countries: Breaking Electoral Promises and Incumbent Left Parties’ Vote Losses. European Journal of Political Research 61, 134153. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12444.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baker, A and Greene, KF (2011) The Latin American Left's Mandate: Free-Market Policies and Issue Voting in New Democracies. World Politics 63(1), 4377. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0043887110000286.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barr, RR (2009) Populists, Outsiders and Anti-Establishment Politics. Party Politics 15(1), 2948. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068808097890.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Becker, M (2011) Pachakutik: Indigenous Movements and Electoral Politics in Ecuador. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers.Google Scholar
Bell, J (2001) The Political Economy of Reform in Post-Communist Poland. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing.Google Scholar
Bertelsmann Stiftung (2010) BTI 2010 Poland Country Report (Bertelsmann Stiftung's Transformation Index (BTI) 2016). Gütersloh. www.bti-project.org.Google Scholar
Bertelsmann Stiftung (2016) BTI 2016 Peru Country Report (Bertelsmann Stiftung's Transformation Index (BTI) 2016). Gütersloh. www.bti-project.org.Google Scholar
Bill, S and Stanley, B (2020) Whose Poland Is It to Be? PiS and the Struggle between Monism and Pluralism. East European Politics 36(3), 378394. https://doi.org/10.1080/21599165.2020.1787161.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bochsler, D (2010) Measuring Party Nationalization: A New Gini-Based Indicator That Corrects for the Number of Units. Electoral Studies 29(1), 155168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2009.06.003.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bowen, JD (2015) Rethinking Democratic Governance: State Building, Autonomy, and Accountability in Correa's Ecuador. Journal of Politics in Latin America 7(1), 83110. https://doi.org/10.1177/1866802X1500700103.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cameron, MA (1994) Democracy and Authoritarianism in Peru: Political Coalitions and Social Change. New York: St Martin's Press.Google Scholar
Cameron, MA (2009) El Giro a la Izquierda Frustrado en Perú: El Caso de Ollanta Humala. Convergencia: Revista de Ciencias Sociales IA, 275302. www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=10512244012.Google Scholar
Cameron, MA (2011) Peru: The Left Turn That Wasn't. In Levitsky, S and Roberts, K (eds), The Resurgence of the Latin American Left. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, pp. 375398.Google Scholar
Castañeda-Angarita, N (2013) Party System Nationalization, Presidential Coalitions, and Government Spending. Electoral Studies 32(4), 783794. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2013.03.005.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Clark, P and García, J (2019) Left Populism, State Building, Class Compromise, and Social Conflict in Ecuador's Citizens’ Revolution. Latin American Perspectives 46(1), 230246. https://doi.org/10.1177/0094582X18807723.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Conaghan, CM (2011) Ecuador: Rafael Correa and the Citizens’ Revolution. In Levitsky, S and Roberts, K (eds), The Resurgence of the Latin American Left. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, pp. 260282.Google Scholar
de la Torre, C and Arnson, CJ (eds) (2013) Latin American Populism in the Twenty-First Century. Washington, DC and Baltimore: Woodrow Wilson Center Press and Johns Hopkins University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Doyle, D (2011) The Legitimacy of Political Institutions Explaining Contemporary Populism in Latin America. Comparative Political Studies 44(11), 14471473. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414011407469.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Engler, S, Pytlas, B and Deegan-Krause, K (2019) Assessing the Diversity of Anti-Establishment and Populist Politics in Central and Eastern Europe. West European Politics 42(6), 13101336. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2019.1596696.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fisher, S (2002) The Troubled Evolution of Slovakia's Ex-Communists. In Bozóki, A and Ishiyama, JT (eds), The Communist Successor Parties of Central and Eastern Europe. Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, pp. 116140.Google Scholar
Frye, T (2010) Building States and Markets after Communism: The Perils of Polarized Democracy. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gaentzsch, A (2018) The Distributional Impact of Social Spending in Peru. School of Business and Economics Discussion Paper 2018/7. Berlin: Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.Google Scholar
Greskovits, B (1998) The Political Economy of Protest and Patience: Eastern European and Latin American Transformations Compared. Budapest: Central European University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Grzymała-Busse, A (2002) Redeeming the Communist Past: The Regeneration of Communist Parties in East Central Europe. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Haughton, T (2001) HZDS: The Ideology, Organization and Support Base of Slovakia's Most Successful Party. Europe-Asia Studies 53(5), 745769. https://doi.org/10.1080/09668130120060251.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Haughton, T (2004) Explaining the Limited Success of the Communist-Successor Left in Slovakia: The Case of the Party of the Democratic Left (SDL’). Party Politics 10(2), 177191. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068804040499.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jones, MP and Mainwaring, S (2003) The Nationalization of Parties and Party Systems: An Empirical Measure and an Application to the Americas. Party Politics 9(2), 139166. https://doi.org/10.1177/13540688030092002.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kitschelt, H (2013) Democratic Accountability and Linkages Project (DALP). Durham, NC: Duke University. https://web.duke.edu/democracy/index.html.Google Scholar
Krastev, I (2007) The Strange Death of the Liberal Consensus. Journal of Democracy 18(4), 5663. https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2007.0072.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levitsky, S and Loxton, J (2013) Populism and Competitive Authoritarianism in the Andes. Democratization 20(1), 107136. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2013.738864.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Levitsky, S and Roberts, KM (2011) Introduction: Latin America's ‘Left Turn’: A Framework for Analysis. In Levitsky, S and Roberts, K (eds), The Resurgence of the Latin American Left. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, pp. 375398.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lupu, N (2016) Party Brands in Crisis: Partisanship, Brand Dilution, and the Breakdown of Political Parties in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Madrid, R (2012) The Rise of Ethnic Politics in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Malová, D (2017) Strengthening Social Democracy in the Visegrad Countries: Limits and Challenges Faced by Smer-SD. Prague and Bratislava: Friedrich Ebert Stiftung.Google Scholar
Markowski, R (2006) The Polish Elections of 2005: Pure Chaos or a Restructuring of the Party System? West European Politics 29(4), 814832. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402380600842452.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Morgenstern, S (2017) Are Politics Local? The Two Dimensions of Party Nationalization around the World. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mudde, C (2007) Populist Radical Right Parties in Europe. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mudde, C and Rovira Kaltwasser, C (eds) (2012) Populism in Europe and the Americas: Threat or Corrective for Democracy? New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mudde, C and Rovira Kaltwasser, C (2013) Exclusionary vs. Inclusionary Populism: Comparing Contemporary Europe and Latin America. Government and Opposition: An International Journal of Comparative Politics 48(2), 147174. https://doi.org/10.1017/gov.2012.11.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Muñoz, P and Dargent, E (2016) Perú: El Fin del Optimismo. Revista de Ciencia Política 36(1), 313338. https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-090X2016000100014.Google Scholar
Nalepa, M (2016) Party Institutionalization and Legislative Organization: The Evolution of Agenda Power in the Polish Parliament. Comparative Politics 48(3), 353372. https://doi.org/10.5129/001041516818254428.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Orenstein, MA (2001) Out of the Red: Building Capitalism and Democracy in Postcommunist Europe. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ost, D (2005) Defeat of Solidarity: Anger and Politics in Postcommunist Europe. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Poertner, M (2018) Creating Partisans: The Organizational Roots of New Parties in Latin America. PhD dissertation, Berkeley.Google Scholar
Polga-Hecimovich, J (2014) ¿Hacia Una Superación del ‘Cleavage’ Regional? La Nacionalización de los Partidos Políticos Ecuatorianos desde el Retorno a la Democracia. América Latina Hoy 67, 91118. https://doi.org/10.14201/alh20146791118.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Polk, J et al. (2017) Explaining the Salience of Anti-Elitism and Reducing Political Corruption for Political Parties in Europe with the 2014 Chapel Hill Expert Survey Data. Research & Politics 4(1), 19. https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168016686915.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pop-Eleches, G (2009) From Economic Crisis to Reform: IMF Programs in Latin America and Eastern Europe. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Pop-Eleches, G (2010) Throwing Out the Bums: Protest Voting and Anti-Establishment Parties after Communism. World Politics 62(2), 221260. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0043887110000043.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Przeworski, A (1991) Democracy and the Market: Political and Economic Reforms in Eastern Europe and Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rae, G (2008) Poland's Return to Capitalism: From the Socialist Bloc to the European Union. New York: Tauris Academic Studies.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Roberts, KM (1995) Neoliberalism and the Transformation of Populism in Latin America: The Peruvian Case. World Politics 48(1), 82116. https://doi.org/10.1353/wp.1995.0004.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Roberts, KM (1998) Deepening Democracy? The Modern Left and Social Movements in Chile and Peru. Stanford: Stanford University Press.Google Scholar
Roberts, KM (2014) Changing Course in Latin America: Party Systems in the Neoliberal Era. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Rooduijn, M et al. (2019) The PopuList: An Overview of Populist, Far Right, Far Left and Eurosceptic Parties in Europe. www.popu-list.org.Google Scholar
Ruckert, A, Macdonald, L and Proulx, KR (2017) Post-Neoliberalism in Latin America: A Conceptual Review. Third World Quarterly 38(7), 15831602. https://doi.org/10.1080/01436597.2016.1259558.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rybář, M and Deegan-Krause, K (2008) Slovakia's Communist Successor Parties in Comparative Perspective. Communist and Post-Communist Studies 41(4), 497519. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.postcomstud.2008.09.008.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Seawright, J (2012) Party-System Collapse: The Roots of Crisis in Peru and Venezuela. Stanford: Stanford University Press.Google Scholar
Silva, E (2009) Challenging Neoliberalism in Latin America. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stanley, B (2015) Poland: The Long Arm of Transition. In Tiersky, R and Jones, E (eds), Europe Today: A Twenty-First Century Introduction, 5th edn. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, pp. 257291.Google Scholar
Stanley, B (2016) Confrontation by Default and Confrontation by Design: Strategic and Institutional Responses to Poland's Populist Coalition Government. Democratization 23(2), 263282. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2015.1058782.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tarrow, S (2010) The Strategy of Paired Comparison: Toward a Theory of Practice. Comparative Political Studies 43(2), 230259. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414009350044.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tavits, M (2013) Post-Communist Democracies and Party Organization. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Toplišek, A (2020) The Political Economy of Populist Rule in Post-Crisis Europe: Hungary and Poland. New Political Economy 25(3), 388403. https://doi.org/10.1080/13563467.2019.1598960.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Trivelli, C (2016) Making Growth Inclusive: Establishment of the Ministry of Social Development and Inclusion. In Santos, A and Werner, A (eds), Peru: Staying the Course of Economic Success. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund, pp. 429441.Google Scholar
Vachudova, MA (2020) Ethnopopulism and Democratic Backsliding in Central Europe. East European Politics 36(3), 318340. https://doi.org/10.1080/21599165.2020.1787163.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Van Cott, DL (2005) From Movements to Parties in Latin America: The Evolution of Ethnic Politics. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vera Rojas, S and Llanos-Escobar, S (2016) Ecuador: Democracia Después de Nueve Años de La Revolución Ciudadana de Rafael Correa. Revista de Ciencia Política 36(1), 347365. https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-090X2016000100007.Google Scholar
Vergara, A and Watanabe, A (2019) Presidents without Roots: Understanding the Peruvian Paradox. Latin American Perspectives 46(5), 2543. https://doi.org/10.1177/0094582X19854097.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weisbrot, M, Johnson, J and Merling, L (2017) Decade of Reform: Ecuador's Macroeconomic Policies, Institutional Changes, and Results. Washington, DC: Center for Economic Policy Research.Google Scholar
Weyland, K (1999) Neoliberal Populism in Latin America and Eastern Europe. Comparative Politics 31(4), 379401. https://doi.org/10.2307/422236.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weyland, K (2009) The Rise of Latin America's Two Lefts: Insights from Rentier State Theory. Comparative Politics 41(2), 145164. https://doi.org/10.5129/001041509X12911362971918.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Weyland, K (2020) Populism's Threat to Democracy: Comparative Lessons for the United States. Perspectives on Politics 18(2), 389406. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592719003955.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Yashar, DJ (2005) Contesting Citizenship in Latin America: The Rise of Indigenous Movements and the Postliberal Challenge. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Binev supplementary material
Download undefined(File)
File 524.1 KB