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P068: Predictors of admission in unscheduled return visits to the emergency department

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 May 2018

J. Hayward*
Affiliation:
University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB
R. Hagtvedt
Affiliation:
University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB
W. Ma
Affiliation:
University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB
M. Vester
Affiliation:
University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB
A. Gauri
Affiliation:
University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB
B. R. Holroyd
Affiliation:
University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB
*
*Corresponding author

Abstract

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Introduction: The 72-hr unscheduled return visit (URV) of an emergency department (ED) patient is often used as a key performance indicator in Emergency Medicine. Patients with unscheduled return visits and admission to hospital (URVA) may represent a distinct subgroup of URVs compared to unscheduled return visits with no admission (URVNA). Methods: A retrospective cohort study of all 72-hr URVs in adults across nine EDs in the Edmonton Zone (EZ) over a one-year period (Jan 1 2015 Dec 31 2015) was performed using ED information system data. URVA and URVNA populations were compared and a multivariable analysis identified predictors of URVA. Results: Analysis of 40,870 total URV records, including 3,363 URVAs, revealed predictors of URVA on the index visit including older age (>65 yrs, OR 3.6), fewer annual ED visits (<4 visits, OR 2.0), higher disease acuity (CTAS 2, OR 2.6), gastrointestinal presenting complaint (OR 2.2), presenting to a large referral hospital (OR 1.4), and more hours spent in the ED (>12 hours, OR 2.0). A decrease in CTAS score (increase in disease acuity) upon return visit was also a risk factor (-1 CTAS level, OR 2.6). ED crowding at the index visit, as indicated by occupancy level, was not a predictor. Conclusion: We demonstrate that URVA patients comprise a distinct subgroup of 72-hr URVs across an entire health region. Risk factors for URVA are present at the index visit suggesting that patients at high risk for URVA may be identifiable prior to admission.

Type
Poster Presentations
Copyright
Copyright © Canadian Association of Emergency Physicians 2018