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Do not pay for a Danish interest guarantee. The law of the triple blow

  • Montserrat Guillén (a1), Agnieszka Karolina Konicz (a2), Jens Perch Nielsen (a3) and Ana M. Pérez-Marín (a4)

Abstract

We have investigated the performance of pension schemes of with-profit policies containing a guaranteed minimum rate of return and we have found that the price of the guarantee measured in terms of lost returns is enormous. We use simple simulations rather than complex pricing methods to illustrate that the price of an interest guarantee is high in pension products that are currently commercialised in the market. We have found that the customer loses up to about 0.75% yearly in the rate of return when an interest guarantee is purchased, compared to the return of an equivalent saving strategy with the same risk at the level 95%. This can explain why such arrangements are not widely popular. Our approach can be used to inform clients, who are not experts in modern financial models, the impact of paying for an interest guarantee.

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Corresponding author

*Correspondence to: Montserrat Guillén. Department of Econometrics, Riskcenter-IREA, University of Barcelona, Avinguda Diagonal, 690, E-08034 Barcelona, Spain. E-mail: mguillen@ub.edu

References

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Guillén, M., Nielsen, J.P., Pérez-Marín, A., Petersen, K.S. (2011). Performance measurement of pension strategies: A case study of danish life cycle products. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, forthcoming. DOI:10.1080/03461238.2010.537835.
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Konicz, A.K. (2010). Performance measurement of empirical and theoretical pension investment strategies. Master's thesis, University of Copenhagen. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1663791.

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