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6 - Historical Perspectives on International Exchange Rates

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Andrew Gelman
Affiliation:
Columbia University, New York
Jeronimo Cortina
Affiliation:
University of Houston
Andrew Gelman
Affiliation:
Columbia University, New York
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Summary

HISTORY AND SOCIAL SCIENCE

Before we take a look at an example drawn from twentieth-century economic history, let me recapitulate and expand a bit on what was said in Chapter 5 about the general question of history and quantification and on history's place in the social sciences. We've already seen that today history is the least quantitative of the social sciences. Most history Ph.D. candidates study neither mathematics nor statistics as part of their training to be a historian, and history retains many of the peculiarities that come with its position as the first social science to have more or less uniform professional standards inculcated by training at the university level. The principles governing the professional historian's inquiries are still largely those laid down by the German school of Leopold von Ranke (1795–1886) in the early nineteenth century, and the wellsprings of the Rankean method are to be found in classical philology, which emphasized textual criticism and the close reading of original documentary sources, although, as mentioned in Chapter 5, this did not at all rule out the inclusion of quantitative material.

The superiority of the methods of the hard sciences was not so obvious in Ranke's time, and Ranke can certainly be excused for taking as his model classical philology, which had been enormously successful in its pursuit to establish the ur-texts of the ancient authors.

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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2009

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