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Primary Model Predicts Trump Reelection

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 October 2020

Helmut Norpoth*
Affiliation:
Stony Brook University

Abstract

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Type
Forecasting the 2020 US Elections
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association

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References

Lewis-Beck, Michael, Jacoby, William, Norpoth, Helmut, and Weisberg, Herbert. 2008. The American Voter Revisited. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.10.3998/mpub.92266CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mebane, Walter R. Jr. 2004. “The Wrong Man Is President! Overvotes in the 2000 Presidential Election in Florida.” Perspectives on Politics 2: 525–35.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2014. "The Electoral Cycle.” PS: Political Science & Politics 47: 332–35.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2016. “Primary Model Predicts Trump Victory.” PS: Political Science & Politics 49 (4): 655–58.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2018. “Predicting Elections.” In Oxford Handbook of Behavioral Political Science, edited by Mintz, Alex and Terris, Lesley. New York: Oxford University Press. https://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/view/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780190634131.001.0001/oxfordhb-9780190634131.Google Scholar
Norpoth, Helmut. 2020. “Replication Data for: Primary Model Predicts Trump Re-election.Harvard Dataverse. doi: 10.7910/DVN/IBFHRE.Google Scholar
Yule, G. Udny. 1927. “On A Method of Investigating Periodicities in Disturbed Series, with Special Reference to Wolfer’s Sunspot Numbers.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series A, Containing Papers of a Mathematical or Physical Character 226: 267-298.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: Link

Norpoth Dataset

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