Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-4rdrl Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-16T07:59:37.018Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

ESTIMATING DESIGN EFFORT NEEDS OF PRODUCT DESIGN PROJECTS USING CAPTURED EXPERT KNOWLEDGE – A PROPOSED METHOD

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 July 2021

Alexander 'Freddie' Holliman*
Affiliation:
University of Strathclyde
Avril Thomson
Affiliation:
University of Strathclyde
Abigail Hird
Affiliation:
University of Strathclyde
*
Holliman, Alexander 'Freddie', University of Strathclyde, Department of Design Manufacture and Engineering Management, United Kingdom, alexander.holliman@strath.ac.uk

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

The quick and accurate estimation of design effort can be make or break for all but the largest of product design consultancies. Traditional design project planning see designers being taken away from the metaphorical drawing board to spend time assessing project briefs and estimating workloads. Typically these designers base these estimates on their tacit knowledge and experience, and for the most part, they are accurate. However, this is time-consuming and therefore (indirectly) costly, as time spent planning, is not time spent designing. Many more sophisticated approaches for estimating design effort have been developed, but many require large bodies of past data and sophisticated analysis, such as artificial neural networks; and others have highly-specific use cases.

This paper proposes a new method to develop a design effort estimation tool for product design consultancies. This method captures the tacit knowledge and experience of design team members and the tool replicates it quickly and effectively; graphically modelling factors that influence design effort needs in product design projects.

Type
Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
Copyright
The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press

References

Bashir, H.A. and Thomson, V. (2001a), “An analogy-based model for estimating design effort”, Design Studies, Vol. 22 No. 2, pp. 157167.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bashir, H.A. and Thomson, V. (2001b), “Models for estimating design effort and time”, Design Studies, Vol. 22 No. 2, pp. 141155.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Benedetto, H., Bernardes, M.M. e S. and Vieira, D. (2018), “Proposed framework for estimating effort in design projects”, International Journal of Managing Projects in Business, Emerald, Vol. 11 No. 2, pp. 257274.Google Scholar
Benton, S., Miller, S. and Reid, S. (2018), The Design Economy 2018: The State of Design in the UK, available at: https://www.designcouncil.org.uk/sites/default/files/asset/document/Design_Economy_2018.pdf.Google Scholar
Brauers, J. and Weber, M. (1988), “A new method of scenario analysis for strategic planning”, Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Vol. 7 No. 1, pp. 3147.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chalupnik, M.J., Wynn, D.C. and Clarkson, P.J. (2009), “Approaches to Mitigate the Impact of Uncertainty in Development Processes”, DS 58-1: Proceedings of ICED 09, the 17th International Conference on Engineering Design, Vol. 1, Design Processes2, The Design Society, Palo Alto, CA, USA, pp. 459470.Google Scholar
Cohn, M. (2005), Agile Estimating and Planning, Pearson Education Ltd., London.Google Scholar
Dong, C., Horinouchi, T., Nomaguchi, Y. and Fujita, K. (2014), “Design Project Planning Method With Task Option Model and Two-Level Multi-Objective Optimization”.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eckert, C.M. and Clarkson, P.J. (2010), “Planning development processes for complex products”, Research in Engineering Design, Vol. 21 No. 3, pp. 153171.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eppinger, S.D., Whitney, D.E., Smith, R.P. and Gebala, D.A. (1994), “A model-based method for organizing tasks in product development”, Research in Engineering Design, Vol. 6 No. 1, pp. 113.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fisher, R.A. (1949), The Design of Experiments, 5th ed., Oliver and Boyd, Edinburgh.Google Scholar
Griffin, A. (1993), “Metrics for measuring product development cycle time”, Journal of Product Innovation Management, Vol. 10 No. 2, pp. 112125.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harfield, S. (2007), “On design ‘problematization’: Theorising differences in designed outcomes”, Design Studies, Vol. 28 No. 2, pp. 159173.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hird, A. (2012), A Systems Approach to Resource Planning in New Product Development, edited by University of Strathclyde. Dept. of Design, M. and E.M., Thesis [Eng. D] -- University of Strathclyde, 2012.Google Scholar
Holliman, A.F., Thomson, A. and Hird, A. (2020), “Collaborative Project Brief Scorecard Method: Evaluating Product Design Projects to Aid Design Effort Estimation”, in Marjanovic, D., Storga, M., Pavkovic, N. and Bojcetic, N. (Eds.), DS 102: Proceedings of the DESIGN 2020 16th International Design Conference, The Design Society, pp. 14451454.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Holliman, A.F., Thomson, A., Hird, A. and Wilson, N. (2020), “What's taking so long? A collaborative method of collecting designers’ insight into what factors increase design effort levels in projects”, Artificial Intelligence for Engineering Design, Analysis and Manufacturing, Cambridge University Press, pp. 122.Google Scholar
Jack, H. (2013), “Chapter 6 - Planning and Managing Projects BT - Engineering Design, Planning, and Management”, Academic Press, Boston, pp. 215244.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jaifer, R., Beauregard, Y. and Bhuiyan, N. (2020), “New Framework For Effort And Time Drivers In Aerospace Product Development Projects”, Engineering Management Journal, Taylor & Francis, pp. 120.Google Scholar
Jonassen, D.H. (2000), “Toward a design theory of problem solving”, Educational Technology Research and Development, Vol. 48 No. 4, pp. 6385.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lindemann, U., Maurer, M. and Braun, T. (2009), Structural Complexity Management: An Approach for the Field of Product Design, Structural Complexity Management: An Approach for the Field of Product Design, TU München, Lehrstuhl für Produktentwicklung, Boltzmannstr. 15, 85748 Garching, Germany, available at:https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-87889-6.Google Scholar
Luck, R. (2013), “Articulating (mis)understanding across design discipline interfaces at a design team meeting”, Artificial Intelligence for Engineering Design, Analysis and Manufacturing, Cambridge University Press, Vol. 27 No. 2, pp. 155166.Google Scholar
Maurer, M. (2017), Complexity Management in Engineering Design - a Primer, Complexity Management in Engineering Design - a Primer, Technische Universität München, Garching, Bayern, Germany, available at:https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-53448-9.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Musès, C. (2000), “Simplifying complexity: The greatest present challenge to management and government”, Kybernetes, Emerald, Vol. 29 No. 5/6, pp. 612637.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
O'Donovan, B., Eckert, C., Clarkson, J. and Browning, T.R. (2005), “Design planning and modelling”, in Clarkson, J. and Eckert, C. (Eds.), Design Process Improvement: A Review of Current Practice, Springer London, London, pp. 6087.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pich, M.T., Loch, C.H. and Meyer, A. De. (2002), “On Uncertainty, Ambiguity, and Complexity in Project Management”, Management Science, INFORMS, Vol. 48 No. 8, pp. 10081023.Google Scholar
Pollmanns, J., Hohnen, T. and Feldhusen, J. (2013), “An Information Model of the Design Process for the Estimation of Product Development Effort BT - Smart Product Engineering”, in Abramovici, M. and Stark, R. (Eds.), Springer Berlin Heidelberg, Berlin, Heidelberg, pp. 885894.Google Scholar
Salam, A. and Bhuiyan, N. (2016), “Estimating design effort using parametric models: A case study at Pratt & Whitney Canada”, Concurrent Engineering, SAGE Publications Ltd STM, Vol. 24 No. 2, pp. 129138.Google Scholar
Serrat, J., Lumbreras, F. and López, A.M. (2013), “Cost estimation of custom hoses from STL files and CAD drawings”, Computers in Industry, Vol. 64 No. 3, pp. 299309.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shafiee, S., Herbert-Hansen, Z.N.L., Hvam, L., Haug, A., Bonev, M. and Mortensen, N.H. (2019), “Development of a Design-Time Estimation Model for Complex Engineering Processes”, Advances in Transdisciplinary Engineering, Vol. 10, pp. 301310.Google Scholar
Shah, J.J. and Runger, G. (2013), “What is in a name? On the misuse of information theoretic dispersion measures as design complexity metrics”, Journal of Engineering Design, Taylor & Francis, Vol. 24 No. 9, pp. 662680.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shang, Z.-G. and Yan, H.-S. (2016), “Product Design Time Forecasting by Kernel-Based Regression with Gaussian Distribution Weights”, Entropy, Vol. 18 No. 6, pp. 231248.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Suh, N.P. (1999), “A Theory of Complexity, Periodicity and the Design Axioms”, Research in Engineering Design, Vol. 11 No. 2, pp. 116132.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tatikonda, M. V and Rosenthal, S.R. (2000), “Technology novelty, project complexity, and product development project execution success: a deeper look at task uncertainty in product innovation”, IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. 47 No. 1, pp. 7487.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wang, Z., Tong, S. and Huang, L. (2015), “Research on the time prediction model of product variant design”, 2015 IEEE International Conference on Mechatronics and Automation (ICMA), IEEE, pp. 572576.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Whitney, D.E. (1990), “Designing the design process”, Research in Engineering Design, Vol. 2 No. 1, pp. 313.CrossRefGoogle Scholar