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Supposition and (Statistical) Models
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 17 February 2023
Abstract
In a recent paper, Sprenger advances what he calls a “suppositional” answer to the question of why a Bayesian agent’s degrees of belief should align with the probabilities found in statistical models. I show that Sprenger’s account trades on an ambiguity between hypothetical and subjunctive suppositions and cannot succeed once we distinguish between the two.
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- © The Author(s), 2023. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Philosophy of Science Association