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Supposition and (Statistical) Models

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 February 2023

Corey Dethier*
Affiliation:
Leibniz Universität Hannover, Hannover, Germany

Abstract

In a recent paper, Sprenger advances what he calls a “suppositional” answer to the question of why a Bayesian agent’s degrees of belief should align with the probabilities found in statistical models. I show that Sprenger’s account trades on an ambiguity between hypothetical and subjunctive suppositions and cannot succeed once we distinguish between the two.

Type
Discussion Note
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2023. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Philosophy of Science Association

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