Concurrent slowdown in every major economic region: world growth to slow to 3.3 per cent this year and 3.7 per cent next year.

All major countries opt for the same policies of near zero interest rates and fiscal tightening.

European countries face remarkably divergent growth paths next year: Germany above trend growth and Southern Europe in deep recession. Tensions will heighten further.

World demand below potential output growth means rising unemployment — in some countries even higher than seen in the Great Depression.