Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-qxdb6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T23:20:10.060Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Explaining World Wine Exports in the First Wave of Globalization, 1848–1938

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 June 2020

María-Isabel Ayuda
Affiliation:
Department of Economic Analysis, Universidad de Zaragoza, Faculty of Economics and Business Studies, Gran Via 2, 50005Zaragoza, Spain; e-mail: mayuda@unizar.es.
Hugo Ferrer-Pérez
Affiliation:
Agrifood and Natural Resources Economics Unit, Agrifood Research and Technology Center of Aragón (CITA) and Instituto Agroalimentario de Aragón, IA2 (UNIZAR-CITA), Avda. Montañana 930, 50059, Zaragoza, Spain; e-mail: hferrer@cita-aragon.es.
Vicente Pinilla*
Affiliation:
Department of Applied Economics and Economic History, Universidad de Zaragoza and Instituto Agroalimentario de Aragón, IA2 (UNIZAR-CITA), Faculty of Economics and Business Studies, Gran Vía 2, 50005Zaragoza, Spain
*
e-mail: vpinilla@unizar.es (corresponding author).

Abstract

The objective of this article is to analyze the determinants of world wine exports in the first globalization, taking into account the principal exporting countries and using an extended version of the gravity model. The article distinguishes between ordinary- and high-quality wines. Our econometric results show that wine exports were not affected by the increase in the size of the markets of consuming countries, since in most of them wine was an alcoholic beverage consumed by a very small minority of the population. The harvests of the producing countries, particularly in preceding years, significantly and positively affected their exports. Conversely, the harvests of importers hurt exports as there was a home bias in consumption due to cultural, price, or tariff protection reasons. In the interwar period, the wine trade was severely affected by a series of shocks such as WWI, the Soviet revolution, the Prohibition, and the 1930s depression. As was the case with trade as a whole, the fall in transaction costs, favored exports, at least those of lower-priced and lower-quality wine. However, the liberalization of trade had a lesser impact on wine than on other products. (JEL Classifications: F14, N50, Q13, Q17)

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © American Association of Wine Economists, 2020

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

This study has received financial support from Spain's Ministry of Science and Innovation, project PGC2018-095529-B-I00, Interreg-Sudoe project VINCI-SOE3/P2/F0917 (FEDER-European Union), the Government of Aragon, through the Research Groups “S55_20R AND S40_20R,” and from the European Regional Development Fund (FEDER) “Building Europe from Aragon.” The authors thank Olivier Gergaud and the participants of the American Association of Wine Economics Conferences (Padua and Vienna) and the Prohibition 1919–2019 Conference (Reims) for their comments. We also thank the editors and an anonymous referee for their comments.

References

Anderson, K. (2004). The World's Wine Markets. Globalization at Work. Cheltenham-Northampton: Edward Elgar.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, K. (with the assistance of N. R. Aryal) (2013). Which Winegrape Varieties Are Grown Where? A Global Empirical Picture. Adelaide: University of Adelaide Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, K. (2018). Australia and New Zealand. In Anderson, K. and Pinilla, V. (eds.), Wine Globalization: A New Comparative History, 323357. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, K. (2020). Consumer taxes on alcohol: An international comparison over time. Journal of Wine Economics, 15(1). doi:10.1017/jwe.2020.2CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, K., Meloni, G., and Swinnen, J. (2018). Global alcohol markets: Evolving consumption patterns, regulations, and industrial organizations. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 10, 105132.Google Scholar
Anderson, K., Nelgen, S., and Pinilla, V. (2017). Global Wine Markets, 1860 to 2015: A Statistical Compendium. Adelaide: University of Adelaide Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, K., and Pinilla, V. (with the assistance of A.J. Holmes) (2017). Annual Database of Global Wine Markets, 1835 to 2016. Wine Economics Research Centre, University of Adelaide. Available at https://www.adelaide.edu.au/wine-econ/databases/global-wine-history/.Google Scholar
Anderson, K., and Pinilla, V. (2018a). Wine Globalization: A New Comparative History. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, K., and Pinilla, V. (2018b). Global overview. In Anderson, K. and Pinilla, V. (eds.), Wine Globalization: A New Comparative History, 3–23. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, K., and Wittwer, G. (2013). Modeling global wine markets to 2018: Exchange rates, taste changes, and China's import growth. Journal of Wine Economics, 8(2), 131158.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, K., and Wittwer, G. (2017). U.K. and global wine markets by 2025, and implications of Brexit. Journal of Wine Economics, 12(3), 221251.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Anderson, K., and Wittwer, G. (2018). Cumulative effects of Brexit and other UK and EU-27 bilateral free-trade agreements on the world's wine markets. World Economy, 41, 28832894.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ayuda, M. I., Ferrer-Pérez, H., and Pinilla, V. (2019). A leader in an emerging new global market: The determinants of French wine exports, 1848–1938. Economic History Review. https://doi.org/10.1111/her.12878.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bolt, J., and van Zanden, J. L. (2014). The Maddison project: Collaborative research on historical national accounts. Economic History Review, 67(3), 627651.Google Scholar
Cardebat, J. M., and Figuet, J. M. (2019). The impact of exchange rates on French wine exports. Journal of Wine Economics, 14(1), 7189.Google Scholar
Chevet, J. M., Fernandez, E., Giraud-Héraud, E., and Pinilla, V. (2018) France. In Anderson, K. and Pinilla, V. (eds.), Wine Globalization: A New Comparative History, 55–91. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Dal Bianco, A., Ladislao Boatto, V., Caracciolo, F., and Gaetano Santeramo, F. (2016). Tariffs and non-tariffs in the world wine trade. European Review of Agricultural Economics, 43, 3157.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Degroully, P. (1910). Essai historique et économique sur la production et le marché des vins en France. Montpellier: Impr. de Roumégous et Déhan.Google Scholar
Desbois-Thibault, C. (2003). L'extraordinaire aventure du Champagne. Moët & Chandon. Una affaire de famille. Paris: Presses Universitaires de France.Google Scholar
Direction General des Douanes (1849–1939). Tableau General du Commerce Extérieur de la France, Paris.Google Scholar
Dunlevy, J., and Hutchinson, W. K. (1999). The Impact of immigration on American import trade in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. Journal of Economic History, 59(4), 10431062.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Federico, G., and Martinelli, P. (2018). Italy to 1938. In Anderson, K. and Pinilla, V. (eds), Wine Globalization: A New Comparative History, 130152. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fernández, A. (2004). Un mercado ‘étnico’ en el Plata. Madrid: CSIC.Google Scholar
Fernández, E., and Pinilla, V. (2018). Spain. In Anderson, K. and Pinilla, V. (eds.), Wine Globalization: A New Comparative History, 208238. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Guy, K. M. (2003). When Champagne Became French. Wine and the Making of a National Identity. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.Google Scholar
Harding, R. G. (2017). Advertisements of every kind to bring their brand into Notoriety: Branding and “brandolatry” in the nineteenth-century champagne trade in Britain. Journal of Wine Economics, 12(4), 378385.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Harding, R. G. (2018). The establishment of champagne in Britain, 1860–1914. Oxford: Ph.D. Dissertation University of Oxford.Google Scholar
Hatton, T., and Williamson, J. (1994). Global Migration and the World Economy. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.Google Scholar
Holmes, A., and Anderson, K. (2017). Convergence in national alcohol consumption patterns: New global indicators. Journal of Wine Economics, 12(2), 117148.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Imperial Economic Committee (1933). Wine. Reports of the Imperial Economic Committee. Twenty-Third Report. London, UK.Google Scholar
Isnard, H. (1954). La vigne en Algérie, étude géographique. Ophrys: Editions de l'harmatan.Google Scholar
Jacks, D. S. (2006). What drove 19th century commodity market integration? Explorations in Economic History, 43(3), 383412.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacks, D., Meissner, C., and Novy, D. (2011). Trade booms, trade busts, and trade costs. Journal of International Economics, 83(2), 185201.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kareem, F. O., and Kareem, O. I. (2014). Specification an estimation of gravity models: A review of the issues in the literature. European University Institute, RSCAS Working Paper No. 214/74. Available from https://cadmus.eui.eu/handle/1814/31893.Google Scholar
Lafforgue, G. (1947). Le vignoble girondin. Paris: Louis Larmat.Google Scholar
Lains, P. (2018). Portugal. In Anderson, K. and Pinilla, V. (eds.), Wine's Evolving Globalization: A New Comparative History, 178207. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ludington, C. C. (2018). United Kingdom. In Anderson, K. and Pinilla, V. (eds.), Wine Globalization: A New Comparative History, 239271. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Macedo, A., Gouveia, S., and Rebelo, J. (2019). Horizontal differentiation and determinants of wine exports: Evidence from Portugal. Journal of Wine Economics, https://doi.org/10.1017/jwe.2019.31.Google Scholar
Meloni, G., Anderson, K., Deconinck, K., and Swinnen, J. (2019). Wine regulations. Applied Economic Policy and Perspectives, 41(4), 620649.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Meloni, G., and Swinnen, J. (2018). Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia. In Anderson, K. and Pinilla, V. (eds.), Wine's Evolving Globalization: A New Comparative History, 441465. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mills, T. C. (2018). Is there convergence in national alcohol consumption patterns? Evidence from a compositional time series approach. Journal of Wine Economics, 13(1), 9298.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Niklas, B., and Sadik-Zada, E. R. (2019). Income inequality and status symbols: The case of fine wine imports. Journal of Wine Economics, 14(4), 365373.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Office International du Vin (1928–1939). Annuaire International du Vin, Paris.Google Scholar
Pan-Montojo, J. (1994). La bodega del mundo. La vid y el vino en España (1800–1936). Madrid: Alianza Editorial.Google Scholar
Peri, G., and Requena-Silvente, F. (2010). The trade creation effect of immigrants: Evidence from the remarkable case of Spain. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, 43(4), 14331459.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Piermartini, R., and Yotov, Y. (2016). Estimating trade policy effects with structural gravity. University of Munich, CESifo Working Paper Series No. 6009, August. Available from SSRN at https://ssrn.com/abstract=2828613.Google Scholar
Pinilla, V., and Ayuda, M. I. (2002). The political economy of the wine trade: Spanish exports and the international market, 1890–1935. European Review of Economic History, 6, 5185.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pinilla, V., and Ayuda, M. I. (2007). The international wine market, 1850–1938: An opportunity for export growth in Southern Europe? In Campbell, G. and Guibert, N. (eds.), The Golden Grape: Wine, Society and Globalization, Multidisciplinary Perspectives on the Wine Industry, 179199. London: Palgrave Macmillan.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pinilla, V., and Serrano, R. (2008). The agricultural and food trade in the first globalization: Spanish table wine exports 1871 to 1935 – A case study. Journal of Wine Economics, 3(2), 132148.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Santos Silva, J. M. C., and Tenreyro, S. (2006). The log of gravity. Review of Economics and Statistics, 88(4), 641658.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Simpson, J. (2011). Creating Wine: The Emergence of a World Industry, 1840–1914. New York: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Sören, P., and Bruemmer, B. (2012). Bimodality & the performance of PPML. University of Goettingen, Department for Agricultural Economics and Rural Development Discussion Paper 1202, January. Available at https://www.researchgate.net/publication/221899408_Bimodality_the_Performance_of_PPML.Google Scholar
Staub, K. E., and Winkelmann, R. (2013). Consistent estimation of zero-inflated count models. Health Economics, 22(6), 673686.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Swinnen, J. (ed.) (2011). The Economics of Beer. Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Unwin, T. (1991). Wine and the Vine. An Historical Geography of Viticulture and the Wine Trade. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
U.S. Tariff Commission (1939). Grapes, Raisins and Wines, 2nd series. Report No. 134, Washington, DC.Google Scholar
Wittwer, G., Berger, N., and Anderson, K. (2003). A model of the world's wine markets. Economic Modelling, 20(3), 487506.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Supplementary material: File

Ayuda et al. supplementary material

Ayuda et al. supplementary material

Download Ayuda et al. supplementary material(File)
File 24.7 KB