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A Discussion of Economic and Stock Market Trends, and an Approach to Forecasting

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 August 2014

P. T. Jenkins
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Extract

The aim of this paper is to illustrate in some detail a practical approach to the process of forming a judgment of the investment scene as it is likely to be presented to the U.K. investor. It falls into four parts, namely:

1. Theoretical base.

2. Survey of type of variations in stock markets and the factors affecting them.

3. Methods of diagnosing trends.

4. An approach to forecasting.

The last part occupies only a small proportion of the space since the formation of a judgment in investment work, as in most other fields, is only ‘10% inspiration’.

Type
Research Article
Information
Journal of the Staple Inn Actuarial Society , Volume 15 , Issue 1 , April 1958 , pp. 1 - 42
Copyright
Copyright © Institute of Actuaries Students' Society 1958

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References

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