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On an Approximate Method of Valuation of Whole-Life Assurances, grouped according to attained ages with allowance for Selection on the basis of O[M] Mortality

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 August 2016

E. H. Brown
Affiliation:
The Prudential Assurance Company, Limited

Extract

The presentation in November 1905, of three papers on “methods of valuation with allowance for selection” (J.I.A., vol. xl, pp. 1, 15, 42) might well be considered to have left room for no further word on the subject. Any attempt to produce a new method merely to achieve an equal degree of accuracy would undoubtedly be presumptuous, for Mr. King's method affords absolute accuracy, Mr. Diver follows with a microscopic error of £9 on a reserve of more than £3,000,000, and Mr. Ackland closes the series with a larger but still relatively insignificant error of £1,183 on a total reserve of upwards of £13,500,000. It is also shown that in both Messrs. Ackland's and Diver's methods, the error may be expected to be always less than ·01 per-cent.

The practical application of all three methods involves, however, a departure from the familiar system of classifying whole-life assurances according to attained ages, with the loss of all the advantages attaching to that system. This will be viewed by many with regret, and was especially referred to by Mr. Lidstone and Mr. R. P. Hardy in the subsequent discussion. Their remarks, together with Mr. Ackland's cordial expression of goodwill to “other workers in this field” led me to consider the subject from the standpoint of a grouping according to attained ages without any sub-grouping according to duration.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 1909

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References

page 185 note * NOTE.—It has been found advisable to denote the attained age by y, in order to avoid confusion when referring to Messrs. Ackland's and Diver's papers, where x denotes the entry age.

page 190 note * As ft=log10 k 10 — log10 kt , we may replace the symbol ft Kt.