Hostname: page-component-7479d7b7d-fwgfc Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-12T17:29:55.589Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

NUDGING TO PROHIBITION? A REASSESSMENT OF IRVING FISHER’S ECONOMICS OF PROHIBITION IN LIGHT OF MODERN BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 March 2023

Nicholas A. Curott
Affiliation:
Nicholas A. Curott: Department of Economics, Ball State University. Email: nacurott@bsu.edu.
Nicholas A. Snow
Affiliation:
Nicholas A. Snow: Department of Economics, Wabash College. Email: Snown@Wabash.edu.

Abstract

In this paper we argue that Irving Fisher (1867–1947) is an unacknowledged pioneer of modern behavioral economics. Fisher’s behavioralist orientation is evident in his writings on alcohol prohibition. In these works, Fisher argued that behavioral anomalies prevent individuals from making rational choices regarding alcohol consumption. Fisher thought these anomalies arose from three sources: 1) incomplete information; 2) limited cognitive abilities; and 3) lack of willpower. These are essentially the same barriers to rational choice identified by modern-day New Paternalists. Therefore, we argue that Fisher’s work on Prohibition was a pioneering academic achievement that anticipated recent developments in economics, and not an unscientific diatribe, as previous commentators have presumed. Unlike modern-day ‘New Paternalists,’ however, Fisher rejected minor alterations to the choice architecture and advocated outright prohibition instead. This helps to illustrate a potential slippery-slope problem with modern New Paternalist arguments that should be addressed.

Type
Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2023. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the History of Economics Society

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

The authors would like to thank Peter Boettke, Alexander Fink, Mario Rizzo, and participants at the Colloquium on Market Institutions and Economic Processes for helpful comments and suggestions. The financial support of the Institute for the Study of Political Economy at Ball State University is also gratefully acknowledged.

References

REFERENCES

Allen, Robert L. 1993. Irving Fisher: A Biography. Cambridge, MA, and Oxford, UK: Blackwell.Google Scholar
Altman, Morris. 2006. Handbook of Contemporary Behavioral Economics: Foundations and Developments. Armonk: M.E. Sharpe Publishers.Google Scholar
Angner, Erik, and Loewenstein, George. 2012. “Behavioral Economics.” In Maki, Uskali, ed., Handbook of the Philosophy of Science. Volume 13: Philosophy of Economics. Oxford: North Holland, pp. 641689.Google Scholar
Ault, Richard, and Ekelund, Robert B. Jr. 1988. “Habits in Economic Analysis: Veblen and the Neoclassicals.” History of Political Economy 20 (3): 431445.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barber, William J. 1996. The Works of Irving Fisher. London: Pickering and Chatto.Google Scholar
Bateman, Bradley W. 2017. “Leonard, Illiberal Reformers: Race, Eugenics, and American Economics in the Progressive Era.” History of Political Economy 49 (4): 717721.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Becker, Gary S., and Murphy, Kevin M.. 1988. “A Theory of Rational Addiction.” Journal of Political Economy 96 (4): 675700.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bhargava, Saurabh, and Loewenstein, George. 2015. “Behavioral Economics and Public Policy 102: Beyond Nudging.” American Economic Review 105 (5): 396401.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boettke, Peter J. 2007. “Liberty vs. Power in Economic Policy in the 20th and 21st Centuries.” Journal of Private Enterprise 22 (2): 736.Google Scholar
Boettke, Peter J., Caceres, W. Zachary, and Martin, Adam G.. 2013. “Error is Obvious, Coordination is the Puzzle.” In Frantz, Roger and Leeson, Robert, eds., Hayek and Behavioral Economics. London: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 90110.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Camerer, Colin, Issacharoff, Samuel, Loewenstein, George, O’Donoghue, Ted, and Rabin, Matthew. 2003. “Regulation for Conservatives: Behavioral Economics and the Case for Asymmetric Paternalism.” University of Pennsylvania Law Review 151 (3): 12111254.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carver, Thomas Nixon. 1925. The Present Economic Revolution in the United States. New York: Little, Brown & Co.Google Scholar
Conly, Sarah. 2013. Against Autonomy: Justifying Coercive Paternalism. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google ScholarPubMed
Cook, Eli. 2016. “The Neoclassical Club: Irving Fisher and the Progressive Origins of Neoliberalism.” Journal of the Gilded Age and Progressive Era 15 (3): 246262.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cook, Philip J. 2007. Paying the Tab: The Costs and Benefits of Alcohol Control. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Cot, Annie L. 2005. “‘Breed Out the Unfit and Breed in the Fit’: Irving Fisher, Economics, and the Science of Heredity.” American Journal of Economics and Sociology 64 (3): 793826.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cremer, Helmuth, de Donder, Philippe, Maldonado, Dario, and Pestieau, Pierre. 2012. “Taxing Sin Goods and Subsidizing Health Care.” Scandinavian Journal of Economics 114 (1): 101123.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Demsetz, Harold. 1969. “Information and Efficiency: Another Viewpoint.” Journal of Law and Economics 12 (1): 122.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Deutscher, Patrick. 1990. R. G. Hawtrey and the Development of Modern Macroeconomics. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dimand, Robert W. 1998. “The Fall and Rise of Irving Fisher’s Macroeconomics.” Journal of the History of Economic Thought 20 (2): 191201.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dimand, Robert W. 2019. Irving Fisher. London: Palgrave Macmillan.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dimand, Robert W., and Geanakoplos, John. 2005. “Celebrating Irving Fisher: The Legacy of a Great Economist.” American Journal of Economics and Sociology 64 (1): 318.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fisher, Irving. 1907. “Why Has the Doctrine of Laissez Faire Been Abandoned?Science 25 (627): 1827.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Fisher, Irving. 1912. Testimony on the Sale of Intoxicating Liquors before a Subcommittee on Excise and Liquor Legislation of the Committee on the District of Columbia, U.S. Senate, March 7, 1912.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. 1917. “The Case of War-time Prohibition.” Missionary Voice 7 (2).Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. 1919a. “Economists in Public Service.” American Economic Review 9 (1): 521.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. 1919b. “Can Prohibition Drive Out Drink?” The Independent, January 4, p. 18.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. 1926a. Testimony on the National Prohibition Law before the Subcommittee of the Committee on the Judiciary, U.S. Senate, 69:1, April 5, pp. 10151031.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. 1926b. Prohibition at Its Worst. New York: Alcohol Information Committee.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. 1927. “The Economics of Prohibition.” American Economic Review 17 (1): 510.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. 1928. Prohibition Still at Its Worst. New York: Alcohol Information Committee.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving. 1930. The Noble Experiment. New York: Alcohol Information Committee.Google Scholar
Fisher, Irving, and Fisk, Eugene Lyman. 1916. How to Live: Rules for Healthful Living Based on Modern Science. New York: Funk and Wagnalls Company.Google Scholar
Fuchs, Victor R. 2005. “Health, Government, and Irving Fisher.” American Journal of Economics and Sociology 64 (1): 407426.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gruber, Jonathan, and Köszegi, Botond. 2001. “Is Addiction ‘Rational’? Theory and Evidence.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 116 (4): 12611303.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heukelom, Floris. 2014. Behavioral Economics: A History. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ikeda, Sanford. 1997. Dynamics of the Mixed Economy: Toward a Theory of Interventionism. London: Routledge.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kahneman, Daniel, and Tversky, Amos. 1979. “Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk.” Econometrica 47 (2): 263292.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leonard, Thomas C. 2016. Illiberal Reformers: Race, Eugenics, and American Economics in the Progressive Era. Princeton: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lode, Eric. 1999. “Slippery Slope Arguments and Legal Reasoning.” California Law Review 87 (6): 14691543.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mises, Ludwig von. 1949. Human Action: A Treatise on Economics. ChicagoHenry Regnery.Google Scholar
O’Donoghue, Ted, and Rabin, Matthew. 2003. “Studying Optimal Paternalism, Illustrated by a Model of Sin Taxes.” American Economic Review 93 (2): 186191.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
O’Donoghue, Ted, and Rabin, Matthew. 2006. “Optimal Sin Taxes.” Journal of Public Economics 90 (10–11): 18251849.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Peart, Sandra J., and Levy, David M.. 2003. “Denying Human Homogeneity: Eugenics and the Making of Post-Classical Economics.” Journal of the History of Economic Thought 25 (3): 261288.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Peart, Sandra J., and Levy, David M.. 2004. “‘Not an Average Human Being’: How Economics Succumbed to Racial Accounts of Economic Man.” In Colander, David C., Prasch, Robert E., and Sheth, Galguni A., eds., Race, Liberalism, and Economics. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, pp. 123144.Google Scholar
Peart, Sandra J., and Levy, David M.. 2005. The “Vanity of the Philosopher”: From Equality to Hierarchy in Postclassical Economics. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rabin, Matthew. 1998. “Psychology and Economics.” Journal of Economic Literature 36: 1146.Google Scholar
Rizzo, Mario, and Whitman, Glen. 2003. “The Camel’s Nose Is in the Tent: Rules, Theories and Slippery Slopes.” UCLA Law Review 41 (2): 539592.Google Scholar
Rizzo, Mario, and Whitman, Glen. 2007. “Paternalist Slopes.” NYU Journal of Law and Liberty 2 (3): 411443.Google Scholar
Rizzo, Mario, and Whitman, Glen. 2009. “Little Brother Is Watching You: New Paternalism on Slippery Slopes.” Arizona Law Review 51 (3): 685739.Google Scholar
Rizzo, Mario, and Whitman, Glen. 2020. Escaping Paternalism: Rationality, Behavioral Economics, and Public Policy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Rutherford, Malcom. 2011. The Institutionalist Movement in American Economics, 1918–1947: Science and Social Control. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Samuelson, Paul A. 1982. “Schumpeter as an Economic Theorist.” In Frisch, H., ed., Schumpeterian Economics. London: Praeger, pp. 127.Google Scholar
Schauer, Frederick. 1985. “Slippery Slopes.” Harvard Law Review 99 (2): 361383.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schumpeter, Joseph A. 1954. History of Economic Analysis. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Simon, Herbert A. 1987. “Behavioral Economics.” In Eatwell, J., Milgate, M., and Newman, P., eds., The New Palgrave: A Dictionary of Economics. Volume I. New York: Stockton Press, pp. 846853.Google Scholar
Stigler, George J., and Becker, Gary S.. 1977. “De Gustibus Non Est Disputandum.” American Economic Review 67 (2): 7690.Google Scholar
Thaler, Richard H. 1992. The Winner’s Curse: Paradoxes and Anomalies of Economic Life. New York: Free Press.Google Scholar
Thaler, Richard H. 2009. “Irving Fisher: Modern Behavioral Economist.” American Economic Review 87 (2): 439441.Google Scholar
Thaler, Richard H., and Sunstein, Cass R.. 2003a. “Libertarian Paternalism Is Not an Oxymoron.” University of Chicago Law Review 70 (4): 11591202.Google Scholar
Thaler, Richard H., and Sunstein, Cass R. 2003b. “Libertarian Paternalism.” American Economic Review 93 (2): 175179.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Thaler, Richard H., and Sunstein, Cass R. 2008. Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness. New York: Penguin Books.Google Scholar
Tobin, James. 2005. “Irving Fisher (1867–1947).” American Journal of Economics and Sociology 64 (1): 1942.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tversky, Amos, and Kahneman, Daniel. 1974. “Judgement Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases.” Science 185 (4157): 11241131.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Volokh, Eugene. 2003. “The Mechanisms of the Slippery Slope.” Harvard Law Review 116 (4): 10261137.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Walton, Douglas N. 1992. Slippery Slope Arguments. Oxford: Clarendon Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Whitman, Glen. 2006. “Against the New Paternalism: Internalities and the Economics of Self-Control.” Cato Institute, Policy Analysis No. 563, February 22.Google Scholar
Whitman, Glen. 2010. “The Rise of the New Paternalism.” Cato-Unbound. https://www.cato-unbound.org/2010/04/05/glen-whitman/rise-new-paternalism. Accessed September 24, 2022.Google Scholar