Hostname: page-component-77c89778f8-vpsfw Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-17T13:35:41.187Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

What you think you know can hurt you: under/over confidence in financial knowledge and preparedness for retirement

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 April 2019

Marco Angrisani*
Affiliation:
University of Southern California, Center for Economic and Social Research, Los Angeles, USA
Maria Casanova
Affiliation:
California State University, Fullerton, USA
*
*Corresponding author. Email: angrisan@usc.edu

Abstract

We study whether retirement preparedness of overconfident individuals – those with high self-rated but low objective financial knowledge – and underconfident individuals – those with low self-rated but high objective financial knowledge – differs from that of individuals for whom self-assessed and actual knowledge align. We find that overconfident individuals fare no different than others with similarly low levels of objective financial knowledge in terms of retirement preparedness, while they are less interested in improving their knowledge. Underconfident individuals exhibit worse economic outcomes than others with similarly high financial knowledge but show interest in learning more about retirement. Our results suggest that accompanying financial literacy campaigns with initiatives that increase awareness of one's actual knowledge may be an effective lever to encourage the overconfident to increase their financial competence and to prove to the underconfident that they have sufficient skills to start planning their financial future.

Type
Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2019

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Allgood, S and Walstad, WB (2016) The effects of perceived and actual financial literacy on financial behaviors. Economic Inquiry 54, 675697.10.1111/ecin.12255CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Angrisani, M, Kapteyn, A and Lusardi, A (2016) The National Financial Capability Study: Empirical findings from the American Life Panel survey. FINRA Report. Available at http://www.usfinancialcapability.org/downloads/NFCSALPReportFinal.pdf.Google Scholar
Barber, BM and Odean, T (2001) Boys will be boys: gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 116, 261292.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bucher-Koenen, T, Alessie, R, Lusardi, A and van Rooij, M (2017) How financially literate are women? An overview and new insights. Journal of Consumer Affairs 51, 255283.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fischhoff, B, Slovic, P and Lichtenstein, S (1977) Knowing with certainty: the appropriateness of extreme confidence. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance 3, 552564.Google Scholar
Grinblatt, M and Keloharju, M (2009) Sensation seeking, overconfidence, and trading activity. Journal of Finance 64, 549578.10.1111/j.1540-6261.2009.01443.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hanna, SD, Kim, KT and Chen, SC (2016) Retirement savings. In Xiao, J (ed.), Handbook of Consumer Finance Research, Chapter 3, Cham: Springer, pp. 3343.10.1007/978-3-319-28887-1_3CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lichtenstein, S, Fischhoff, B and Phillips, LD (1977) Calibration of probabilities: The state of the art. In Jungermann, H and De Zeeuw, G (eds), Decision Making and Change in Human Affairs, vol. 16, 275324. Dordrecht: Springer.10.1007/978-94-010-1276-8_19CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lusardi, A and Mitchell, OS (2007 a) Baby boomer retirement security: the roles of planning, financial literacy, and housing wealth. Journal of Monetary Economics 1, 205224.10.1016/j.jmoneco.2006.12.001CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lusardi, A and Mitchell, OS (2007 b) Financial literacy and retirement preparedness: evidence and implications for financial education. Business Economics 42, 3544.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lusardi, A and Mitchell, OS (2011) Financial literacy and planning: Implications for retirement wellbeing. In Lusardi, A and Mitchell, OS (eds), Financial Literacy. Implications for Retirement Security and the Financial Marketplace. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press, pp. 1739.Google Scholar
Newport, F (2018) Update: Americans' concerns about retirement persist. Available at https://news.gallup.com/poll/233861/update-americans-concerns-retirement-persist.aspx.Google Scholar
Shoven, JB, Slavov, SN and Wise, DA (2017) Social Security claiming decisions: survey evidence. NBER Working Paper 23729.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Statman, M, Thorley, S and Vorkink, K (2006) Investor overconfidence and trading volume. Review of Financial Studies 19, 15311565.10.1093/rfs/hhj032CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Van Rooij, M, Lusardi, A and Alessie, R (2012) Financial literacy, retirement planning and household wealth. The Economic Journal 122, 449478.CrossRefGoogle Scholar