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How the COVID-19 pandemic could reduce near-retirees' Social Security benefits

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 October 2020

Andrew G. Biggs Open the ORCID record for Andrew G. Biggs [Opens in a new window]
Andrew G. Biggs*
Affiliation:
American Enterprise Institute, 1150 17th Street NW, 1150 17th Street NW, Washington, District of Columbia, 20036, USA
*
Corresponding author. Email: Andrew.Biggs@aei.org
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Abstract

A quirk in the Social Security benefit formula interacting with the sharp economic downturn due to the COVID-19 pandemic could cause certain groups of near-retirees to suffer significant and permanent reductions to their Social Security retirement benefits. A sudden decline in the Social Security Administration (SSA)'s measure of economywide average wages in the year a worker turns 60 causes the Social Security benefit formula to devalue all the worker's earnings prior to age 60, resulting in a lower measure of career-average earnings and a lower benefit in retirement. A middle-income worker aged 60 in 2020 could receive an annual Social Security benefit reduction of around 9%, with losses through retirement approaching $46,000. Individuals becoming eligible for Social Security Disability Insurance benefits would be subject to similar reductions in percentage terms. Several methods are discussed to reduce or eliminate the likelihood of similar benefit ‘notches’ occurring in the future.

Keywords

COVIDretirementSocial SecuritySocial Security AdministrationH55H57J26J32
Type
Article
Information
Journal of Pension Economics & Finance , Volume 20 , Issue 1 , January 2021 , pp. 1 - 8
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2020. Published by Cambridge University Press

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References

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