Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-pftt2 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-07T01:39:16.530Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Usefulness of Placement-Weight Data in Forecasting Fed Cattle Marketings and Prices

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2015

Bailey Norwood
Affiliation:
North Carolina State University and, Kansas State University
Ted C. Schroeder
Affiliation:
North Carolina State University and, Kansas State University
Get access

Abstract

In 1996, the USDA began reporting cattle-on-feed placements in various weight groups, which should provide information regarding expected slaughter timings and improve fed cattle price forecasts and marketing strategies. Private data were collected to obtain the necessary degrees of freedom to test statistical relationships between placement weight distributions, beef supply, and fed cattle prices. Use of placement weights improved beef supply forecasts only at a one-month horizon; it contributed nothing to price forecast accuracy or returns from selectively hedging.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2000

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Albright, M.L.Langemeier, M. R., Mintert, J. R., and Schroeder, T. C.. “Cattle Feeding Profitability.” Cooperative Extension Service, Kansas State University, 1993.Google Scholar
Ashley, R., Granger, C. W. J., and Schmalensee, R.. “Advertising and Aggregate Consumption: An Analysis of Causality.” Econometrica 48(1980):11491167.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bacon, Kevin, Koontz, S. R., and Trapp, J. N.. “Forecasting Short-Run Fed Cattle Slaughter.” NCR-134 Conference: Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Hayenga, M. ed., Iowa State University. 1992:381393.Google Scholar
Cattle Fax, Englewood Colorado, personal communication.Google Scholar
Kastens, T.L., Schroeder, T. C., and Plain, R.. “Evaluation of Extension and USDA Price and Production Forecasts.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics23(1998):244261.Google Scholar
Norwood, F.B.Performance of Various Western Kansas Fed Cattle Price Forecasting Techniques.” M.S. Thesis. Kansas State University. 1997.Google Scholar
Professional Cattle Consultants, Weatherford Oklahoma, personal communication.Google Scholar