Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-r5zm4 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-30T12:00:40.423Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Economic Impacts of Avian Influenza on World Poultry Trade and the U.S. Poultry Industry: A Spatial Equilibrium Analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 April 2015

Harjanto Djunaidi
Affiliation:
Customer Management Risk Modeling, American Express, Inc., Chicago, IL
Andrew C.M. Djunaidi
Affiliation:
Department of Biological Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL

Abstract

Simulation results showed that simultaneous outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in Asia, the United States, Brazil, and selected European countries will have significant impacts on world poultry trade. Assuming demand for chicken meat is constant, the global export price is simulated to increase by 9.63%. HPAI outbreaks in the United States, Economic Union, and Brazil will have a greater impact on export price than in any other possible three-region case. Outbreaks in the United States and Brazil would still lead to major impacts on world poultry trade, confirming large country effects.

Type
Invited Paper Sessions
Copyright
Copyright © Southern Agricultural Economics Association 2007

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Department of Health and Human Services. Internet site: http://www.cdc.gov/flu/avian/gen-info/facts.htm (Accessed November 7, 2006).Google Scholar
Djunaidi, H.Strategic Analysis and Market Competition in the International Chicken Market.” Economic of Agriculture and Natural Resources. Frankhouse, Cordelia L., ed. New York: Nova Science Publishers, 2006.Google Scholar
Djunaidi, H.Econometrics and Time Series Model Selections: A Choice between Two Possible Approaches to Access Linkages between the U.S. and Export Chicken Markets.” Paper presented at the Southern Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meetings, Little Rock, Arkansas. February 4-6, 2004a.Google Scholar
Djunaidi, H.Assessing the Linkages between the U.S. and Export Chicken Markets.” Poster presented at Southern Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meetings, Little Rock, Arkansas. February 4-6, 2004b.Google Scholar
Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations. Internet site: http://faostat.fao.org (Accessed June 5, 2005, and February 6, 2006).Google Scholar
Goodwin, H.L., AndrewMcKenzie, , and Harjan-toDjunaidi, . “Which Broiler Part Is the Best Part?Journal of Agricultural & Applied Economics 35(2003):483-95.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Takayama, T., and Judge, G.G.. Spatial and Temporal Price and Allocation Models. Amsterdam: North Holland Publishing Company, 1971.Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture. Internet site: http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/oce501/oce20051g.pdf (Accessed February 5, 2006).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture. Internet site: http://www.fas.usda.gov/livestock_arc.aspr (Accessed March 11, 2006).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture. Internet site: http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDownload.aspx (Accessed March 18, 2006).Google Scholar
U.S. Department of Agriculture. Internet site: http://www.ers.usda.gov/Data/FATUS (Accessed March 19, 2006).Google Scholar
Wailes, E.J., FrankFuller, , and HarjantoDjunaidi, . “Regional Trade Agreements in the Americas: Impacts on Rice Trade. Paper presented at Free Trade of the Americas, the WTO, and New Farm Legislation Conference, San Antonio, Texas. May 23-24, 2002.Google Scholar