Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-wg55d Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-09T16:26:18.476Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Risk and Governance Part II: Policy in a Complex and Plurally Perceived World

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 March 2014

Extract

OUR CONCLUSION, IN PART I,* WAS THAT THE ABANDONMENT OF THE expert/lay dichotomy as the basis for understanding risk perception, whilst essential, is not going to be easy. We argued that:

1) Objectivism (the idea that we can clearly distinguish between what the risks really are and what people variously and erroneously believe them to be) has to give way to constructivism (the idea that risk is inherently subjective: something that we project onto whatever it is that is ‘out there’).

2) To impose a single definition of what the problem is, which is what so much of policy analysis and science-for-public-policy does, is to exclude all those who happen not to share that particular way of framing things. Since people are unlikely to support a policy that is aimed at solving what they do not see to be the problem, approaches that insist on singularity (and on single metrics — cost: benefit analysis, for instance, probabilistic risk assessment, qualityadjusted life years and so on) will inevitably be low on consent, surprise-prone, unref lexive, brittle and undemocratic.

Type
Original Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Government and Opposition Ltd 1998

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

1 Maine, H. S., Ancient Law, London, John Murray, 1861 Google Scholar.

2 S. Rayner, ‘A Cultural Perspective on the Structure and Implementation of Global Environmental Agreements’, Evaluation Review, 15:1 (1991) pp. 102–102. Rayner, S., ‘A Conceptual Map of Human Values for Climate Change Decision Making’, in Katama, A. (ed.), Equity and Social Considerations Related to Climate Change (Papers presented to IPPC Working Group III Workshop), Nairobi, ICIPE Science Press, 1995 Google Scholar.

3 But see Thompson, M., ‘Rewriting the Precepts of Policy Analysis’, in Ellis, R. J. and Thompson, M. (eds), Culture Matters, Boulder, Colo., Westview, 1997 Google Scholar.

4 For an even more detailed treatment, see M. Thompson and S. Rayner, ‘Cultural Discourses’, in Rayner, S. and Malone, E. L. (eds), Human Choice and Climate Change, Vol. 1, The Societal Framework, Colombus, Ohio, Battelle Press, 1998 Google Scholar.

5 Die Grünen, Bundestagprogramm, 1980, English translation, in Kolinsky, E. (ed.), The Greens in West Germany: Organisation and Policy Making, Oxford, Berg, 1989;Google Scholar Kemp, P. and Wall, D. Green Manifesto for the 1990s, London, Penguin, 1990;Google Scholar Meyer, A., Climate Change, Population and the Paradox of Growth, London, Global Commons Institute, 1994 Google Scholar.

6 Leggett, J. (ed.), Global Warming: The Greenpeace Report, Oxford, Oxford University Press, 1990 Google Scholar.

7 Kemp and Wall, op. cit.

8 Richardson, T. (ed.), The Green Challenge: The Development of Green Parties in Europe, London, Routledge, 1995 Google Scholar.

9 Die Grünen, op. cit.; Kemp and Wall, op. cit.; Richardson, op. cit.

10 Rainbow, S., Green Politics, Oxford, Oxford University Press, 1993;Google Scholar Richardson, op. cit.

11 Die Grünen, op. cit.; Kemp and Wall, op. cit.

12 Die Grünen, op. cit.; Kemp and Wall, op. cit.; Rainbow, op. cit.

13 Die Grünen, op. cit.; Kemp and Wall, op. cit.; Rainbow, op. cit.

14 Die Grünen, op. cit.; Kemp and Wall, op. cit.; Leggett et al., op. cit.

15 Leggett et al., op. cit., p. 459.

16 Leggett et al., op. cit.; Kemp and Wall, op. cit.

17 Rainbow, op. cit., p. 21.

18 Die Grünen, op. cit.; Richardson, op. cit.

19 Pearce, D., Markandya, A. and Barbier, E., Blueprint for a Green Economy, London, Earthscan, 1989;Google Scholar IBRD (International Bank for Reconstruction and Development), World Development Report, Oxford, Oxford University Press, 1992.

20 Pearce et al., op. cit.; IBRD, op. cit.

21 Pearce, D. (ed.), Blueprint 2: Greening The World Economy, London, Earthscan, 1991 Google Scholar.

22 IBRD, op. cit.

23 Umweltbundesamt, Jahresbericht 1993, Berlin, Bundesdruckerei, 1993.

24 Pearce, 1991, op. cit.

25 CBI (Confederation of British Industry), The CBI’s Statement of Principles for Business and Sustainable Development, London, CBI, 1995.

26 IBRD, op. cit.

27 IBRD, op. cit.

28 CBI, op. cit.

29 IBRD, op. cit.

30 Barrett, S., ‘“Acceptable” Allocations of Tradeable Carbon Emission Entitlements in a Global Warming Treaty’, in Combating Global Warming, Geneva, UNCTAD, 1992 Google Scholar.

31 Markandya, A., ‘Global Warming: The Economics of Tradeable Permits’, in Pearce, 1991 Google Scholar, op. cit.

32 Pearce et al., op. cit.; Pearce, op. cit.; IBRD, op. cit.

33 DoE (Department of the Environment), This Common Inheritance [Cmd 1200], London, HMSO, 1990, p. 49.

34 G7 Leaders, ‘G7 Leaders’ Voices on Population at the UN General Assembly 1993’, Population and Development Review, 19:4 (1993) pp. 899–902, p. 902.

35 Gore, A., ‘On Stabilizing World Population’, Population and Development Review, 18:2 (1992) pp. 380–3, p. 380Google Scholar.

36 DoE, op. cit., p. 8.

37 G7 Leaders, op. cit., p. 899.

38 DoE, op. cit.; Umweltbundesamt, op. cit.

39 Wirth, T., ‘US International Population Policy: An Official Statement’, Population and Development Review, 19:2 (1993) pp. 403–6, p. 405Google Scholar.

40 Gore, op. cit., p. 380.

41 DoE, op. cit., p. 49.

42 DoE, op. cit., p. 50.

43 DoE, op. cit.

44 Royal Society and National Academy of Sciences, ‘On Population Growth and Sustainability’, Population and Development Review, 18:2 (1992) pp. 374–6, p. 375.

45 DoE, op. cit.

46 Gore, op. cit., p. 381.

47 Gore, op. cit., p. 383.

48 Clinton, W. and Gore, A., ‘US National Population Policy: An Official Statement’, Population and Development Review, 19:2 (1993) pp. 403–6Google Scholar.

49 DoE, op. cit., p. 50.

50 WCED (World Commission on Environment and Development), Our Common Future, Oxford, Oxford University Press, 1987.

51 For a discussion of the policy implications of complexity, in both natural and social systems, see M. Thompson and A. Trisoglio, ‘Managing the Unmanageable’, in Brooks, L. A. and Van Deveer, S. D. (eds), Saving the Seas; Values, Scientists and International Governance, College Park, Maryland, Maryland Sea Grant College, 1997, pp. 107–27Google Scholar.

52 Schwarz, M. and Thompson, M., Divided We Stand: Redefining Politics, Technology and Social Choice, Philadelphia, Penn., Pennsylvania University Press, 1990 Google Scholar.

53 Keepin, B., ‘A Technical Appraisal of the IIASA Energy Scenarios’, Policy Sciences, 17 (1984) pp. 275275 CrossRefGoogle Scholar. Wynne, B., ‘The Institutional Context of Science, Models, and Policy: The IIASA Energy Study’, Policy Sciences, 17 (1984) pp. 320320 CrossRefGoogle Scholar. Thompson, M., ‘Among the Energy Tribes: A Cultural Framework for the Analysis and Design of Energy Policy’, Policy Sciences, 17 (1984) pp. 321–39CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

54 Nicely described in S. Boehmer‐Christiansen, ‘Who is Driving Climate Change Policy?’, in Morris, J. (ed.), Climate Change: Challenging the Conventional Wisdom (IEA Studies on the Environment No. 10), London, The Institute of Economic Affairs, 1997, pp. 5372 Google Scholar.

55 Adams, J., Risk, London, UCL Press, 1995 Google ScholarPubMed.

56 Rayner, S., ‘Management of Radiation Hazards in Hospitals: Plural Rationalities in a Single Institution’, Social Studies of Science, 16:4 (1986) pp. 573–91CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

57 Ney, S., ‘Why Pension Reform is Always So Difficult’. Paper presented at LOS Centre/IIASA Conference on Security, Laxenburg, Austria, 11 1997 Google Scholar.

58 Kunreuther, H. C. et al., Risk Analysis and Decision Processes: The Siting of Liquefied Energy Gas Facilities in Four Countries, Berlin, Springer‐Verlag, 1983 CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

59 Contrary to popular belief, it is not always clockwise in the Northern hemisphere and anti‐clockwise in the Southern. Both bathwater and occupant have to be unrealistic‐ally still for the coriolus effect (caused by the Earth’s rotation) to be deterministic.

60 This plural rationality argument was first set out in Grauer, M., Wierzbicki, A. and Thompson, M., Plural Rationality and Interactive Decision Processes (Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, No. 248), Berlin, Springer‐Verlag, 1985 CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

61 Collingridge, D., The Social Control of Technology, Milton Keynes, Open University Press, 1980;Google Scholar Collingridge, D., The Management of Scale: Big Organisations, Big Decisions, Big Mistakes, London, Routledge, 1992;Google Scholar Thompson, M., ‘Huge Dams and Tiny Incomes’, Water Nepal, 4:1 (1994) pp. 191–5Google Scholar.

62 Putnam, R., Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy, Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press, 1993 Google Scholar.