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Review of Risk Prediction Approaches for Bipolar Episodes in the Perinatal Period

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  23 March 2020

M. Casanova Dias
Affiliation:
Cardiff University School of Medicine, MRC Centre for Neuropsychiatric Genetics and Genomics, Cardiff, United Kingdom
I. Jones
Affiliation:
Cardiff University School of Medicine, MRC Centre for Neuropsychiatric Genetics and Genomics, Cardiff, United Kingdom
A. Di Florio
Affiliation:
Cardiff University School of Medicine, MRC Centre for Neuropsychiatric Genetics and Genomics, Cardiff, United Kingdom
L. Jones
Affiliation:
Institute of Health & Society, Worcester University, Worcester, United Kingdom
N. Craddock
Affiliation:
Cardiff University School of Medicine, MRC Centre for Neuropsychiatric Genetics and Genomics, Cardiff, United Kingdom

Abstract

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Introduction

The perinatal period is a high-risk period for the development of illness episodes in women with bipolar disorder. Relapse rates vary between 9 and 75% depending on the study. The overall risk of a severe episode is approximately 20%. The impact on women, the relationships with their babies and their families can be devastating. In the UK costs to society are £8.1 billion per year-cohort of births. The advice currently given to women is based of general risk rates. Women's needs of information for decision-making in the perinatal period are not being met.

Objectives

To review the risk prediction approaches used for women with bipolar disorder in the perinatal period.

Aims

To understand the existing risk prediction models and approaches used for prognosis of the risk of recurrence of bipolar disorder for women in the perinatal period.

Methods

Systematic literature search of public medical electronic databases and grey literature on risk prediction for bipolar episodes in the perinatal period.

Results

We will present the existing models and approaches used for risk prediction of illness episodes in the perinatal period.

Conclusions

Awareness of existing risk prediction models for recurrence of bipolar disorder in the perinatal period will allow better informed risk-benefit analysis of treatment and management options.

This person-centred approach will help women and clinicians in their decision-making at this crucial high-risk period.

Disclosure of interest

The authors have not supplied their declaration of competing interest.

Type
e-Poster walk: Anxiety disorders and somatoform disorders
Copyright
Copyright © European Psychiatric Association 2017
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