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ONE-SIDED TESTING FOR ARCH EFFECTS USING WAVELETS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 December 2001

Yongmiao Hong
Affiliation:
Cornell University
Jin Lee
Affiliation:
National University of Singapore

Abstract

There has been increasing interest recently in hypothesis testing with inequality restrictions. An important example in time series econometrics is hypotheses on autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH). We propose a one-sided test for ARCH effects using a wavelet spectral density estimator at frequency zero of a squared regression residual series. The square of an ARCH process is positively correlated at all lags, resulting in a spectral mode at frequency zero. In particular, it has a spectral peak at frequency zero when ARCH effects are persistent or when ARCH effects are small at each individual lag but carry over a long distributional lag. As a joint time-frequency decomposition method, wavelets can effectively capture spectral peaks. We expect that wavelets are more powerful than kernels in small samples when ARCH effects are persistent or when ARCH effects have a long distributional lag. This is confirmed in a simulation study.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2001 Cambridge University Press

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