Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-m8qmq Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-19T18:41:02.077Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

AGGREGATION OF THE RANDOM COEFFICIENT GLARCH(1,1) PROCESS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 September 2009

Abstract

The paper discusses contemporaneous aggregation of the Linear ARCH (LARCH) model as defined in (1), which was introduced in Robinson (1991) and studied in Giraitis, Robinson, and Surgailis (2000) and other works. We show that the limiting aggregate of the (G)eneralized LARCH(1,1) process in (3)–(4) with random Beta distributed coefficient β exhibits long memory. In particular, we prove that squares of the limiting aggregated process have slowly decaying correlations and their partial sums converge to a self-similar process of a new type.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2009

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

The authors are grateful to the referee and the associated editor for useful comments. Giraitis was supported by the ESRC grant RES062230790. The research of Leipus and Surgailis was supported by the bilateral France-Lithuania scientific project Gilibert. Surgailis was supported by the Lithuanian State Science and Studies Foundation grant no. T-70/09. Part of the paper was written while Surgailis was visiting the Department of Economics, Queen Mary, University of London. Surgailis would like to thank the university for support and providing an ideal working environment.

References

REFERENCES

Abramowitz, M. & Stegun, I.A. (eds.) (1972) Handbook of Mathematical Functions with Formulas, Graphs, and Mathematical Tables. Dover.Google Scholar
Bateman, H. & Erdélyi, A. (1953) Higher Transcendental Functions, vol. 1. McGraw-Hill.Google Scholar
Beran, J. (2006) On location estimation for LARCH processes. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 97, 17661782.10.1016/j.jmva.2005.11.003Google Scholar
Berkes, I. & Horváth, L. (2003) Asymptotic results for long memory LARCH sequences. Annals of Applied Probability 13, 641668.10.1214/aoap/1050689598Google Scholar
Davidson, J. & Sibbertsen, P. (2005) Generating schemes for long memory processes: regimes, aggregation and linearity. Journal of Econometrics 128, 253282.10.1016/j.jeconom.2004.08.014Google Scholar
Ding, Z. & Granger, C.W.J. (1996) Modeling volatility persistence of speculative returns: a new approach. Journal of Econometrics 73, 185215.Google Scholar
Dobrushin, R.L. (1979) Gaussian and their subordinated self-similar random generalized fields. Annals of Probability 7, 128.10.1214/aop/1176995145Google Scholar
Douc, R., Roueff, F., & Soulier, P. (2008) On the existence of some ARCH(∞) processes. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications 118, 755761.10.1016/j.spa.2007.06.002CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Giraitis, L., Kokoszka, P., & Leipus, R. (2000) Stationary ARCH models: Dependence structure and the central limit theorem. Econometric Theory 16, 322.10.1017/S0266466600161018Google Scholar
Giraitis, L., Leipus, R., Robinson, P.M., & Surgailis, D. (2004) LARCH, leverage and long memory. Journal of Financial Econometrics 2, 177210.10.1093/jjfinec/nbh008CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Giraitis, L., Leipus, R., & Surgailis, D. (2009) ARCH(∞) models and long memory properties. In Anderson, T.G., Davis, R.A., Kreiss, J.-P., & Mikosch, T. (eds.), Handbook of Financial Time Series, pp. 7084. Springer.Google Scholar
Giraitis, L., Robinson, P., & Surgailis, D. (2000) A model for long memory conditional heteroskedasticity. Annals of Applied Probability 10, 10021024.10.1214/aoap/1019487516Google Scholar
Giraitis, L. & Surgailis, D. (2002) ARCH-type bilinear models with double long memory. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications 100, 275300.10.1016/S0304-4149(02)00108-4CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gonçalves, E. & Gouriéroux, C. (1988) Aggrégation de processus autoregressifs d’ordre 1. Annales d’Economie et de Statistique 12, 127149.10.2307/20075720Google Scholar
Granger, C.W.J. (1980) Long memory relationship and the aggregation of dynamic models. Journal of Econometrics 14, 227238.10.1016/0304-4076(80)90092-5CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kazakevičius, V., Leipus, R., & Viano, M.-C. (2004) Stability of random coefficient ARCH models and aggregation schemes. Journal of Econometrics 120, 139158.10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00209-4Google Scholar
Kwapień, S. & Woyczyński, W.A. (1992) Random Series and Stochastic Integrals: Single and Multiple. Birkhäuser.10.1007/978-1-4612-0425-1CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leipus, R., Paulauskas, V., & Surgailis, D. (2005) Renewal regime switching and stable limit law. Journal of Econometrics 129, 299327.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leipus, R. & Viano, M.-C. (2002) Aggregation in ARCH models. Lithuanian Mathematical Journal 42, 5470.10.1023/A:1015021801709Google Scholar
Mikosch, T. (2003) Modelling dependence and tails of financial time series. In Finkelstädt, B. and Rootzén, H. (eds.), Extreme Values in Finance, Telecommunications and the Environment, pp. 185286. Chapman and Hall.Google Scholar
Oppenheim, G. & Viano, M.-C. (2004) Aggregation of random parameters Ornstein-Uhlenbeck or AR processes: Some convergence results. Journal of Time Series Analysis 25, 335350.10.1111/j.1467-9892.2004.01775.xCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Robinson, P.M. (1991) Testing for strong serial correlation and dynamic conditional heteroskedasticity in multiple regression. Journal of Econometrics 47, 6784.10.1016/0304-4076(91)90078-RCrossRefGoogle Scholar
Robinson, P.M. & Zaffaroni, P. (1998) Nonlinear time series with long memory: A model for stochastic volatility. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 68, 359371.Google Scholar
Stout, W.F. (1974) Almost Sure Convergence. Academic Press.Google Scholar
Surgailis, D. (1982) Zones of attraction of self-similar multiple integrals. Lithuanian Mathematical Journal 22, 185201.Google Scholar
Surgailis, D. (2003) Non CLTs: U-statistics, multinomial formula and approximations of multiple Ito-Wiener integrals. In Doukhan, P., Oppenheim, G., and Taqqu, M.S. (eds.), Long Range Dependence: Theory and Applications, pp. 129142. Birkhäuser.Google Scholar
Taqqu, M.S. (1979) Convergence of integrated processes of arbitrary Hermite rank. Z. Wahr. verw. Geb. 50, 5383.10.1007/BF00535674CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Taqqu, M.S. (2003) Fractional Brownian motion and long-range dependence. In Doukhan, P., Oppenheim, G., and Taqqu, M.S. (eds.), Long Range Dependence. Theory and Applications, pp. 538. Birkhäuser.Google Scholar
Zaffaroni, P. (2004) Contemporaneous aggregation of linear dynamic models in large economies. Journal of Econometrics 120, 75102.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zaffaroni, P. (2007a) Aggregation and memory of models of changing volatility. Journal of Econometrics 136, 237249.10.1016/j.jeconom.2006.03.002CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zaffaroni, P. (2007b) Contemporaneous aggregation of GARCH processes. Journal of Time Series Analysis 28, 521544.10.1111/j.1467-9892.2006.00522.xGoogle Scholar