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P.129 Canadian neurosurgical healthcare spending trends

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 May 2024

E Guo
Affiliation:
(Calgary)
R Sanguinetti
Affiliation:
(Calgary)*
L Boone
Affiliation:
(St. John’s)
BS Karmur
Affiliation:
(Calgary)
S Lama
Affiliation:
(Calgary)
GR Sutherland
Affiliation:
(Calgary)
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Abstract

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Background: Neurosurgical conditions impose a significant burden on the Canadian healthcare system. This study quantifies the economic impact and explores predictive models for postoperative length of stay. Methods: We analyzed data from the Canadian Institute for Health Information National Health Expenditure Trends database for 2015-2019, focusing on case volumes, healthcare costs, and lengths of stay (LOS) across age groups and conditions. Decision tree models were created to predict total LOS from patient age and average acute LOS. Results: There was a modest increase in case volumes from 6,220 ± 3,103 in 2015 to 6,492 ± 3,240 in 2018, with a slight decrease in 2019. The total estimated hospital costs ranged from 2.27 ± 0.38 million CAD in 2015 to 2.23 ± 0.44 million CAD in 2019. The highest costs were seen in the 18-59 age group, at 2.53 ± 0.43 million CAD. Decision tree models showed high accuracy for predicting LOS in cases like spinal injury (F1-score: 0.98) but were less accurate for interventions with trauma or complications (F1-scores from 0.66 to 0.97). Conclusions: The study delineates the financial demands of neurosurgery in Canada and suggests decision tree models as useful tools for predicting hospital stay, with variable accuracy depending on the case complexity.

Type
Abstracts
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2024. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Canadian Neurological Sciences Federation