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Financial Alternatives to International Commodity Stabilization

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 November 2014

Boris C. Swerling*
Affiliation:
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
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Modern societies apply certain concepts of the “social minimum” in sustaining domestic groups whose incomes are either cyclically or chronically depressed. Presumably, postwar programs of international foreign aid reflect an extension of this attitude. The first major effort in that direction, the European Recovery Program, was brilliantly successful in providing the base upon which Europe built its impressive economic performance of the past dozen years. The very success of the Marshall Plan, however, leads to a certain impatience with the comparatively unsatisfactory results of the more recent aid efforts—those directed towards accelerating economic growth in the less developed countries (LDC's). At the very time when the United States Congress is becoming increasingly disenchanted with foreign aid, the rising political power of the LDC's in the various agencies of the United Nations has been adding to the external pressures for an enlarged aid effort, as evidenced by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development held in Geneva from March to June this year.

The newer focus of foreign aid raises particularly difficult problems both of diagnosis and of prescription. On the one hand, disturbances arising from cyclical instability within individual LDC's are often compounded by those associated with structural maladjustment, and it is by no means an easy task to distinguish between these separate sources of trouble. On the other hand, because primary commodities loom so large in the export trade of the LDC's, the industrial countries can be led (by a combination of good intentions and political blackmail) to accept, in the name of foreign aid, commodity policies that are ill-conceived and self-defeating. It is just as important to resist the implementation of unwise policies as it is to develop new institutional devices appropriate to current circumstances.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Canadian Political Science Association 1964

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References

1 Food Research Institute, Stanford University, International Commodity Stockpiling as an Economic Stabilizer (Stanford, 1949).Google Scholar

2 United Nations, Monthly Bulletin of Statistics, 03, 1964, x.Google Scholar

3 This idea has been resurrected in connection with the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. See The Case for an International Commodity Reserve Currency, by Hart, A. G., Kaldor, N., and Tinbergen, J., Contributed Paper no. 7, E/CONF. 46/p/7, 02 17, 1964.Google Scholar

4 The Raul Prebisch Report advocated financial compensation for deterioration in a country's terms of trade. Towards a New Trade Policy for Development,” United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, E/CONF. 46/3, 02 12, 1964, p. 145.Google Scholar

5 United Nations, Monthly Bulletin of Statistics, 04, 1964, x.Google Scholar

6 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, Press Release, GATT/819, Nov. 21, 1963.

7 Current Issues in Commodity Policy,” Essays in International Finance no. 38 (Princeton, 1962), 1417.Google Scholar For some interesting thought on establishing UN tax authority over new sources of wealth opened up by advances in modern science and technology outside the present jurisdiction of national states (e.g., a space satellite communication network), see Staley, Eugene, “Revenue for the U.N.,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 09 1962, 43–4.Google Scholar

8 The author is indebted to Mr. Neal Potter for this specific proposal. Cf. also Gordon, H. Scott, “The Economic Theory of a Common Property Resource: The Fishery,” Journal of Political Economy, LXII, 04 1954, 124–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

9 International Monetary Fund, Compensatory Financing of Export Fluctuations (Washington, 1963), 23–6.Google Scholar See also Lovasy, Gertrud and Fleming, J. Marcus, “Fund Policies and Procedures in Relation to the Compensatory Financing of Commodity Fluctuations,” IMF Staff Papers, VIII, 1960, 176.Google Scholar

10 United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, International Compensation for Fluctuations in Commodity Trade, E/CN 13/40 (New York, 1961).Google Scholar For a comparable proposal developed for domestic agricultural producers, see my Income Protection for Farmers: A Possible Approach,” Journal of Political Economy, 04 1959, 173–86.Google Scholar

11 Meade, J. E., International Commodity Agreements, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, Contributed Paper 1/Rev. 1, E/CONF. 46/P/1/rev. 1, 03 24, 1964.Google Scholar

12 For a particularly glaring example, note the following statement, drafted for a manuscript prepared in December 1962, for a document carrying a publication date of March 1963, but actually received for release in the United States in November 1963: “Ever since the mid-fifties, the terms of trade of the underdeveloped areas of the world have suffered a serious deterioration, the rate of which has shown signs of acceleration during the past two years.” Kaldor, Nicholas, “Stabilizing the Terms of Trade of Under-Developed Countries,” Economic Bulletin for Latin America, VIII, no. 1, 03 1963, 1.Google Scholar

13 Consider, for example, how much the US balance of payments would be advantaged today if Marshall Plan aid had been extended primarily on a (contingent) loan, rather than so largely on a grant, basis.

14 Stamp, Maxwell, “The Stamp Plan—1962 Version,” Moorgate and Wall Street, Autumn 1962, 517.Google Scholar

15 See Gruchy, A. G., Modern Economic Thought, The American Contribution (New York, 1947), chap. 3.Google Scholar