Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-zzh7m Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T13:21:16.676Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Optimal proportional reinsurance with common shock dependence to minimise the probability of drawdown

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  30 July 2018

Xia Han
Affiliation:
School of Mathematical Sciences, Institute of Finance and Statistics, Nanjing Normal University, Jiangsu 210023, P.R.China
Zhibin Liang*
Affiliation:
School of Mathematical Sciences, Institute of Finance and Statistics, Nanjing Normal University, Jiangsu 210023, P.R.China
Caibin Zhang
Affiliation:
School of Mathematical Sciences, Institute of Finance and Statistics, Nanjing Normal University, Jiangsu 210023, P.R.China
*
*Correspondence to: Zhibin Liang, School of Mathematical Sciences, Institute of Finance and Statistics, Nanjing Normal University, Jiangsu 210023, P.R.China. Tel: +86 18951891256. E-mail: liangzhibin111@hotmail.com

Abstract

In this paper, we study the optimal proportional reinsurance problem in a risk model with two dependent classes of insurance business, where the two claim number processes are correlated through a common shock component, and the criterion is to minimise the probability of drawdown, namely, the probability that the value of the surplus process reaches some fixed proportion of its maximum value to date. By the method of maximising the ratio of drift of a diffusion divided to its volatility squared, and the technique of stochastic control theory and the corresponding Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation, we investigate the optimisation problem in two different cases. Furthermore, we constrain the reinsurance proportion in the interval [0,1] for each case, and derive the explicit expressions of the optimal proportional reinsurance strategy and the minimum probability of drawdown. Finally, some numerical examples are presented to show the impact of model parameters on the optimal results.

Type
Paper
Copyright
© Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 2018 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Angoshtari, B., Bayraktar, E. & Young, V. (2016 a). Optimal investment to minimize the probability of drawdown. Stochastics, 88(6), 946958.Google Scholar
Angoshtari, B., Bayraktar, E. & Young, V. (2016 b). Minimizing the probability of lifetime drawdown under constant consumption. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 69, 210223.Google Scholar
Azcue, P. & Muler, N. (2013). Minimizing the ruin probability allowing investments in two assets: a two-dimensional problem. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 77, 177206.Google Scholar
Bai, L., Cai, J. & Zhou, M. (2013). Optimal reinsurance policies for an insurer with a bivariate reserve risk process in a dynamic setting. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 53, 664670.Google Scholar
Bäuerle, N. & Bayraktar, E. (2014). A note on applications of stochastic ordering to control problems in insurance and finance. Stochastics: An International Journal of Probability and Stochastic Processes, 86(2), 330340.Google Scholar
Bayraktar, E. & Young, V. (2008). Minimizing the probability of ruin when consumption is ratcheted. North American Actuarial Journal, 12(4), 428442.Google Scholar
Bi, J., Liang, Z. & Xu, F. (2016). Optimal mean-variance investment and reinsurance problems for the risk model with common shock dependence. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 70, 245258.Google Scholar
Browne, S. (1995). Optimal investment policies for a firm with random risk process: exponential utility and minimizing the probability of ruin. Mathematics of Operations Research, 20, 937958.Google Scholar
Browne, S. (1997). Survival and growth with a liability: optimal portfolio strategies in continuous time. Mathematics of Operations Research, 22, 468493.Google Scholar
Browne, S. (1999 a). Beating a moving target: optimal portfolio strategies for outperforming a stochastic benchmark. Finance and Stochastics, 3(3), 275294.Google Scholar
Browne, S. (1999 b). Reaching goals by a deadline: digital options and continuous-time active portfolio management. Advances in Applied Probability, 31(2), 551577.Google Scholar
Chen, X., Landriault, D., Li, B. & Li, D. (2015). On minimizing drawdown risks of lifetime investments. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 65, 4654.Google Scholar
Cvitanić, J. & Karatzas, I. (1995). On portfolio optimization under drawdown constraints. IMA Volumes in Mathematics and its Applications, 65, 7788.Google Scholar
Dubins, L. & Savage, L. (1976 [1965]). How to Gamble if You Must: Inequalities for Stochastic Process. McGraw-Hill and Dover, New York.Google Scholar
Elie, R. & Touzi, N. (2008). Optimal lifetime consumption and investment under a drawdown constraint. Finance and Stochastics, 12, 299330.Google Scholar
Grandell, J. (1991). Aspects of Risk Theory. Springer-Verlag, New York.Google Scholar
Grossman, S. & Zhou, Z. (1993). Optimal investment strategies for controlling drawdowns. Mathematical Finance, 3(3), 241276.Google Scholar
Hipp, C. & Taksar, M. (2010). Optimal non-proportional reinsurance. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2, 246254.Google Scholar
Karatzas, I. & Shreve, S. (1991). Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus. Springer-Verlag, New York.Google Scholar
Liang, Z. & Bayraktar, E. (2014). Optimal proportional reinsurance and investment with unobservable claim size and intensity. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 55, 156166.Google Scholar
Liang, Z., Bi, J., Yuen, K.C. & Zhang, C. (2016). Optimal mean-variance reinsurance and investment in a jump-diffusion financial market with common shock dependence. Mathematical Method of Operations Research, 84, 155181.Google Scholar
Liang, Z. & Yuen, K.C. (2016). Optimal dynamic reinsurance with dependent risks: variance premium principle. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 1, 1836.Google Scholar
Moore, K., Kristen, S. & Young, V. (2006). Optimal and simple, nearly-optimal rules for minimizing the probability of financial ruin in retirement. North American Actuarial Journal, 10(4), 145161.Google Scholar
Pestien, V. & Sudderth, W. (1985). Continuous-time red and black: how to control a diffusion to a goal. Mathematics of Operations Research, 10, 599611.Google Scholar
Promislow, D. & Young, V. (2005). Minimizing the probability of ruin when claims follow Brownian motion with drift. North American Actuarial Journal, 9(3), 109128.Google Scholar
Schmidli, H. (2001). Optimal proportional reinsurance policies in a dynamic setting. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 1, 5568.Google Scholar
Schmidli, H. (2002). On minimizing the ruin probability by investment and reinsurance. Annals of Applied Probability, 12, 848939.Google Scholar
Sudderth, W., William, D. & Ananda, W. (1989). Controlling a process to a goal in finite time. Mathematics of Operations Research, 14, 400409.Google Scholar
Wang, S. (1998). Aggregation of correlated risk portfolios: models and algorithms. Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society, 85(163), 848939.Google Scholar
Wang, T. & Young, V. (2012 a). Optimal commutable annuities to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 50, 200216.Google Scholar
Wang, T. & Young, V. (2012 b). Maximizing the utility of consumption with commutable life annuities. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 51, 352369.Google Scholar
Yener, H. (2015). Maximizing survival, growth and goal reaching under borrowing constraints. Quantitative Finance, 15(12), 20532065.Google Scholar
Young, V. (2004). Optimal investment strategy to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin. North American Actuarial Journal, 8(4), 105126.Google Scholar
Yuen, K.C., Guo, J. & Wu, X. (2002). On a correlated aggregate claim model with Poisson and Erlang risk process. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 31, 205214.Google Scholar
Yuen, K.C., Guo, J. & Wu, X. (2006). On the first time of ruin in the bivariate compound Poisson model. Insurance: Mathematic and Economics, 38, 298308.Google Scholar
Yuen, K.C., Liang, Z. & Zhou, M. (2015). Optimal proportional reinsurance with common shock dependence. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 64, 113.Google Scholar