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Ladders and Bushes: The Problem of Caseloads and Studying Court Activities over Time

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 November 2018

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Abstract

The “litigation explosion” has been a frequent topic of concern in both academic circles and the popular press. This idea draws its polemical power from the assumption that litigation rates were lower in the past. But we presently know little about long-term trends in court activity. This article is a critical review of the existing literature on long-term litigation trends and the social development model which scholars have posited to explain changes in litigation patterns. Whether courts are indeed facing imminent crisis because of an explosion is still very much an open question; the extant literature offers no proof of an explosion. The available data do suggest, however, that previous studies may have been overly optimistic in expecting litigation trends to follow any single pattern. The questions about litigation rates will remain open until we are able to gain a fuller understanding of the trends in court activity over time.

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Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © American Bar Foundation, 1984 

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References

1 John H. Barton, Behind the Legal Explosion, 27 Stan. L. Rev. 567 (1975). This and other claims about the “litigation explosion,” by both professional commentators and others, are critically discussed in Marc Galanter, Reading the Landscape of Disputes: What We Know and Don't Know (and Think We Know) About Our Allegedly Contentious and Litigious Society, 31 UCLA L. Rev. 4 (1983).Google Scholar

2 James Willard Hurst, The Functions of Courts in the United States, 1950–1980, 15 Law & Soc'y Rev. 401, 409 (1980–81).Google Scholar

3 Also see Lawrence M. Friedman, Courts Over Time: A Survey of Theories and Research, in Keith O. Boyum & Lynn Mather, eds., Empirical Theories About Courts (New York: Longman Inc., 1983).Google Scholar

4 The literature on court activities produced over the past 30 years, according to Hurst, has dealt with “only small parts of this sprawling country-with a handful of metropolitan-area trial courts, a few federal trial and intermediate appellate courts, almost no courts in rural or small-town settings …. Few studies of state courts, done before or after 1950, reached deep back into the 19th century…. The want of depth in time meant that, particularly for states, we lacked the basis for making long-term generalizations about stability or change in rates of litigation in relation to population or to any other measures of social context.” Hurst, supra note 2, at 407–8.Google Scholar

5 See Galanter, supra note 1. In fact, Galanter suggests that recent work on civil litigation may well show that there is no real crisis. He argues that the “crisis” may be a perception out of touch with reality, the product of a professional elite who have “a limited and spotty grasp of what the bulk of the legal system is really like.”Id. at 61. Too often the claims of “crisis,” he says, are “a strong admixture of naive speculation and undocumented assertion.”Id. at 62. One of his prime examples is the statement by John Barton, supra note 1, at 567, quoted at the opening of this article.Google Scholar

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7 I have purposely chosen to label the social development notion a “model” in this context rather than a “theory.” Explicit attention to theory has not been a major concern of the literature on court activity. Most energy has been devoted to studies that are essentially exploratory–-discovering what's out there–-and guided, more or less, by the social development model. “The distinction between models and theories is in many ways not a hard-and-fast one.” Alan C. Isaak, Scope and Methods of Political Science: An Introduction to the Methodology of Political Inquiry (3d ed. Homewood, Ill.: Dorsey Press, 1981). But there is one nonetheless. Simply put, a theory is a set of systematically related generalizations (Ronald E. Chilcote, Theories of Comparative Politics: The Search for a Paradigm (Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press, 1981)) that provides a logical and consistent explanation. Its “major function is explanation-to explain singular facts and occurrences, but perhaps more importantly to explain empirical generalizations.” Isaak, supra, at 171. In contrast, models “construct, bring disparate parts together, and demonstrate relationships …. They can facilitate understanding, but they cannot explain.” Chilcote, supra, at 21. In short, theories are used to explain facts while models are used to discover them. Isaak, supra, at 168. As used in the literature on courts, the social development notion is more like a model or conceptual scheme being used in a process of discovery. Also see Abraham Kaplan, The Conduct of Inquiry: Methodology for Behavioral Science (San Francisco: Chandler Publishing Co., 1964).Google Scholar

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20 Stephen Jay Gould, Ontogeny and Phylogeny 13–206 (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, Belknap Press, 1977).Google Scholar

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… Of course, one may look at what is ordinary and see only what is obvious. This is the fair criticism that may be made of a great deal of legal history writing that has dealt only with the internal structure and the formal doctrine and techniques of legal agencies, usually only the courts. There is nothing more deceptive about the ordinary than that it is Likely to appear obvious. Herein lie the uncommonly attractive challenges in studying ordinary events.Google Scholar

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In a widely cited work on modernization, C. E. Black wrote,Google Scholar

the definition of modernity takes the form of a set of characteristics believed to be generally applicable to all societies. This conception of modernity, when thought of as a model or ideal type, may be used as a yardstick with which to measure any society. The major phases of emphasis that confront societies in the process of modernization … may likewise be thought of as models or ideal types. Like modernity, they are uniformities based on the comparison of the experience of the relatively few advanced societies. In the fourth chapter all the societies in the world are compared in the light of these two models or ideal types–-modernity and the phases of modernization–-as a means of conveying an impression of the level of development of these societies at the present time.Google Scholar

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Of such interpreters, Friedman seems to have been particularly influential. He has written extensively and often on the theme of law and social development and on the relevance of the grand theorists and the students of modernization. Perhaps his work is influential because he has been concerned directly with the question of causality in the relationship between legal and social development–-a concern that results from his perception of the way in which the relationship has been conceptualized.Google Scholar

He wrote in 1969: “Ignorance about the relationship between law and development is not solely a problem of law in third world countries. There is monumental ignorance, or misunderstanding, about law and development in our own and other modern countries. This reflects the ignorance, equally deep, about the relationship in general between the legal system and the social system.” Friedman, On Legal Development, supra, at 13.Google Scholar

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47 But see Philippe Nonet & Philip Selznick, Law and Society in Transition: Toward Responsive Law (New York: Octagon Books, 1978); Unger, supra note 24.Google Scholar

Nonet and Selznick are quite explicit in the approach they propose: “A preoccupation with the varieties of legal experience, and with characteristic law-related variables, should provoke little objection. Once stated, it is a fairly evident scientific necessity. However, our second anaiytical strategy–-the application of a developmental perspective–-is more controversial and troublesome. We want to argue that repressive, autonomous, and responsive law are not only distinct types of law but, in some sense, stages of evolution in the relation of law to the political and social order.”Id. at 18.Google Scholar

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79 But see Bliss Cartwright, Conclusion: Disputes and Reported Cases, 9 Law & Soc'y Rev. 369 (1975). As anyone who has tried to collect data on state court activities over long periods of time can attest, the practical problems are enormous and the researcher must make many compromises with practicality to accomplish anything. Cartwright is unique in his candor in explaining the inevitable balancing of theoretical and practical factors in a major study of this type.Google Scholar

80 Intervals have varied from every 5 years (Kagan et al., supra note 71; Stephen Daniels, The Civil Business of State Trial Courts: A Rural-Urban Comparison, 1870–1960 (paper delivered at 1982 Law and Society Association Meeting, Toronto)) to every 20 years (Friedman & Percival, supra note 30). while one older study (Laurent, supra note 70) and one recent study (McIntosh, supra note 19) used data from every year. Time periods have varied widely from 70 to 150 years, though most tend to cluster around a century or so. Kagan et al., Business, supra note 71, at 124, e.g., chose the 100 years beginning in 1870 because they decided these years “would provide us with a sufficient range of social and economic change.” Laurent, supra note 68, at vii, started with 1855 (to 1954) because it marked the year the circuit court–-his primary interest–-was founded in his county. Friedman & Percival, supra note 30, at 272, started with 1890 “partly because it was the first census year after the court reform that established the system of Superior Courts.” In my own research on Illinois trial courts, I chose the period 1870 to 1970 because it approximates the life of the third Illinois Constitution.Google Scholar

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83 Atkins & Glick, supra note 69.Google Scholar

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92 Robert A. Kagan & Terri Jennings, The Routinkation of Debt Collection: An Essay on Models of Social Change and Conflict in the Courts (paper delivered at 1983 Law and Society Association Meeting, Denver), sought to compare certain aspects of the changing mix of state supreme court business with possible changes in mix at the trial level. Their particular interest was trying to match the decline of debt cases at the supreme court level with what may have occurred at the trial level.Google Scholar

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94 Grossman & Sarat began their inquiry with what they “believed were a set of well established hypotheses,”supra note 19, at 342, that either socioeconomic factors would explain variations in litigation rates in the federal courts or that alternatively differences in political culture would. But in the end their analysis led them to conclude that “few of our expectations were confirmed,”id. at 342.Google Scholar

95 The differences in the courts studied alone may be a bar to any kind of close comparison. While admittedly all are “courts,” they are by no means similar. Jurisdictional differences may make some direct comparisons for similarities pointless, such as comparing state and federal trial courts or even different levels of courts in parallel jurisdictions. Even comparing trial courts across states for similarities can be hazardous, given the rather idiosyncratic ways many states structure their trial courts and their jurisdictions, and such comparisons over time can also be hazardous because of the timing and nature of development in different states.Google Scholar

96 Supra note 30.Google Scholar

97 With the very wide sampling interval used in this study, perhaps it is not surprising that no neat patterns were found. And one wonders what effects this sampling scheme may have had on the findings and on Friedman & Percival's interpretations. How different would the findings and interpretations be if the interval had been cut in half to 10 years? See Lempert, supra note 69, at 122 and passim. Google Scholar

98 Supra note 70.Google Scholar

99 Supra note 19.Google Scholar

100 Id. at 1005.Google Scholar

101 Under the 1870 Illinois Constitution each of the four counties involved in the study had three levels of trial courts: justice of the peace, county (and probate), and circuit. Here I looked at the two higher levels-county and circuit. I do have scattered data for three of the four counties on the justice of the peace courts, but not enough to include in a general, four-county comparison. Daniels, supra note 80.Google Scholar

102 Id. at 15, 28.Google Scholar

103 Supra note 19.Google Scholar

104 Id. at 343.Google Scholar

105 Laurent's book, supra note 70, is unique; while one sees it cited with increasing frequency, only rarely is it cited for something specific in it. E.g., while we are likely to see specific citations, say, to Friedman & Percival, supra note 30, at 280: “In both counties the percentage of family and tort cases filed rose dramatically from 1890 to 1970,” we are unlikely to see a similar reference to Laurent, supra note 70, at 161 table 84, with figures showing that the number of divorce and tort actions increased in Chippewa County, though not in a strictly linear fashion. The reason researchers tend to ignore the specifics of Laurent's book is, unfortunately, the book itself. It is literally a census of cases–-an enumeration of all cases in the circuit court for 100 years along with a sample of cases from the circuit court branch of the county court. There are about 76 pages (at 3–79) describing the enumeration, but there is virtually no systematic analysis. This is followed by about 200 pages (at 83–282) of tables–-206 tables–-of data. Few have been willing to wade through this enormous and bewildering array of data (but see Kagan and Jennings, supra note 92; Galanter, supra note 1, for specifics). This is unfortunate, for Lament's book presents a gold mine of data just waiting to be systematically exploited.Google Scholar

106 I have collected but not yet reported criminal docket data to match civil data collected for Menard County, Illinois, for 1870–1960. Daniels, supra note 86. Samples were drawn at 5-year intervals for the county court (the inferior court) and for the circuit court (the highest trial court). For both levels, the criminal caseload was far smaller than the civil and the number and rate of civil matters were higher than those for criminal matters for every sample year. For the county court, there were 2,188 civil matters and only 245 criminal matters; for the circuit court, there were 1,693 civil matters and only 283 criminal matters.Google Scholar

107 Heumann, supra note 77; Friedman, supra note 77.Google Scholar

108 Supra note 32.Google Scholar

109 See sources cited supra note 75.Google Scholar

110 Kagan et al., The Business of State Supreme Courts, supra note 71.Google Scholar

111 See also Davies, Affirmed, supra note 72, 568–73.Google Scholar

112 But see McIntosh, supra note 19.Google Scholar

113 E.g., Gerhard Casper & Richard A. Posner, The Workload of the Supreme Court (Chicago: American Bar Foundation, 1976); Daniels, supra note 80; David M. Engel, Cases, Conflict, and Accommodation: Patterns of Legal Interaction in an American Community, 1983 A.B.F. Res. J. 803.Google Scholar

114 Casper & Posner, supra note 113, at 8.Google Scholar

115 Lawrence M. Friedman & Jack Ladinsky, Social Change and the Law of Industrial Accidents, 67 Colum. L. Rev. 50 (1967).Google Scholar

116 Laurent, supra note 70; Friedman & Percival, supra note 30; Lempert, supra note 69; McIntosh, supra note 70; Daniels, supra note 80.Google Scholar

117 Daniels, supra note 80.Google Scholar

118 Walter F. Dodd & Sue Hutchison Dodd, Government in Illinois 198–99 (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1923).Google Scholar

119 Laurent, supra note 70, at 116 table 38.Google Scholar

120 Supra note 32.Google Scholar

121 Supra note 32.Google Scholar

122 Both studies detect the shift away from morality and toward property, but Hindus, supra note 32, at 67, believes Nelson's, supra note 32, interpretation to be an oversimplification. He said, “There was a gradual shift from crime as sin to crime as theft, but it was quite different from that described by Nelson. First, the shift took two centuries, not a few decades. Second, it was related in part to evolving concerns in the legal system, but also to shifting patterns in behavior and society. Sexual behavior changed, as did the conditions that gave rise to crimes against property.”Id. at 69. Nelson seems to have looked more within the law itself for the mechanism for the shift as opposed to Hindus's more strictly environmental mechanism.Google Scholar

123 The Business of State Supreme Courts, supra note 71. Curiously, we know almost nothing about shifts in overall proportions of civil vs. criminal matters in state trial courts. My own preliminary analysis of data from two Illinois counties suggests a steady or declining proportion of criminal cases during this century.Google Scholar

124 Supra note 71.Google Scholar

125 Supra note 74.Google Scholar

126 Again, my awn preliminary data from Illinios suggests that the supreme court and trial courts did not necessarily share the same shifts but may have well shared some if the vagaries of jurisdiction are taken into account.Google Scholar

127 Davies, Affirmed, supra note 72, 557–69.Google Scholar

128 Friedman & Percival, supra note 30, at 268–71.Google Scholar

129 See Lempert, supra note 69; Krislov, supra note 14.Google Scholar

130 E.g., Richard L. Abel, A Comparative Theory of Dispute Institutions in Society, 8 Law & Soc'y Rev. 217 (1974).CrossRefGoogle Scholar

131 This perspective has pervaded much of mainline political science, sociology, and anthropology. According to Robert K. Merton, Social Theory and Social Structure 79 (1968 enlarged ed. New York: Free Press, 1968), it can be reduced to three basic postulates: “first, that standardized social activities or cultural items are functional for the entire social or cultural system [the functional unity of society]; second, that all such social and cultural items fulfill sociological functions [universal functionalism]; and third, that these items are consequently indispensable [indispensability].”Google Scholar

132 Krislov, supra note 14, at 163–66, distinguished between two approaches to courts: nominalist (courts are what courts do) and essentialist (there is some basic “core idea” that defines court). Krislov himself, adopting modified essentialism (the “coward's way out,”id. at 165–66), is attracted to Martin Shapiro's outline of an essentialist position, the core idea being the mediation of disputes. In Shapiro's approach:Google Scholar

The root concept employed here is a simple one of conflict and its structuring into triads. Cutting quite across cultural lines, it appears that where two persons come into a conflict that they cannot resolve themselves, one solution appealing to common sense is to call upon a thud for assistance in achieving a resolution. So universal across both time and space is this simple social invention of triads that we can discover almost no society that fails to employ it. And from its overwhelming appeal to common sense stems the basic political legitimacy of courts everywhere. In short, the triad for purposes of resolution is the basic social logic of courts, a logic so compelling that courts become a universal political phenomenon.Google Scholar

Martin Shapiro, Courts, in 5 Fred I. Greenstein & Nelson W. Polsby, eds., Handbook of Political Science 322 (Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley Publishing Co., 1975).Google Scholar

Somewhat closer to home, and less universalistic, Shapiro describes the prototypical or ideal typical idea of courts employed by political scientists, which seems based on the same core idea: “(1) an independent judge (2) applying preexisting legal norms (3) after adversary proceedings in order to achieve (4) a dichotomous decision in which one of the parties was assigned the legal right and the other found wrong.”Id. at 321.Google Scholar

133 Lempert's, supra note 69, critique was actually a careful and detailed reanalysis of Friedman & Percival's, supra note 30, data, his purpose being to challenge their conclusions about the diminution of the dispute resolution function of trial courts. Lempert centered his critique, first, on the ambiguous use of the concept function in Friedman & Percival. He asserted that they seemed to cross back and forth between an essentialist (the purpose of courts for the society) and a nominalist (what courts do) position. According to Lempert, “when Friedman and Percival propose to investigate how the functions of trial courts have changed over time, they have set themselves an ambiguous task. Some of their language suggests … that they are concerned primarily with the way in which trial courts serve the larger society…. At other places Friedman and Percival say that what they attempted was 'to measure how the work of these courts changed over time.” Lempert, supra, at 92–93. Second, Lempert was concerned with their approach to measurement; Friedman & Percival relied heavily on changing percentages over time rather than on rates, with reliance on the former being very misleading. Id. at 93–97. And third, Lempert was concerned with the indicators Friedman & Percival used for dispute resolution activity. Basically, they relied on information that could be taken from court records–-whether there were contested trials, etc.–-while Lempert stressed less formal and generally unrecorded contributions to dispute resolution. Id. at 97–100.Google Scholar

134 Supra note 30; also see Heydebrand, supra note 15; Clark, supra note 73.Google Scholar

135 I am not suggesting that the dispute resolution perspective be dropped in general, only that it may not be very helpful in caseload studies tracing and trying to explain patterns and changes over time. Indeed, it may even be a hindrance–-especially in the exploratory stages of such an inquiry. It may distort our view of courts. The idea that dispute resolution is the function of courts is a conceptual argument, not an empirical fact. Historically, a number of quite intended functions for trial courts–-especially the inferior ones–-had little to do with dispute resolution but were explicitly administrative or even legislative (e.g., Dodd & Dodd, supra note 118, at 199; Ireland, supra note 76; Wunder, supra note 16; Brown, supra note 76, at 361–66). The strict application of a dispute resolution perspective may lead researchers to leave out of their studies those aspects of activity not explicitly involving dispute resolution (e.g., Grossman et al., supra note 19, at 94, excluded cases that were “demonstrably non-adversarial”). There is an additional potential distortion. When empirical research suggests that perhaps courts may not be or have not been particularly involved directly in dispute resolution but are acting more like quasi-administrative agencies (as Friedman & Percival suggest), the hue and cry goes up. Even if trial courts do not hear many contested trials and so on, we must look elsewhere for their contribution to dispute resolution, for the perspective tells us it is there. It is, after all, the very essence of the idea of “court.” At the extreme, this could lead to the panglossian notion that somehow almost everything courts do (regardless of what it might be) can be interpreted as a contribution to dispute resolution. This may explain, in part, Lempert's rather pointed critique of Friedman & Percival and their argument about trial courts' decreasing contribution to dispute resolution. Lempert, supra note 69, at 97–100. Much of the critique was a search for the dispute resolution activities of the courts in question, Friedman & Percival's interpreted findings to the contrary notwithstanding. Lempert presents a list of seven ways courts can contribute to dispute resolution and then notes: “With courts able to contribute to dispute settlement in so many ways–-and this list is not necessarily exhaustive–-it is dangerous to generalize about changes in the dispute settlement function of courts over time.”Id. at 99–100. It is also dangerous to make such sweeping claims about the dispute settlement function of courts. To suggest that almost everything trial courts do somehow contributes to dispute resolution borders on the tautological.Google Scholar

136 The Illinois Crime Survey (Chicago: Illinois Association for Criminal Justice in cooperation with Chicago Crime Commission, 1929).Google Scholar

137 See special issue of Law and Society Review edited by Malcolm M. Feeley, on Plea Bargaining, 13 Law & Soc'y Rev. (1979); John H. Langbein, Torture and Plea Bargaining, 58 Pub. Interest 43 (1980); Malcolm M. Feeley, Plea Bargaining and the Structure of the Criminal Process, 7 Just. Sys. J. 338 (1982);Google Scholar

138 E.g., Albert W. Alschuler, Plea Bargaining and Its History, 13 Law & Soc'y Rev. 211 (1979); Malcolm M. Feeley, Perspectives on Plea Bargaining, 13 Law & Soc'y Rev. 199 (1979); Feeley, supra note 137. In his essay Alschuler remarked:Google Scholar

As an opponent of plea bargaining, I have been offended by … rhetorical historical pronouncements [that plea bargaining is endemic to the system and always has been] and perhaps even more offended by the seemingly knowledgeable, but equally unsupported, assertions of scholars that plea bargaining “apparently originated in 17th century England as a means of mitigating unduly harsh punishment”…. The defenders of plea bargaining have seemed to rely on a sense of what “must have been” in making historical judgments, but today's method of resolving criminal cases is not, from my perspective, a matter of doing what comes naturally.Google Scholar

Alschuler, supra, at 212–13.Google Scholar

139 See sources by Heumann, cited supra note 77; Friedman, supra note 77.Google Scholar

140 See Friedman & Percival, supra note 30; McIntosh, supra note 70; Daniels, supra note 86.Google Scholar

141 E.g., Wanner, supra note 82; James S. Eisenstein & Herbert Jacob, Felony Justice: An Organizational Analysis of Criminal Courts (Boston: Little, Brown & Co., 1977); Marcia J. Lipetz, Routine Justice: Processing Cases in Women's Court (New Brunswick, N.J.: Transaction Books, 1984); David M. Trubek et al., Civil Litigation Research Project Final Report (Madison: University of Wisconsin Law School, 1983).Google Scholar

142 E.g., Heumann, A Note, supra note 77, at 520; Friedman, supra note 77, at 257.Google Scholar

143 The Limits of the Criminal Sanction (Stanford, Cal.: Stanford University Press, 1968).Google Scholar

144 Stephen Daniels & Robert Hayden, Is There a “Master Pattern” for Civil and Criminal Dispositions? An Experiment with Two Rural Counties, 1870–1960” (unpublished paper, American Bar Foundation, Chicago, 1984).Google Scholar

145 Evolution, supra note 71.Google Scholar

146 Id. at 1000. Note, however, that Davies, Gresham's Law Revisited, supra note 72, suggests that this change in state supreme court disposition style may cause intermediate appellate courts to routinize their processing of some types of cases, especially criminal cases.Google Scholar

147 Id. at 962.Google Scholar

148 Wayne McIntosh, A Long-Range View of Litigators and Their Demands (paper delivered at 1982 American Political Science Association Meeting, Denver).Google Scholar

149 See Friedman & Percival, supra note 30.Google Scholar

In Roots of Justice, Friedman & Percival, supra note 32, at 103–13, discuss in some detail the types of people brought into the system.Google Scholar

150 E.g., Wanner, supra note 82.Google Scholar

151 Marc Galanter, Why the Haves Come Out Ahead: Speculations on the Limits of Legal Change, 9 Law & Soc'y Rev. 95 (1974).CrossRefGoogle Scholar

152 Id.; Marc Galanter, Afterword: Explaining Litigation, 9 Law & Soc'y Rev. 347 (1975).CrossRefGoogle Scholar

153 E.g., sources by Wanner, cited supra note 82; those discussed in Galanter, supra note 152.Google Scholar

154 See Barbara Yngvesson & Patricia Hennessey, Small Claims, Complex Disputes: A Review of the Small Claims Literature, 9 Law & Soc'y Rev. 219 (1975). In fact, Wanner, Part Two, supra note 82, at 306, found a system so pervasive in terms of patterns of usage and victory that he characterized civil litigation in the three cities he studied–-Baltimore, Cleveland, and Milwaukee–-as “an extractive process in which plaintiffs, and plaintiff organizations in particular, usually win and individuals generally lose. On the whole, courts are vehicles by which organizational plaintiffs gain goods and opportunities at the expense of individual defendants.”Google Scholar

155 Supra note 1, at 24.Google Scholar

156 Supra note 148.Google Scholar

157 The richer but somewhat less systematic analyses of historians further complicate what little we know. Laurent, supra note 70, at 53–59, found, as did McIntosh, supra note 148, that the typical civil case was individual versus individual. In his study of civil litigation in Boston for a rather short period (1880 to 1900), Silverman found that while the typical plaintiff was an individual, over time there was a shift toward a higher percentage of organizational defendants. Robert A. Silverman, Law and Urban Growth: Civil Litigation in the Boston Trial Courts, 1880–1900, at 17–23 (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1981). None of the more systematic studies covering longer periods can match Silverman's richness of detail on parties. He looked at different levels of trial courts but unfortunately did not always show the breakdowns among them. He took names from dockets and searched through manuscript census schedules for information on litigants. Id., appendix A, at 151–56.Google Scholar

158 See Kagan et al., The Business of State Supreme Courts, supra note 71.Google Scholar

159 Supra note 14, at 162.Google Scholar

160 Supra note 15, at 145. Also see Gould, supra note 15: Gordon, supra note 8.Google Scholar

161 Krislov, supra note 14.Google Scholar

162 Id. at 161.Google Scholar

163 Id. at 162.Google Scholar

165 Stephen Jay Gould, Is a New and General Theory of Evolution Emerging?in John Maynard Smith, ed., Evolution Now: A Century After Darwin 132 (New York: Nature/Macmillan Co., 1982).Google Scholar

166 For a radically different view of macroevolution see Paul Diener, Quantum Adjustment, Macro-evolution, and the Social Field: Some Comments on Evolution and Culture, 21 Current Anthropology 423, 427–29 (1980). Diener's approach is strictly based on a model of biological evolution.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

167 Gould, supra note 27, at 56–62.Google Scholar

168 Gould, supra note 15; id., supra note 165.Google Scholar

169 Perhaps there is something to be learned from the attitude of evolutionary biologists toward the task of explaining change scientifically. Ernst Mayr said in Animal Species and Evolution (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, Belknap Press, 1965): “Comparing two such different fields as, let us say, the evolutionary biology of species and enzyme chemistry brings home the enormous contrasts within science. In chemistry we deal with repeatable unit phenomena and with actions that, once correctly described, are known forever. In evolutionary biology we deal with unique phenomena, with intricate interactions and with balances of selection pressures–-in short, with phenomena of such complexity that an exhaustive description is beyond our power. We can approach the truth only by a trial-and-error process of increasing accuracy (at vi).”Google Scholar

At this point, the study of court activities over time is much closer to Mayr's characterization of evolutionary biology than it is to the study of enzyme chemistry.Google Scholar

170 Gould's primary target has been Neo-Darwinism or the modern synthetic theory of biological evolution. In a 1980 article Gould, supra note 15, at 42, summarized this theory: “AS Ernst Mayr, a major architect of the modern synthesis, put it, ‘the proponents of the synthetic theory maintain that all evolution is due to the accumulation of small genetic changes, guided by natural selection, and that transspecific evolution [across species] is nothing but an extrapolation and magnification of the events that take place within populations and species.”’ Gould, supra note 15, at 42.Google Scholar

171 See Gould, supra note 27; id., supra note 15; Gould & Eldredge, supra note 15; also see Gordon, supra note 8.Google Scholar

172 Stephen Jay Gould, Hen's Teeth and Horse's Toes: Further Reflections in Natural History 159 (New York: W. W. Norton & Co., 1983); also see Gordon, supra note 8.Google Scholar

173 Gould, supra note 165, at 138.Google Scholar

174 See id.; Heydebrand, supra note 15, at 772.Google Scholar

175 Also see Wright, supra note 15, at 9–29.Google Scholar

176 Gould, supra note 15, at 46.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

177 Motoo Kimura, The Neutral Theory of Molecular Evolution (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1983).Google Scholar

178 Wright, supra note 15, at 15–26, presents a similar approach to change as being what is possible given certain constraints and as being channeled by those constraints. Wright's interest was in devising a model for social scientific analysis that was consistent with his view of Marxism. Gould's ideas are less obviously ideological, but one would find throughout much of his writing a viewpoint that is probably not unsympathetic with Wright's interests and ideological stance.Google Scholar

179 Supra note 15.Google Scholar

180 P. G. Williamson, Morphological Status and Developmental Constraint: Real Problems for Neo-Darwinism, in Smith, supra note 165.Google Scholar

181 Stephen Jay Gould, The Meaning of Punctuated Equilibrium and Its Role in Validating a Hierarchical Approach to Macroevolution, in Roger Milkman, ed., Perspectives on Evolution 85 (Sunderland, Mass.: Sinauer Associates, 1982).Google Scholar

182 E.g., Diener, supra note 166.Google Scholar

183 Even though Gould attacks our common notions about change in most fields of intellectual endeavor, I make no claim that he would agree with my use of his ideas and critique or that he intends them to be used in this way.Google Scholar

184 In a related vein Kaplan has said: “No two things in the world are wholly alike, so that every analogy, however close, can be pushed too far; on the other hand, no two things are wholly dissimilar, so that there is always an analogy to be drawn, if we choose to do so. The question to be considered in every case is whether or not there is something else to be learned from the analogy if we choose to draw it.” Kaplan, supra note 7, at 266.Google Scholar

185 Perhaps this may help explain why Kagan et al., Evolution. supra note 71, at 962, found such divergent patterns even among demographically similar states–-only a “rough pattern of evolution.”Google Scholar

186 Lawrence M. Friedman, Trial Courts and Their Work in the Modern World, 4 Jahrbuch für Rechtssoziologie & Rechtstheorre 25, 25 (1976).Google Scholar

189 Id. at 25–27.Google Scholar

190 1%. Id. at 26.Google Scholar

191 E.g., Shapiro, supra note 132; Krislov, supra note 14.Google Scholar

192 E.g., Grossman et al., supra note 19.Google Scholar

193 Austin Sarat, The Role of Courts and the Logic of Court Reform: Notes on the Justice Department's Approach to Improving Justice, 64 Judicature 300, 301 (1981).Google Scholar

194 Supra note 70.Google Scholar

195 James Willard Hurst, Introduction, in Laurent, supra note 70, at xxxii.Google Scholar

196 E.g., we are limited to what the available records say, “though in fact one suit will have involved larger interests than another … some will have taken much more time of counsel and court, and some will have tested professional competence in much different degree.” Hurst, supra note 195, at xix. Undoubtedly, a weighting system could be devised, but we now know far too little to design an acceptable one.Google Scholar

197 This is what Lawrence Friedman has reportedly called “anthropological agnosticism.” Krislov, supra note 14, at 164.Google Scholar

198 Id. at 163–64.Google Scholar

199 Supra note 2, at 401.Google Scholar

200 This is an area ready for a bold set of “reforms”–-a “problem” so ill understood that it invites a panacea doomed to failure from the start. In his evaluation of failed court reforms, Feeley found: “Often, failure is rooted in conception, in a fundamental misunderstanding of the nature of the problem, the dynamics of the system, the nature of the change process, and attention to detail at the service delivery level.” Feeley. supra note 17, at 205. In a similar vein, a recent article, Debunking Litigation Magic, Newsweek, Nov. 21, 1983, at 98, 98F–-highlighted by an interview with Marc Galanter–-ended: “At the very least, then, more research and better record keeping are in order. In the meantime, it is important not to fall victim to an … American characteristic: impatience. Jumping to conclusions is bad enough; leaping to solutions is worse.”Google Scholar

201 P. B. Medawar, Pluto's Republic 298 (New York: Oxford University Press, 1982).Google Scholar