Consider a haploid population of fixed finite size with a finite number of allele types and having Cannings exchangeable genealogy with neutral mutation. The stationary distribution of the Markov chain of allele counts in each generation is an important quantity in population genetics but has no tractable description in general. We provide upper bounds on the distributional distance between the Dirichlet distribution and this finite-population stationary distribution for the Wright–Fisher genealogy with general mutation structure and the Cannings exchangeable genealogy with parent independent mutation structure. In the first case, the bound is small if the population is large and the mutations do not depend too much on parent type; 'too much' is naturally quantified by our bound. In the second case, the bound is small if the population is large and the chance of three-mergers in the Cannings genealogy is small relative to the chance of two-mergers; this is the same condition to ensure convergence of the genealogy to Kingman's coalescent. These results follow from a new development of Stein's method for the Dirichlet distribution based on Barbour's generator approach and a probabilistic description of the semigroup of the Wright–Fisher diffusion due to Griffiths and Li (1983) and Tavaré (1984).

The Pitman–Yor process is a random discrete measure. The random weights or masses follow the two-parameter Poisson–Dirichlet distribution with parameters 0 < α < 1, θ > -α. The parameters α and θ correspond to the stable and gamma components, respectively. The distribution of atoms is given by a probability η. In this paper we consider the limit theorems for the Pitman–Yor process and the two-parameter Poisson–Dirichlet distribution. These include the law of large numbers, fluctuations, and moderate or large deviation principles. The limiting procedures involve either α tending to 0 or 1. They arise naturally in genetics and physics such as the asymptotic coalescence time for explosive branching process and the approximation to the generalized random energy model for disordered systems.

In the first part of this paper we consider a general stationary subcritical cluster model in ℝd. The associated pair-connectedness function can be defined in terms of two-point Palm probabilities of the underlying point process. Using Palm calculus and Fourier theory we solve the Ornstein–Zernike equation (OZE) under quite general distributional assumptions. In the second part of the paper we discuss the analytic and combinatorial properties of the OZE solution in the special case of a Poisson-driven random connection model.

We consider a class of impulse control problems for general underlying strong Markov processes on the real line, which allows for an explicit solution. The optimal impulse times are shown to be of a threshold type and the optimal threshold is characterised as a solution of a (typically nonlinear) equation. The main ingredient we use is a representation result for excessive functions in terms of expected suprema.

Quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) arise from stochastic processes that exhibit transient equilibrium behaviour on the way to absorption. QSDs are often mathematically intractable and even drawing samples from them is not straightforward. In this paper the framework of sequential Monte Carlo samplers is utilised to simulate QSDs and several novel resampling techniques are proposed to accommodate models with reducible state spaces, with particular focus on preserving particle diversity on discrete spaces. Finally, an approach is considered to estimate eigenvalues associated with QSDs, such as the decay parameter.

In this paper a kernel estimator of the differential entropy of the mark distribution of a homogeneous Poisson marked point process is proposed. The marks have an absolutely continuous distribution on a compact Riemannian manifold without boundary. We investigate L2 and the almost surely consistency of this estimator as well as its asymptotic normality.

Modern processing networks often consist of heterogeneous servers with widely varying capabilities, and process job flows with complex structure and requirements. A major challenge in designing efficient scheduling policies in these networks is the lack of reliable estimates of system parameters, and an attractive approach for addressing this challenge is to design robust policies, i.e. policies that do not use system parameters such as arrival and/or service rates for making scheduling decisions. In this paper we propose a general framework for the design of robust policies. The main technical novelty is the use of a stochastic gradient projection method that reacts to queue-length changes in order to find a balanced allocation of service resources to incoming tasks. We illustrate our approach on two broad classes of processing systems, namely the flexible fork-join networks and the flexible queueing networks, and prove the rate stability of our proposed policies for these networks under nonrestrictive assumptions.

In this paper we study the random walk on the hypercube (ℤ / 2ℤ)n which at each step flips k randomly chosen coordinates. We prove that the mixing time for this walk is of the order (n / k)logn. We also prove that if k = o(n) then the walk exhibits cutoff at (n / 2k)logn with window n / 2k.

We study the impact of a hard selective sweep on the genealogy of partially linked neutral loci in the vicinity of the positively selected allele. We consider a sexual population of stochastically varying size and, focusing on two neighboring loci, derive an approximate formula for the neutral genealogy of a sample of individuals taken at the end of the sweep. Individuals are characterized by ecological parameters depending on their genetic type, and governing their growth rate and interactions with other individuals (competition). As a consequence, the `fitness' of an individual depends on the population state and is not an intrinsic characteristic of individuals. We provide a deep insight into the dynamics of the mutant and wild-type populations during the different stages of a selective sweep.

We consider a server with large capacity delivering video files encoded in various resolutions. We assume that the system is under saturation in the sense that the total demand exceeds the server capacity C. In such a case, requests may be rejected. For the policies considered in this paper, instead of rejecting a video request, it is downgraded. When the occupancy of the server is above some value C0 < C, the server delivers the video at a minimal bit rate. The quantity C0 is the bit rate adaptation threshold. For these policies, request blocking is thus replaced with bit rate adaptation. Under the assumptions of Poisson request arrivals and exponential service times, we show that, by rescaling the system, a process associated with the occupancy of the server converges to some limiting process whose invariant distribution is computed explicitly. This allows us to derive an asymptotic expression of the key performance measure of such a policy, namely the equilibrium probability that a request is transmitted at requested bitrate. Numerical applications of these results are presented.