Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of contributors
- Preface
- 1 Tectonic events and nuclear facilities
- 2 The nature of tectonic hazards
- 3 The nature of volcanism
- 4 Tectonic uplift and subsidence
- 5 Glacial isostatic adjustment: implications for glacially induced faulting and nuclear waste repositories
- 6 Using global positioning system data to assess tectonic hazards
- 7 Tectonic setting of volcanic centers in subduction zones: three-dimensional structure of mantle wedge and arc crust
- 8 Conceptual model for small-volume alkali basalt petrogenesis: implications for volcanic hazards at the proposed Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository
- 9 Aspects of volcanic hazard assessment for the Bataan nuclear power plant, Luzon Peninsula, Philippines
- 10 Multi-disciplinary probabilistic tectonic hazard analysis
- 11 Tsunami hazard assessment
- 12 Regional-scale volcanology in support of site-specific investigations
- 13 Exploring long-term hazards using a Quaternary volcano database
- 14 Estimating spatial density with kernel methods
- 15 Cox process models for the estimation of long-term volcanic hazard
- 16 Spatial distribution of eruptive centers about the Idaho National Laboratory
- 17 Modeling the flow of basaltic magma into subsurface nuclear facilities
- 18 Intrusion dynamics for volatile-poor basaltic magma into subsurface nuclear installations
- 19 Volcanic risk assessment at Yucca Mountain, NV, USA: integration of geophysics, geology and modeling
- 20 Geological issues in practice: experience in siting US nuclear facilities
- 21 Characterizing active tectonic structures for nuclear facilities in Japan
- 22 Issues for coastal sites
- 23 Stable tectonic settings: designing site investigations to establish the tectonic basis for design and safety evaluation of geological repositories in Scandinavia
- 24 The impact of subsidence, uplift and erosion on geological repositories for radioactive wastes
- 25 Recommendations for assessing volcanic hazards at sites of nuclear installations
- 26 Formal expert assessment in probabilistic seismic and volcanic hazard analysis
- Index
- Map
9 - Aspects of volcanic hazard assessment for the Bataan nuclear power plant, Luzon Peninsula, Philippines
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 27 May 2010
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of contributors
- Preface
- 1 Tectonic events and nuclear facilities
- 2 The nature of tectonic hazards
- 3 The nature of volcanism
- 4 Tectonic uplift and subsidence
- 5 Glacial isostatic adjustment: implications for glacially induced faulting and nuclear waste repositories
- 6 Using global positioning system data to assess tectonic hazards
- 7 Tectonic setting of volcanic centers in subduction zones: three-dimensional structure of mantle wedge and arc crust
- 8 Conceptual model for small-volume alkali basalt petrogenesis: implications for volcanic hazards at the proposed Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository
- 9 Aspects of volcanic hazard assessment for the Bataan nuclear power plant, Luzon Peninsula, Philippines
- 10 Multi-disciplinary probabilistic tectonic hazard analysis
- 11 Tsunami hazard assessment
- 12 Regional-scale volcanology in support of site-specific investigations
- 13 Exploring long-term hazards using a Quaternary volcano database
- 14 Estimating spatial density with kernel methods
- 15 Cox process models for the estimation of long-term volcanic hazard
- 16 Spatial distribution of eruptive centers about the Idaho National Laboratory
- 17 Modeling the flow of basaltic magma into subsurface nuclear facilities
- 18 Intrusion dynamics for volatile-poor basaltic magma into subsurface nuclear installations
- 19 Volcanic risk assessment at Yucca Mountain, NV, USA: integration of geophysics, geology and modeling
- 20 Geological issues in practice: experience in siting US nuclear facilities
- 21 Characterizing active tectonic structures for nuclear facilities in Japan
- 22 Issues for coastal sites
- 23 Stable tectonic settings: designing site investigations to establish the tectonic basis for design and safety evaluation of geological repositories in Scandinavia
- 24 The impact of subsidence, uplift and erosion on geological repositories for radioactive wastes
- 25 Recommendations for assessing volcanic hazards at sites of nuclear installations
- 26 Formal expert assessment in probabilistic seismic and volcanic hazard analysis
- Index
- Map
Summary
How would the eruption of a volcano affect a nearby nuclear power plant (NPP)? Specifically, would the products of a volcanic eruption impact the operation of an NPP located near an erupting volcano? The answer to this question begins with an assessment of the geological phenomena that result from volcanic eruptions. These phenomena are diverse, and include tephra fallout, pyroclastic flows and lahars, among others (Connor et al., Chapter 3, this volume). The effects of these phenomena depend on a host of factors, such as the proximity of the volcano to the NPP, the size and character of the eruption, wind direction and topography around the volcano.
The complexity and uncertainty associated with these phenomena suggest that their potential impacts be assessed probabilistically. One important aspect of probabilistic assessment involves forecasting the timing of eruptions. When will the next eruption occur? Or, phrased another way, how much time must elapse before a volcano no longer has a credible potential for future eruptions? This question is not easily resolved, as volcanoes may go thousands of years, or even tens of thousands of years without erupting. A second aspect of volcanic hazard assessment is estimation of the effects of volcanic eruptions, once they occur. Which areas might be inundated by lahars, or experience tephra fallout? As eruption magnitudes and their effects vary widely, this question must also be answered probabilistically. Admittedly, assessment of the timing and consequences of potential eruptions is a daunting task, requiring site-specific data, a refined understanding of volcanic processes and computational tools to actually estimate probabilities.
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- Volcanic and Tectonic Hazard Assessment for Nuclear Facilities , pp. 229 - 256Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2009
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