Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-76fb5796d-skm99 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-26T15:22:50.856Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

1 - A grand query: how scale matters in global change research

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  31 July 2009

Robert W. Kates
Affiliation:
University Professor Brown University
Thomas J. Wilbanks
Affiliation:
Corporate Research Fellow and Leader of Global Change and Developing country Programs Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL).
Get access

Summary

Grand queries are fundamental questions that transcend the form and substance of individual sciences; they often appear simultaneously in many disciplines. A recurring grand query focuses on scale: how to relate universals to particulars, wholes to parts, macro-processes to micro-behavior, and global to local. Biologists ponder the linkages among molecules, cells, and organisms; ecologists among patches, ecosystems, and biomes; economists among firms, industries, and economies; and geographers among places, regions, and Earth (Rediscovering Geography Committee 1997: 95–102; Alexander et al. 1987; Holling 1992; Levin 1992; Meyer and Turner 1998; Meyer et al. 1992; Turner, M. G. et al. 1993). Scientists in many disciplines worry about non-linear processes and complexity: whether understanding its components can explain the properties of a large system (Gallagher and Appenzeller 1999). Or the reverse, as in the case of global climate change: can the rapidly accruing understanding of the large Earth system inform the ways people and biota in particular places alter climate and in turn are affected by climate change?

This chapter places the Global Change and Local Places project in the context of a grand query: how scale matters in global climate change. It examines the scale at which global change and responses to it take place, and how well the current scales of science and policy match the current scales at which changes are engendered.

Type
Chapter
Information
Global Change and Local Places
Estimating, Understanding, and Reducing Greenhouse Gases
, pp. 3 - 26
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2003

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Alexander, J. C., B. Giesen, R. Münch, and N. J. Smelser, eds. 1987. The Micro-Macro Link. Berkeley: University of California Press
Andres, R. J., Marland, G., Fung, I., and Matthews, E.. 1996. A 1 Degree × 1 Degree Distribution of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Fossil Fuel Consumption and Cement Manufacture, 1950–1990. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 10: 419–29CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Aronson, E., and P. C. Stern. 1984. Energy Use: The Human Dimension. San Francisco: W. H. Freeman
Australian Greenhouse Office, undated. Supplementary Methodology for State and Territory Inventories Based on Workbook 1.1 Energy Workbook for Fuel Combustion Activities (Stationary Sources). Canberra, ACT: Australian Greenhouse Office
Bailey, R. G. 1995. Description of the Ecoregions of the United States. Washington: United States Department of Agriculture. USDA Forest Service Miscellaneous Publication 1391
Bohle, H. G., Downing, T. E., and Watts, M. J.. 1994. Climate Change and Social Vulnerability. Global Environmental Change – Human and Policy Dimensions, 4: 37–48CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carbon Dioxide Information and Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory. 2002. http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/home.html
Clark, W. C. 1985. Scales of Climate Impacts. Climatic Change, 7: 5–27CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Clark, W. C. 1987. Scale Relationships in the Interaction of Climate, Ecosystems, and Societies. In K. C. Land and S. H. Schneider, eds. Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences: 337–78. Dordrecht: D. Reidel
Clark, W. C., J. Jäger, R. Corell, R. Kasperson, J. J. McCarthy, D. Cash, S. J. Cohen, P. Desanker, N. M. Dickson, P. Epstein, D. H. Guston, J. M. Hall, C. Jaeger, A. Janetos, N. Leary, M. A. Levy, A. Luers, M. MacCracken, J. Melillo, R. Moss, J. M. Nigg, M. L. Parry, E. A. Parson, J. C. Ribot, H.-J. Schellnhuber, G. A. Seielstad, E. Shea, C. Vogel, and T. J. Wilbanks. 2000. Assessing Vulnerability to Global Environmental Risks. Report of the Workshop on Vulnerability to Global Environmental Change: Challenges for Research, Assessment and Decision Making. May 22–25, 2000, Airlie House, Warrenton, Virginia. Cambridge, MA: Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs (BCSIA) Discussion Paper 2000–12, Environment and Natural Resources Program, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Available at http://www.ksg.harvard.edu/sust
Cohen, S. J. 1997. What If and So What in Northwest Canada? Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Seattle WA, 14 February 1997
Collier, U., and Löfstedt, R. E.. 1997. Think Globally, Act Locally?: Local Climate Change and Energy Policies in Sweden and the U. K.Global Environmental Change, 7: 25–40CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cox, K. R. 1997. Spaces of Globalization: Reasserting the Power of the Local. New York: Guilford Press
Crowley, T. J., 2000. Causes of Climate Change Over the Past 1000 Years. Science, 289: 270–7CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Cutter, S. 1993. Living with Risk. London: Edward Arnold
Davidson, O., B. Metz, J. Pan and R. Swart, eds. 2001. Climate Change 2001: Mitigation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
Dietz, T., and Rosa., E. A., 1997. Effects of Population and Affluence on CO2 Emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 94: 175–9CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Dixon, R. K., Sathaye, J. A., Meyers, S. P., Masera, O. R., Makarov, A. A., Toure, S., Makundi, W., and Wiel, S.. 1996. Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Strategies: Preliminary Results from the U.S. Country Studies Program. Ambio, 25 1: 26–32Google Scholar
Dobson, J. E., E. A. Bright, D. W. Field, R. L. Ferguson, K. D. Haddad, H. Iredale III, J. R. Jensen, V. V. Klemas, R. J. Orth, L. L. Wood, and J. P. Thomas. 1995. NOAA Coastal Change Analysis Program: Guidance for Regional Implementation. Washington DC: NOAA Technical Report NMFS 123
Ehrlich, P. R., and J. P. Holdren. 1972. Review of The Closing Circle. Environment, April: 24–39
Emanuel, W. P., Shugart, H. H., and Stevenson, M. P.. 1985. Climate Change and the Broad-Scale Distribution of Terrestrial Ecosystem Complexes. Climatic Change, 7: 29–43CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fischer, G., Frohberg, K., Parry, M. L., and Rosenzweig, C.. 1994. Climate Change and World Food Supply, Demand and Trade: Who Benefits, Who Loses? Global Environmental Change, 4: 7–23CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gallagher, R. and Appenzeller, T.. 1999. Beyond Reductionism. Science, 284(5411): 79CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Global 1KM AVHRR Server. 2002. http://atlas.esrin.esa.it:8000/
Graedel, T. E., Bates, T. S., Bouwman, A. F., Cunnold, D., Dignon, J., Fung, I., Jacob, D. J., Lamb, B. K., Logan, J. A., Marland, G., Middleton, P., Pacyna, J. M., Placet, M., and Veldt, C.. 1993. A Compilation of Inventories of Emissions to the Atmosphere. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 7: 1–26CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Graedel, T. E., Benkovitz, C. M., Keene, W. C., Lee, D. S., and Marland, G.. 1995. Global Emissions Inventories of Acid-Related Compounds. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution, 85: 25–36CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hewitt, K. 1997. Regions of Risk: A Geographical Introduction to Disasters. London: Longman
Holdridge, L. R. 1947. Determination of World Plant Formations from Simple Climatic Data. Science, 105, 367–8CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Holdridge, L. R. 1967. Life Zone Ecology. San Jose, Costa Rica: Tropical Science Center
Holling, C. S. 1992. Cross-scale Morphology, Geometry and Dynamics of Ecosystems. Ecological Monographs, 62: 447–502CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Holling, C. S. 1995. What barriers? What bridges? In L. H. Gunderson, C. S. Holling, and S. S. Light, eds. Barriers and Bridges to the Renewal of Ecosystems and Institutions: 3–34. New York: Columbia University Press
Houghton, J. T., Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, D. Xiaosu, and K. Maskell, eds. 2001. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. 1992. National Inventories of Net Greenhouse Gas Emissions: IPCC Guidelines for Preparation and Reporting. Paris: OECD
International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives. 1996. Urban Greenhouse Gas Inventories and Emission Reduction Assessment in Canada. Ottawa: ICLEI and Torrie Smith Associates
Jenkins, G. S., and Barron, E. J.. 1996. Global Climate Model and Coupled Regional Climate Model Simulations Over the Eastern United States. Global and Planetary Change, 15: 3–32CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Karl, T. R., and Riebsame, W. E.. 1984. The Identification of 10- to 20-year Climate Fluctuations in the Contiguous United States. Journal of Climate and Applied Meteorology, 23: 950–662.0.CO;2>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Karl, T. R., and Riebsame, W. E.. 1989. The Impact of Decadal Fluctuations in Mean Precipitation and Temperature on Runoff: A Sensitivity Study over the United States. Climatic Change, 15: 423–47CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kasperson, J. X., R. E. Kasperson, and B. L. Turner, II., eds. 1995. Regions at Risk: Comparisons of Threatened Environments. Tokyo: United Nations University
Kasperson, R. E., R. W. Kates, and C. Hohenemser, 1985. Hazard Management, in R. W. Kates, C. Hohenemser, and J. X. Kasperson, eds. Perilous Progress: Managing the Hazards of Technology: 43–66. Boulder: Westview Press
Kates, R. W. and Haarmann, V.. 1992. Where the Poor Live: Are the Assumptions Correct? Environment, 4: 4–11, 25–8Google Scholar
Kerr, R. A. 2000. Second Thoughts on Skill of El Niño Predictions. Science, 290: 256–7CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Levin, S. A. 1992. The Problem of Pattern and Scale in Ecology. Ecology, 73: 1943–67CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Loreti, C. P., W. F. Wescott, and M. A. Eisenberg. 2000. An Overview of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Inventory Issues. Arlington, VA: Pew Center on Global Climate Change
Maxwell, B., N. Mayer, and R. Street, eds. 1997. The Canada Country Study: Climate Impacts and Adaptation, National Summary for Policymakers. Ottawa: Environment Canada
McCarthy, J., O. Canziani, N. Leary, D. Dokken, and K. White, eds. 2001. Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
McDonald, A. 1999. Combating Acid Deposition and Climate Change. Environment, 41 3: 4–11, 34–41Google Scholar
McEvoy, D., Gibbs, D. C., and Longhurst, J. W. S.. 1997. Assessing Carbon Flow at Local Scale. Energy and Environment, 8 4: 297–311CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mendelsohn, R., Nordhaus, W., and Shaw, D.. 1994. The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis. American Economic Review, 84 4: 753–71Google Scholar
Mendelsohn, R., W. Nordhaus, and D. Shaw. 1999. The Impact of Climate Variation on U.S. Agriculture. In R. Mendelsohn and J. E. Neumann, eds. The Impact of Climate Change on the United States Economy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
Meyer, W. B., and B. L. Turner II, eds. 1998. Changes in Land Use and Land Cover: A Global Perspective. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
Meyer, W. B., D. Gregory, B. L. Turner II, and P. McDowell. 1992. The Local–Global Continuum. In Abler, R. F., Marcus, M. G., and Olson, J. M. eds. Geography's Inner Worlds: Pervasive Themes in Contemporary American Geography: 255–79. New Brunswick, NJ: Rutgers University Press
Morgan, M. G., Dowlatabadi, H. 1996. Learning from Integrated Assessment of Climate Change. Climate Change, 34: 337–68CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nakicenovic, N., A. Grubler, and A. McDonald. 1998. Global Energy Perspectives. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
National Assessment Synthesis Team. 2000. Climate Change Impacts on the United States: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change, Washington: U.S. Global Change Research Program
National Research Council, Board on Sustainable Development. 1999. Our Common Journey: A Transition Toward Sustainability. Washington: National Academy Press
National Research Council, Panel on Reconciling Temperature Observations. 2000. Reconciling Observations of Global Temperature Change. Washington: National Academy Press
Olivier, J. G. J., A. F. Bouwmann, C. W. M. van der Maas, J. J. M. Berdowski, C. Veldt, J. P. J. Bloos, A. J. H. Visschedijk, P. Y. J. Zandveld, and J. L. Haverlag. 1997. Description of EDGAR Version 2.0: A Set of Global Emissions Inventories of Greenhouse Gases and Ozone-Depleting Substances for All Anthropogenic and Most Natural Sources on a per Country Basis and on 1 Degree × 1 Degree Grid. Bilthoven, The Netherlands: National Institute of Public Health and the Environment. RIVM Report 771060 002
Openshaw, S., and Taylor, P. J. 1979. A Million or So Correlation Coefficients: Three Experiments on the Modifiable Areal Unit Problem. In N. Wrigley, ed. Statistical Methods in The Spatial Sciences: 127–44. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul
Palm, R. I. 1990. Natural Hazards: An Integrated Framework for Research and Policy. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press
Parson, E. A., and Fisher-Vanden, K.. 1997. Integrated Assessment Models of Global Change. Annual Review of Energy and Environment, 22: 589–628CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Parson, E. A., and Keith, D. W.. 1998. Climate Change: Fossil Fuels without CO2 Emissions. Science 282: 1053–4CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Perkins, S. 1998. Focus on Transport Emissions Needed if Kyoto's CO2 Targets Are to Be Met. Oil and Gas Journal, 19 January 1998: 35–9Google Scholar
Pitelka, L. 1997. Plant Migration and Climate Change. American Scientist, 85: 464–73Google Scholar
Polsky, C., and Easterling, W. E.. 2000. Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change in the U.S. Great Plains: A Multi-scale Analysis of Ricardian Climate Sensitivities. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 85 1–3: 133–44CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rediscovering Geography Committee, National Research Council. 1997. Rediscovering Geography: New Relevance For Science and Society. Washington, DC: National Academy Press
Root, T. L., and Schneider, S. H.. 1995. Ecology and Climate: Research Strategies and Implications. Science, 269: 334–41CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Rosenberg, N. J., ed. 1993. Towards an Integrated Impact Assessment of Climate Change: The MINK Study. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic
Rosenzweig, C., and D. Hillel. 1998. Climate Change and the Global Harvest: Potential Impacts of the Greenhouse Effect on Agriculture. New York: Oxford University Press
Schipper, L. J., and S. Meyers. 1992. Energy Efficiency and Human Activity: Past Trends, Future Prospects. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press
Schipper, L. J., Ting, M., Khrushch, M., and Golove, W. B.. 1997. The Evolution of Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Use in Industrialized Countries: An End-Use Analysis. Energy Policy, 25 7–9: 651–72CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Toth, F. L. 1995. Practice and Progress in Integrated Assessments of Climate Change: A Workshop Overview. Energy Policy, 23: 253–67CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tuinstra, W., Hordijk, L., and Amann, M.. 1999. Using Computer Models in International Negotiations: the Case of Acidification in Europe. Environment, 41 9: 32–42Google Scholar
Turner, B. L. II, Kasperson, R. E., Meyer, W. B., Dow, K. M., Golding, D., Kasperson, J. X., Mitchell, R. C., and Ratick, S. J.. 1990. Two Types of Global Environmental Change: Definitional and Spatial Scale Issues in Their Human Dimensions. Global Environmental Change, 1: 14–22CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Turner, B. L. II, G. Hyden, and R. W. Kates, eds. 1993. Population Growth and Agricultural Change in Africa Gainesville: University Press of Florida
Turner, B. L. II, D. Skole, S. Sanderson, G. Fischer, L. Fresco, and R. Leemans. 1995. Land Use and Land-Cover Change: Science/Research Plan. Stockholm: International Geosphere-Biosphere Program. IGBP Report #35/HDP Report #7
Turner, M. G., Romme, W. H., Gardner, R. H., O'Neill, R. V., and Kratz, T. K.. 1993. A Revised Concept of Landscape Equilibrium: Disturbance and Stability on Scaled Landscapes. Landscape Ecology 8 3: 213–27CrossRefGoogle Scholar
United States Country Studies Program. 2002. http://www.gcrio.org/CSP/uscsp.html
United States Department of Agriculture, World Agricultural Outlook Board. 1987. Major World Crop Areas and Climatic Profiles. Washington: USDA Agriculture Handbook No. 664
United States Environmental Protection Agency. 1995. State Workbook; Methodologies for Estimating Greenhouse Gas Emissions, 2nd Edition. Washington: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Policy, Planning, and Evaluation, State and Local Outreach Program. EPA-230-B92-002
United States Environmental Protection Agency. 1999. Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990–1997. EPA 236-R-99-003. http://yosemite.epa.gov/oar/globalwarming.nsf/content/ResourceCenterPublicationsGHGEmissions.html
United States Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Transportation and Air Quality. 2002. Light-Duty Automotive Technology and Fuel Economy Trends 1975 through 2001. EPA420-R-01-008.http://www.epa.gov/otaq/fetrends.htm
Wernick, I., Waggoner, P., and Ausabel, J.. 1997. Searching for the Leverage to Conserve Forests: The Industrial Ecology of Wood Products in the United States. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 1 3: 125–45CrossRefGoogle Scholar
White, G. L. ed. 1974. Natural Hazards: Local, National, Global. New York: Oxford University Press
Wilbanks, T. J. 1984. Scale and the Acceptability of Nuclear Energy. In M. Pasqueletti and K. D. Pijawka, eds. Nuclear Power: Assessing and Managing Hazardous Technology: 9–50. Boulder: Westview Press
Wilbanks, T. J. 1994. ‘Sustainable Development’ in Geographic Context. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 84: 541–57CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wilbanks, T. J. 2002. Scaling Issues in Integrated Assessments of Climate Change. In J. Rotmans and M. van Asselt, eds. Scaling Issues in Integrated Assessment: 19–49. Lisse: Swets and Zeitlinger
Wilbanks, T. J., and R. W. Kates. 1999. Global Change in Local Places: How Scale Matters. Climate Change, 43: 601–28CrossRefGoogle Scholar
World Resources Institute, United Nations Environment Program, United Nations Development Program, and the World Bank. 1998. World Resources 1998–99. New York: Oxford University Press

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×