Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Dedication
- Contents
- Foreword
- Preface to the second edition
- Introduction to the first edition
- PART I POSITIVE GROWTH THEORY
- PART II OPTIMAL GROWTH THEORY
- 9 Optimal growth theory: an introduction to the calculus of variations
- 10 Deriving the central equations of the calculus of variations with a single stroke of the pen
- 11 Other major tools for optimal growth theory: the Pontryagin maximum principle and the Dorfmanian
- 12 First applications to optimal growth
- 13 Optimal growth and the optimal savings rate
- PART III A UNIFIED APPROACH
- In conclusion: on the convergence of ideas and values through civilizations
- Further reading, data on growth and references
- Index
12 - First applications to optimal growth
from PART II - OPTIMAL GROWTH THEORY
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 01 December 2016
- Frontmatter
- Dedication
- Contents
- Foreword
- Preface to the second edition
- Introduction to the first edition
- PART I POSITIVE GROWTH THEORY
- PART II OPTIMAL GROWTH THEORY
- 9 Optimal growth theory: an introduction to the calculus of variations
- 10 Deriving the central equations of the calculus of variations with a single stroke of the pen
- 11 Other major tools for optimal growth theory: the Pontryagin maximum principle and the Dorfmanian
- 12 First applications to optimal growth
- 13 Optimal growth and the optimal savings rate
- PART III A UNIFIED APPROACH
- In conclusion: on the convergence of ideas and values through civilizations
- Further reading, data on growth and references
- Index
Summary
Our aim is now to look for optimal growth paths, given initial conditions of the economy. The reader will see that for most problems the calculus of variations is quite sufficient; but we feel that we should present applications of the maximum principle as well because it is so widely used.
Most important however, is the following caveat: in this chapter we will present the traditional results of optimal growth theory as they have been expounded in the literature for more than four decades. This bulk of literature is an outgrowth of the seminal paper by Frank Ramsey (1928) in which the author was looking for optimal investment trajectories maximizing a sum of utility flows entailed by consumption.
We should stress that the great part of this literature remained very much theoretical in the sense that it just posited the existence of a concave utility function that would be accepted by society as a whole. Results were discussed from a qualitative point of view, on the basis of the phase diagram that gave the directions of the fundamental variables of the economy – in general, the capital–labour ratio, on the one hand, and consumption per person on the other. Whenever the differential equations were solved (through numerical methods) at the beginning of the sixties, the strangest of results appeared whatever the utility functions used: for instance, exceedingly high savings rates (in the order of 60–70%). The consequence of this dire situation is that optimal economic growth always remained in the realm of theory, and no serious attempt to compare optimal investment policies to actual time paths was ever carried out.
In the next chapter we will show that the culprit is the very utility function itself. We will analyse in a systematic way the consequences of using any member of the whole spectrum of utility functions, and we will show the damage done by them. We will then suggest another, much more direct, way of approaching optimal growth, leading to applicable results.
For the time being, however, we want to stick to the traditional approach because the reader should be familiar with the hypotheses, methods and results of this mainstream approach.
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- Information
- Economic GrowthA Unified Approach, pp. 243 - 265Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2016