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8 - Asset Inflation and Deflation

from Part I - The Economics of Financial Inflation

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 March 2012

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Summary

Financial inflation leads to bigger balance sheets, both assets and liabilities. This creates a sense of prosperity, and selfcongratulation on the part of bankers, financiers and finance directors of firms. Disillusion sets in when financial inflation fails. When deflation sets in it reveals the self-delusion of markets, habituated to apparently endless capital gains from asset inflation, and the self-delusion of economists, habituated to convenience thinking that attributed such inflation to a prosperous equilibrium among rational optimising agents such as they conceive themselves to be. Effective understanding must look beyond the delusions created by markets to the structural shifts in the markets that account not only for the crisis (which excludes most theories of equilibrium among rational, optimizing agents) but also for the years of financial boom (which excludes most disequilibrium/euphoria-based theories of financial crisis).

The crisis that broke out in 2007 is a crisis of asset inflation and collateralised lending. Asset inflation involves the rise in asset values. In the past this has been attributed to expectations of higher future earnings (in the case of capital market assets such as stocks or shares), or the scarcity of the asset (in the case of housing assets). Neither of these factors can satisfactorily explain the long boom in asset values that has affected the US and UK markets, and their abrupt end in 2008.

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  • Asset Inflation and Deflation
  • Jan Topporowski
  • Book: Why the World Economy Needs a Financial Crash and Other Critical Essays on Finance and Financial Economics
  • Online publication: 05 March 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.7135/UPO9780857286543.010
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  • Asset Inflation and Deflation
  • Jan Topporowski
  • Book: Why the World Economy Needs a Financial Crash and Other Critical Essays on Finance and Financial Economics
  • Online publication: 05 March 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.7135/UPO9780857286543.010
Available formats
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Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Asset Inflation and Deflation
  • Jan Topporowski
  • Book: Why the World Economy Needs a Financial Crash and Other Critical Essays on Finance and Financial Economics
  • Online publication: 05 March 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.7135/UPO9780857286543.010
Available formats
×