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6 - Can a Leopard Change Its Spots? Candidate Demographics and Party Label Change

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 December 2010

Karen E. Ferree
Affiliation:
University of California, San Diego
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Summary

The previous three chapters showed the many challenges South African opposition parties have faced in trying to use campaigns to alter party images. I now turn to an alternative method that parties have pursued toward this end: the manipulation of candidate characteristics. I argue that where the ideological reputations of parties are not well developed, candidate characteristics figure prominently in the formation of party labels. Changing candidate characteristics therefore offers parties a means to alter their party labels. This works through two mechanisms. First, a preference effect: Changing the decision makers in the party alters beliefs about the outcomes the party is likely to pursue. And second, a signaling effect: By unseating party stalwarts in favor of candidates with a different set of characteristics, a party sends a potent signal about its intentions.

I test these intuitions in the South African context. I show that parties (as well as journalists, pundits, and academics) frequently discuss the racial balance of candidate lists. Information about the racial balance of lists is therefore common knowledge and widely believed to be important. Using a new dataset that tracks the changing racial balance of the candidates of the ANC, the NNP, and the DA, I then demonstrate that the parties with the strongest incentives to change their labels – the “white” opposition parties – have indeed made extensive changes to their profiles since the end of apartheid. Starting out as exclusively white, these parties were at least 30 percent African by 2004.

Type
Chapter
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Framing the Race in South Africa
The Political Origins of Racial Census Elections
, pp. 141 - 162
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2010

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