Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-84b7d79bbc-g7rbq Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-28T05:13:09.326Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

7 - Conclusion

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 October 2012

David E. Cunningham
Affiliation:
University of Maryland, College Park
Get access

Summary

This book seeks to explain the puzzle of why some civil wars end quickly while others drag on. It shows that a major factor affecting how amenable wars are to resolution, and therefore how long they last, is the number and type of participants in the conflict that have the ability to block settlement. The more of these veto players there are, the harder conflicts are to resolve and the longer they last.

Civil wars with more veto players are harder to resolve due to four dynamics that arise during bargaining in multi-party conflicts. First, the bargaining range of acceptable agreements shrinks when additional actors with diverse preferences must consent to any agreement. Second, the battlefield reveals information less clearly in multi-party wars, making it harder for combatants to become more realistic about their chances of winning the conflict outright and to adjust their demands at the negotiating table accordingly. Third, all actors in multi-party conflicts have incentives to hold out in the hope of getting the best deal as the last signer, and so parties negotiate harder, leading negotiations to drag on. Finally, parties are unable to overcome these barriers to peace by forming overarching negotiating blocs, because of shifting alliances on different issue areas. The combined effect of these four dynamics is that negotiating a sustainable agreement is substantially more difficult when there are a greater number of veto players involved in civil war.

A comparison of negotiations in Rwanda and Burundi reveals the difficulties of bargaining in multi-party civil wars.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2011

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

  • Conclusion
  • David E. Cunningham, University of Maryland, College Park
  • Book: Barriers to Peace in Civil War
  • Online publication: 05 October 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511993374.007
Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

  • Conclusion
  • David E. Cunningham, University of Maryland, College Park
  • Book: Barriers to Peace in Civil War
  • Online publication: 05 October 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511993374.007
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Conclusion
  • David E. Cunningham, University of Maryland, College Park
  • Book: Barriers to Peace in Civil War
  • Online publication: 05 October 2012
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511993374.007
Available formats
×