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5 - Careers and inflation in developing countries

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 April 2013

Christopher Adolph
Affiliation:
University of Washington, Seattle
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Summary

The IMF reports to the ministers of finance and the governors of the central banks, and one of the important items on its agenda is to make these central banks more independent – and less democratically accountable … it always puts far more weight on inflation than on jobs. The problem with having the rules of the game dictated by the IMF – and thus by the financial community – is not just a question of values (though that is important) but also a question of ideology. The financial community's view of the world predominates – even when there is little evidence in its support.

JOSEPH STIGLITZ, former chief economist of the Work Bank

IN DEVELOPED COUNTRIES, central bankers' past careers shape their preferences over monetary policy. This happens directly, through socialization, and indirectly, by giving central bankers incentives to select the monetary policy preferred by likely future employers. Put another way, central bankers can use monetary policy to grease a revolving door connecting the central bank and private finance and the state. These career effects lead former financiers to be monetary policy hawks and make doves of former bureaucrats.

In this chapter, I turn to the developing world. Past scholarship on developing country central banks finds little traction for concepts such as central bank independence that seem important to monetary policy making elsewhere. Some conclude that developing economies have weak institutions and give up hope of deciphering the implications of developing countries' laws.

Perhaps we have misunderstood the motivations of developing world central bankers from the start. I explore the career socialization and career ambitions of central bankers in less developed countries.

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Chapter
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Bankers, Bureaucrats, and Central Bank Politics
The Myth of Neutrality
, pp. 143 - 181
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2013

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