Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-jbqgn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-04T05:26:25.893Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

PHYSICAL CAPITAL, HUMAN CAPITAL, AND THE HEALTH EFFECTS OF POLLUTION IN AN OLG MODEL

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 January 2021

Sichao Wei
Affiliation:
Hunan University
David Aadland*
Affiliation:
University of Wyoming
*
Address correspondence to: David Aadland, Department of Economics, University of Wyoming, 1000 E. University Avenue, Laramie, WY82070, USA. e-mail: aadland@uwyo.edu. Phone: (307) 766-4931.

Abstract

In a standard overlapping generations model, we show how the health effects of pollution impact the balanced-growth path (BGP) and the transition dynamics of the economy. The key driver is the differential between physical and human capital accumulation. The differential occurs because pollution alters the incentives to save and to invest in education via reductions in longevity and alters the effectiveness of education expenditures via impaired cognitive learning. Two predictions of the model are noteworthy. The first prediction is the existence of two stable BGPs with a separating saddle path. One BGP is desirable featuring high economic growth and low pollution, whereas the other should be avoided because it is associated with low economic growth and high pollution. The second prediction is that economic and environmental cycles may emerge, implying inequality between generations. These theoretical results are supported by empirical evidence and imply a role for government to steer the economy toward the desirable BGP and eliminate the cycles.

Type
Articles
Copyright
© Cambridge University Press 2021

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

The authors thank Jason Shogren, Thorsten Janus, Sasha Skiba, Benjamin Rashford, Hangtian Xu, an associate editor of the journal, two anonymous referees, and participants at the 8th Congress of the EAAERE (Beijing 2019) for their helpful comments and suggestions. Sichao Wei also appreciates the support of the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (No. 023400/531118010241).

References

REFERENCES

Aloi, M. and Tournemaine, F. (2013) Inequality, growth, and environmental quality trade-offs in a model with human capital accumulation. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue Canadienne d’ économique 46(3), 11231155.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barro, R. J. (1990) Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth. Journal of Political Economy 98(5), S103S125.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Barro, R. J. (2001) Human capital and growth. American Economic Review 91(2), 1217.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Black, S. E., Devereux, P. J. and Salvanes, K. G. (2005) Why the apple doesn’ t fall far: Understanding intergenerational transmission of human capital. American Economic Review 95(1), 437449.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Blackburn, K. and Cipriani, G. P. (1998) Endogenous fertility, mortality and growth. Journal of Population Economics 11(4), 517534.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Bloom, D. E., Canning, D. and Graham, B. (2003) Longevity and life-cycle savings. Scandinavian Journal of Economics 105(3), 319338.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brock, W. and Taylor, M. S. (2010) The green Solow model. Journal of Economic Growth 15(2), 127153.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Buiter, W. H. and Kletzer, K. M. (1995) Capital mobility, fiscal policy, and growth under self-financing of human capital formation. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue Canadienne d’ Economique 28, S163S194.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chakraborty, S. (2004) Endogenous lifetime and economic growth. Journal of Economic Theory 116(1), 119137.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chakraborty, S. and Das, M. (2019) Death and capital. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 123. doi: 10.1017/S1365100519000749.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chay, K. Y. and Greenstone, M. (2003) The impact of air pollution on infant mortality: Evidence from geographic variation in pollution shocks induced by a recession. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 118(3), 11211167.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chen, S., Guo, C. and Huang, X. (2018a) Air pollution, student health, and school absences: Evidence from China. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 92, 465497.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chen, S., Oliva, P. and Zhang, P. (2018b) Air pollution and mental health: Evidence from China. Retrieved from SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3178649 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3178649.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
China Center for Human Capital and Labor Market Research. (2018) China human capital measurement and human capital index project. Retrieved from http://humancapital.cufe.edu.cn/en/Human_Capital_Index_Project.htm.Google Scholar
Constant, K. and Davin, M. (2019) Environmental policy and growth when environmental awareness is endogenous. Macroeconomic Dynamics 23(3), 11021136.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Currie, J., Hanushek, E. A., Kahn, E. M., Neidell, M. and Rivkin, S. G. (2009) Does pollution increase school absences? Review of Economics and Statistics 91(4), 682694.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cutler, D., Deaton, A. and Lleras-Muney, A. (2006) The determinants of mortality. Journal of Economic Perspectives 20(3), 97120.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
de la Croix, D. and Doepke, M. (2003) Inequality and growth: Why differential fertility matters. American Economic Review 93(4), 10911113.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
De Nardi, M., French, E. and Jones, J. B. (2009) Life expectancy and old age savings. American Economic Review 99(2), 110115.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dearden, L., Machin, S. and Reed, H. (1997) Intergenerational mobility in Britain.Economic Journal 107(440), 4766.Google Scholar
Devarajan, S., Swaroop, V. and Zou, H. (1996) The composition of public expenditure and economic growth. Journal of Monetary Economics 37(2), 313344.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Duczynski, P. (2002) Adjustment costs in a two-capital growth model. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 26(5), 837850.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ebenstein, A., Fan, M., Greenstone, M., He, G., Yin, P. and Zhou, M. (2015) Growth, pollution, and life expectancy: China from 1991-2012. American Economic Review 105(5), 226231.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ebenstein, A., Lavy, V. and Roth, S. (2016) The long-run economic consequences of high-stakes examinations: Evidence from transitory variation in pollution. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 8(4), 3665.Google Scholar
Economides, G. and Philippopoulos, A. (2008) Growth enhancing policy is the means to sustain the environment. Review of Economic Dynamics 11(1), 207219.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fodha, M. and Seegmuller, T. (2014) Environmental quality, public debt and economic development. Environmental and Resource Economics 57(4), 487504.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goenka, A., Jafarey, S. and Pouliot, W. (2020) Pollution, mortality and time consistent abatement taxes. Journal of Mathematical Economics 88, 115.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Goenka, A. and Liu, L. (2020) Infectious diseases, human capital and economic growth. Economic Theory 70, 147.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gollin, D. (2002) Getting income shares right. Journal of Political Economy 110(2), 458474.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gradus, R. and Smulders, S. (1993) The trade-off between environmental care and long-term growth–Pollution in three prototype growth models. Journal of Economics 58(1), 2551.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gutiérrez, M. J. (2008) Dynamic inefficiency in an overlapping generation economy with pollution and health costs. Journal of Public Economic Theory 10(4), 563594.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hanna, R. and Oliva, P. (2015) The effect of pollution on labor supply: Evidence from a natural experiment in Mexico City. Journal of Public Economics 122, 6879.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoque, M. M., King, E. M., Montenegro, C. E. and Orazem, P. F. (2019) Revisiting the relationship between longevity and lifetime education: Global evidence from 919 surveys. Journal of Population Economics 32(2), 551589.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hwang, Y. H., Hsiao, C. K. and Lin, P. W. (2019) Globally temporal transitions of blood lead levels of preschool children across countries of different categories of Human Development Index. Science of the Total Environment 659(17), 13951402.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Jhy-hwa, C., Jhy-yuan, S. and Juin-jen, C. (2015) Environmental policy and economic growth: The macroeconomic implications of the health effect. The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics 15, 223.Google Scholar
John, A. and Pecchenino, R. (1994) An overlapping generations model of growth and the environment. Economic Journal 104(427), 13931410.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jouvet, P.-A., Pestieau, P. and Ponthiere, G. (2010) Longevity and environmental quality in an OLG model. Journal of Economics 100(3), 191216.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kim, Y., Manley, J. and Radoias, V. (2017) Air pollution and long-term mental health. Retrieved from SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3028930 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3028930.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ladrón-de-Guevara, A., Ortigueira, S. and Santos, M. S. (1997) Equilibrium dynamics in two-sector models of endogenous growth. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 21(1), 115143.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Landrigan, P. J., Fuller, R., Acosta, N. J. R., Adeyi, O., Arnold, R., Basu, N., Baldé, A. B., Bertollini, R., Bose-O’Reilly, S., Boufford, J. I., Breysse, P. N., Chiles, T., Mahidol, C., Coll-Seck, A. M., Cropper, M. L., Fobil, J., Fuster, V., Greenstone, M., Haines, A., Hanrahan, D., Hunter, D., Khare, M., Krupnick, A., Lanphear, B., Lohani, B., Martin, K., Mathiasen, K. V., McTeer, M. A., Murray, C. J. L., Ndahimananjara, J. D., Perera, F., Potočnik, J., Preker, A. S., Ramesh, J., Rockström, J., Salinas, C., Samson, L. D., Sandilya, K., Sly, P. D., Smith, K. R., Steiner, A., Stewart, R. B., Suk, W. A., van Schayck, O. C. P., Yadama, G. N., Yumkella, K. and Zhong, M. (2018) The lancet commission on pollution and health. The Lancet 391(10119), 462512.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Li, M., Cao, J., Gao, Z., Shen, X. and Yan, C. (2015) The trend of lead poisoning rate in Chinese population aged 0-18 years old: A meta-analysis. BMC Public Health 15(1), 756.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Maher, B. A., Ahmed, I. A. M., Karloukovski, V., MacLaren, D. A., Foulds, P. G., Allsop, D., Mann, D. M. A., Torres-Jardón, R. and Calderon-Garciduenas, L. (2016) Magnetite pollution nanoparticles in the human brain. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113(39), 1079710801.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Mankiw, N. G., Romer, D. and Weil, D. N. (1992) A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 107(2), 407437.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mayer, H. (1999) Air pollution in cities. Atmospheric Environment 33(24–25), 40294037.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mohai, P., Kweon, B.-S., Lee, S. and Ard, K. (2011) Air pollution around schools is linked to poorer student health and academic performance. Health Affairs 30(5), 852862.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Motoyama, T. (2016) From physical to human capital accumulation with pollution. Retrieved from http://www2.econ.osaka-u.ac.jp/library/global/dp/1603.pdf.Google Scholar
Mulligan, C. B. and Sala-i-Martin, X. (1993) Transitional dynamics in two-sector models of endogenous growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 108(3), 739773.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nilsson, J. (2009) The long-term effects of early childhood lead exposure: Evidence from the phase-out of leaded gasoline. Retrieved from http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.212.3578.Google Scholar
Osang, T. and Sarkar, J. (2008) Endogenous mortality, human capital and economic growth. Journal of Macroeconomics 30(4), 14231445.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Palivos, T. and Varvarigos, D. (2017) Pollution abatement as a source of stabilzation and long-run growth. Macroeconomic Dynamics 21(3), 644676.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pautrel, X. (2008) Reconsidering the impact of the environment on long-run growth when pollution influences health and agents have a finite-lifetime. Environmental and Resource Economics 40(1), 3752.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pautrel, X. (2009) Pollution and life expectancy: How environmental policy can promote growth. Ecological Economics 68(4), 10401051.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pautrel, X. (2012) Pollution, private investment in healthcare, and environmental policy. Scandinavian Journal of Economics 114(2), 334357.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Payne, M. (2008) Lead in drinking water. Canadian Medical Association Journal 179(3), 253254.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Pegula, S., and Janocha, J. (2013) Death on the job: Fatal work injuries in 2011. Retrieved from https://digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2148&context=key_workplace.Google Scholar
Raffin, N. (2012) Children’ s environmental health, education, and economic development. Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue Canadienne d’ économique 45(3), 9961022.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Raffin, N. and Seegmuller, T. (2014) Longevity, pollution and growth. Mathematical Social Sciences 69, 2233.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Raffin, N. and Seegmuller, T. (2017) The cost of pollution on longevity, welfare and economic stability. Environmental and Resource Economics 68(3), 683704.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rolden, H. J. A., van Bodegom, D., van den Hout, W. B. and Westendorp, R. G. J. (2014) Old age mortality and macroeconomic cycles. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health 68(1), 4450.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Sapci, O. and Shogren, J. F. (2017) Environmental quality, human capital and growth. Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy 7(2), 184203.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schumacher, I. and Zou, B. (2008) Pollution perception: A challenge for intergenerational equity. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 55(3), 296309.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schumacher, I. and Zou, B. (2015) Threshold preferences and the environment. Journal of Mathematical Economics 60, 1727.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Seegmuller, T. and Verchère, A. (2004) Pollution as a source of endogenous fluctuations and periodic welfare inequality in OLG economies. Economics Letters 84(3), 363369.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smulders, S. and Gradus, R. (1996) Pollution abatement and long-term growth. European Journal of Political Economy 12(3), 505532.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stieb, D. M., Judek, S., Brand, K., Burnett, R. T. and Shin, H. H. (2015) Approximations for estimating change in life expectancy attributable to air pollution in relation to multiple causes of death using a cause modified life table. Risk Analysis 35(8), 14681478.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Tapia Granados, J. A. (2005) Increasing mortality during the expansions of the US economy, 1900-1996. International Journal of Epidemiology 34(6), 11941202.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Varvarigos, D. (2010) Environmental degradation, longevity, and the dynamics of economic development. Environmental and Resource Economics 46(1), 5973.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Varvarigos, D. (2013a) Endogenous longevity and the joint dynamics of pollution and capital accumulation. Environment and Development Economics 19(04), 393416.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Varvarigos, D. (2013b) Environmental dynamics and the links between growth, volatility and mortality. Bulletin of Economic Research 65(4), 314331.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vella, E., Dioikitopoulos, E. V and Kalyvitis, S. (2015) Green spending reforms, growth, and welfare with endogenous subjective discounting. Macroeconomic Dynamics 19(6), 12401260.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wang, M., Zhao, J. and Bhattacharya, J. (2015) Optimal health and environmental policies in a pollution-growth nexus. Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 71, 160179.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wen, J., Luo, Y. and Liu, B. (eds.) (2017) China Statistical Yearbook on Environment (1991-2016). Beijing: China Statistics Press (in Chinese).Google Scholar
Wen, M. and Gu, D. (2012) Air pollution shortens life expectancy and health expectancy for older adults: The case of China. Journals of Gerontology - Series A Biological Sciences and Medical Sciences 67(11), 12191229.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
World Bank Group. (2018a) The world development indicators. Retrieved from https://datacatalog.worldbank.org/dataset/world-development-indicators.Google Scholar
World Bank Group. (2018b) The world development indicators database archives. Retrieved from https://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=1277&series=EN.ATM.PM10.MC.M3.Google Scholar
World Health Organization. (2009) Global health risks: Mortality and burden of disease attributable to selected major risks. Retrieved from https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/44203.Google Scholar
Zhang, J. (1999) Environmental sustainability, nonlinear dynamics and chaos. Economic Theory 14(2), 489500.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zhang, J., and Zhang, J., (2005) The effect of life expectancy on fertility, saving, schooling and economic growth: Theory and evidence. Scandinavian Journal of Economics 107(1), 4566.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zhang, X. X. Chen and X. Zhang (2018) The impact of exposure to air pollution on cognitive performance. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115(37), 91939197.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Zhang, X. X. Zhang and X. Chen (2017) Happiness in the air: How does a dirty sky affect mental health and subjective well-being? Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 85, 8194.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Supplementary material: PDF

Wei and Aadland supplementary material

Wei and Aadland supplementary material

Download Wei and Aadland supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 303.3 KB