Hostname: page-component-8448b6f56d-mp689 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-04-16T11:40:51.771Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

A DYNAMIC MODEL OF TAXATION, CORRUPTION, AND PUBLIC INVESTMENT IN THE DYNASTIC CYCLE: THE CASE OF IMPERIAL CHINA

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  17 March 2016

Kenneth S. Chan
Affiliation:
McMaster University
Jean-Pierre Laffargue*
Affiliation:
University of Paris 1
*
Address correspondence to: Jean-Pierre Laffargue, Maison des sciences économiques, 106–112 boulevard de l'Hôpital, 75647 Paris Cedex 13, France; email: jean-pierre.laffargue@orange.fr.

Abstract

This paper develops a stochastic growth model that reproduces the main stylized facts of Imperial China's dynastic cycle—in particular, the time path of taxation, public spending, and corruption and their attendant impacts on production and income distribution. In this model, the emperor uses part of his tax income to finance the building of public capital and administrative institutions. This “institutional capital” enhances the productivity of the economy and limits extortion by the county magistrates. The dynastic cycle is driven by random shocks to the authority of the emperor and his central administration, which change the efficiency of institutional capital.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2016 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Acemoglu, Daron (2007) Modeling inefficient institutions. In Blundell, Richard, Newey, Whitney K., and Persson, Torsten (eds.), Advances in Economic Theory, Proceedings of World Congress 2005, pp. 341380. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron (2008) Oligarchic versus democratic societies. Journal of the European Economic Association 6 (1), 144.Google Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron (2010) Institutions, factor process, and taxation: Virtue of strong states? American Economic Review 100 (2), 115119.Google Scholar
Acemoglu, Daron and Robinson, James A. (2008) Persistence of power, elites, and institutions. American Economic Review 98 (1), 267293.Google Scholar
Adjemian, Stéphane, Bastani, Houtan, Juillard, Michel, Mihoubi, Ferhat, Perendia, Georges, Ratto, Marco, and Villemot, Sébastien (2011) Dynare: Reference Manual, version 4. Dynare Working Papers 1, CEPREMAP. http://www.dynare.org.Google Scholar
Allen, Robert C., Bassino, Jean-Pascal, Debin, Ma, Moll-Murata, Christine, and van Zanden, Jan Luiten (2009) Wages, Prices, and Living Standard in China, 1738–1925: In Comparison with Europe, Japan and India. LSE Economic History Department working paper 123/09. http://www.lse.ac.uk/collections/economicHistory/pdf.Google Scholar
Chan, Kenneth S. (2014) The late Qing dynasty to the early Republic of China: A period of great institutional transformation. In Chow, Gregory C. and Perkins, Dwight H. (eds.), Handbook of the Chinese Economy, pp. 2140. New York: Routledge.Google Scholar
Chu, C.Y. Cyrus and Lee, Ronald D. (1994) Famine, revolt, and the dynastic cycle. Population dynamics in historic China. Journal of Population Economics 7, 351378.Google Scholar
Crossley, Pamela Kyle (2010) The Wobbling Pivot: China since 1800. An Interpretive History. Oxford, UK: Wiley-Blackwell.Google Scholar
Fairbank, John King (1986) The Great Chinese Revolution: 1800–1985. New York: Harper & Row.Google Scholar
Fairbank, John King and Goldman, Merle (1998) China. A New History, 2nd ed. Cambridge, MA: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Gonzalez, Francisco M. (2002) Appropriative Conflict and Economic Performance. Discussion paper 02–01, Department of Economics, University of British Columbia.Google Scholar
Grossman, Herschel I. and Kim, Minseong (1995) Swords or plowshares? A theory of the security of claims to property. Journal of Political Economy 103 (6), 12751288.Google Scholar
Hamilton, James D. (1994) Time Series Analysis. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Hirshleifer, Jack (1995) Anarchy and its breakdown. Journal of Political Economy 103 (1), 2652.Google Scholar
Jones, Benjamin F. and Olken, Benjamin A. (2005) Do leaders matter? National leadership and growth since World War II. Quarterly Journal of Economics 120 (3), 835864.Google Scholar
McGuire, Martin C. and Olson, Mancur Jr. (1996) The economics of autocracy and majority rule: The invisible hand and the use of force. Journal of Economic Literature 34 (1), 7296.Google Scholar
Miranda, Mario J. and Fackler, Paul L. (2002) Applied Computational Economics and Finance. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Ni, Shawn and Van, Pham Hoang (2006) High corruption income in Ming and Qing China. Journal of Development Economics 81 (2), 316336.Google Scholar
Paludan, Ann (1998) Chronicle of the Chinese Emperors. The Reign-by-Reign Record of the Rulers of Imperial China. London: Thames and Hudson.Google Scholar
Pederson, Neil, Hessl, Amy, Brown, Peter, and Nachin, Baatarbileg (2012) Mongolian Climate, Ecology and Culture. www.ldeo.columbia.edu/research/blogs/mongolian-climate.Google Scholar
Rosenthal, Jean-Laurent and Wong, R. Bin (2011) Before and beyond Divergence: The Politics of Economic Change in China and Europe. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Rowe, William T. (2009) China's Last Empire: The Great Qing. Cambridge, MA: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Skaperdas, Stergios (1992) Cooperation, conflict, and power in the absence of property rights. American Economic Review 82 (4), 720739.Google Scholar
Sng, Tuan-Hwee (2010) Size and Dynastic Decline: The Principal–Agent Problem in Late Imperial China. 1700–1850. Mimeo, Department of Economics, Northwestern University.Google Scholar
Sng, Tuan-Hwee and Moriguchi, Chiaki (2012) Taxation and Public Good Provision in China and Japan before 1850. Mimeo, Department of Economics, National University of Singapore.Google Scholar
Turchin, Peter (2003) Historical Dynamics. Why States Rise and Fall. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Usher, Dan (1989) The dynastic cycle and the stationary cycle. American Economic Review 79 (5), 10311044.Google Scholar
Wang, Yu-Ch'uan (1936) The rise of land tax and the fall of dynasties in Chinese history. Pacific Affairs 9 (2), 2349.Google Scholar
Wintrobe, Ronald (2009) Dictatorship: Analytical approaches. In Boix, Carles, and Stokes, Susan C. (eds.), Oxford Handbook of Comparative Politics, pp. 363394. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Zhang, David D., Zhang, Jane, Lee, Harry F., and Yuan-qing, He, Y. (2007) Climate change and war frequency in Eastern China over the last millennium. Human Ecology 35 (4), 403414.Google Scholar