Hostname: page-component-77c89778f8-vpsfw Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-17T18:07:37.736Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

On the Noninvertible Moving Average Time Series with Infinite Variance

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 February 2009

Ngai Hang Chan
Affiliation:
Carnegie Mellon University

Abstract

The limiting distribution of the least squares estimate of the derived process of a noninvertible and nearly noninvertible moving average model with infinite variance innovations is established as a functional of a Lévy process. The form of the limiting law depends on the initial value of the innovation and the stable index α. This result enables one to perform asymptotic testing for the presence of a unit root for a noninvertible moving average model through the constructed derived process under the null hypothesis. It provides not only a parallel analog of its autoregressive counterparts, but also a useful alternative to determine “over-differencing” for time series that exhibit heavy-tailed phenomena.

Type
Miscellanea
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1993

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

1.Ahtola, J.A. & Tiao, G.C.. Some aspects of parameter inference for nearly nonstationary and nearly non-invertible ARMA models II. Qüestvo 8 (1984): 155163.Google Scholar
2.Box, G.E.P. & Jenkins, G.M.. Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden Day: San Francisco, 1976.Google Scholar
3.Chan, N.H.Inference for near-integrated time series with infinite variance. Journal of the American Statistical Association 85 (1990): 10691074.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
4.Chan, N.H. & Tran, L.T.. On the first-order autoregressive process with infinite variance. Econometric Theory 5 (1989): 354362.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
5.Choi, I.Asymptotic theory for non-invertible MA(1) processes. Technical Report, Department of Economics, Ohio State University, OH (1991).Google Scholar
6.Davis, R.A., Knight, K. & Liu., J.M-estimation for autoregressions with infinite variance. Stochastic Processes and Their Applications 40 (1992): 145180.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
7.Feller, W.An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 2, 2nd Edition. New York: Wiley, 1976.Google Scholar
8.Phillips, P.C.B.Time series regression with a unit root and infinite variance errors. Econometric Theory 6 (1990): 4462.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
9.Potscher, B.M.Noninvertibility and pseudo maximum likelihood estimation of misspecified ARMA models. Econometric Theory 7 (1991): 435449.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
10.Tanaka, K. & Satchell, S.E.. Asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood and non-linear least squares estimators for non–invertible moving average models. Econometric Theory 5 (1989): 333353.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
11.Tsay, R.S.Testing for non–invertible models with applications. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 11 (1993): 225233.Google Scholar