Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Dedication
- Contents
- List of Figures
- List of Tables
- Preface
- Preface to the First Edition
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Model Specification and Estimation
- 3 Basic Count Regression
- 4 Generalized Count Regression
- 5 Model Evaluation and Testing
- 6 Empirical Illustrations
- 7 Time Series Data
- 8 Multivariate Data
- 9 Longitudinal Data
- 10 Endogenous Regressors and Selection
- 11 Flexible Methods for Counts
- 12 Bayesian Methods for Counts
- 13 Measurement Errors
- A Notation and Acronyms
- B Functions, Distributions, and Moments
- C Software
- References
- Author Index
- Subject Index
- Miscellaneous Endmatter
1 - Introduction
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 July 2014
- Frontmatter
- Dedication
- Contents
- List of Figures
- List of Tables
- Preface
- Preface to the First Edition
- 1 Introduction
- 2 Model Specification and Estimation
- 3 Basic Count Regression
- 4 Generalized Count Regression
- 5 Model Evaluation and Testing
- 6 Empirical Illustrations
- 7 Time Series Data
- 8 Multivariate Data
- 9 Longitudinal Data
- 10 Endogenous Regressors and Selection
- 11 Flexible Methods for Counts
- 12 Bayesian Methods for Counts
- 13 Measurement Errors
- A Notation and Acronyms
- B Functions, Distributions, and Moments
- C Software
- References
- Author Index
- Subject Index
- Miscellaneous Endmatter
Summary
God made the integers, all the rest is the work of man.
– KroneckerThis book is concerned with models of event counts. An event count refers to the number of times an event occurs, for example, the number of airline accidents or earthquakes. It is the realization of a nonnegative integer-valued random variable. A univariate statistical model of event counts usually specifies a probability distribution of the number of occurrences of the event known up to some parameters. Estimation and inference in such models are concerned with the unknown parameters, given the probability distribution and the count data. Such a specification involves no other variables, and the number of events is assumed to be independently identically distributed (iid). Much early theoretical and applied work on event counts was carried out in the univariate framework. The main focus of this book, however, is on regression analysis of event counts.
The statistical analysis of counts within the framework of discrete parametric distributions for univariate iid random variables has a long and rich history (Johnson, Kemp, and Kotz, 2005). The Poisson distribution was derived as a limiting case of the binomial by Poisson (1837). Early applications include the classic study of Bortkiewicz (1898) of the annual number of deaths in the Prussian army from being kicked by mules. A standard generalization of the Poisson is the negative binomial distribution. It was derived by Greenwood and Yule (1920), as a consequence of apparent contagion due to unobserved heterogeneity, and by Eggenberger and Polya (1923) as a result of true contagion.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Regression Analysis of Count Data , pp. 1 - 20Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2013
- 1
- Cited by