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13 - Annuities (1671)

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 April 2013

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Summary

Two parties A and B may agree that A pays B a lump sum while B pays A back in annual instalments. If B needs the money and A wants the rent this is called a loan with interest. It is called an annuity when A wants a secured income for an assigned period. Annuities, as opposed to loans, were a standard way to raise public money, partly because it was possible for a government to sell security in exchange for ready cash, and partly because usury was suspect and not a proper business for the state.

Annuities are of several kinds. Perpetual annuities are straightforward loans paying annual interest to the annuitant. A terminal annuity pays an annual sum so fixed that, at the end of the designated term of n years, the capital and interest will all be repaid. A life annuity pays a set sum every year of the annuitant's life. A joint annuity on several lives pays until the death of the last survivor. The terminal annuity presents combinatorial problems: how much should one pay to receive a guaranteed £100 for ten years if the rate of interest is 6%? The life annuity adds problems in empirical probability. The fair price for £100 for life must be the same as that for a terminal annuity for n years, where n is the expectation of life. Joint annuities add a further problem in probability mathematics even if it is assumed that the duration of lives is stochastically independent. If we are more realistic and note that, far from independence, the usual joint annuity is a bet on married couples or shipmates, we require yet further statistical data on joint expectation.

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The Emergence of Probability
A Philosophical Study of Early Ideas about Probability, Induction and Statistical Inference
, pp. 111 - 121
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2006

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  • Annuities (1671)
  • Ian Hacking
  • Book: The Emergence of Probability
  • Online publication: 05 April 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511817557.014
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  • Annuities (1671)
  • Ian Hacking
  • Book: The Emergence of Probability
  • Online publication: 05 April 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511817557.014
Available formats
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To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Annuities (1671)
  • Ian Hacking
  • Book: The Emergence of Probability
  • Online publication: 05 April 2013
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511817557.014
Available formats
×